Shturmi vs Gareji• Erovnuli Liga 2, Georgia

#31.6:1.61-0FT20/09 · Sartichala Central Stadium2.2:2.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80B365X3.60BFR24.40BVCMargin at best6.1%Books2Markets13Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 12:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.84	3.40	3.94	9.1%
Bet365	1.80	3.40	3.80	11.3%
Best of all books	1.84	3.40	3.94	9.1%
Average	1.82	3.40	3.87	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ShturmiGareji

Last 10#3Table position#11.59Points per game1.7910Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 52.21.6Goals against · last 52.642Attack rating5862Defence rating3841Form rating5915H2H rating8550Goals model5039Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 15:12 UTC

Shturmi

6W 1D 3L · goals 15:11 · per match 1.5 for, 1.1 against

20 Sep	H	Gareji	1-0	W
16 Sep	A	Telavi	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Odishi 1919	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Aragvi Dusheti	4-3	W
29 Aug	A	Gori	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Samtredia	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Sioni	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Merani Martvili	2-1	W
26 Jul	A	Samtredia	1-2	L
26 Jun	A	West Georgia	2-0	W

Gareji

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:21 · per match 1.5 for, 2.1 against

16 Sep	H	Gori	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Samtredia	1-6	L
6 Sep	H	Sioni	3-3	D
29 Aug	A	Merani Martvili	2-1	W
22 Aug	H	Kolkheti Poti	3-2	W
15 Aug	H	Aragvi Dusheti	0-2	L
8 Aug	A	Telavi	0-0	D
2 Aug	H	Gagra	1-4	L
25 Jul	A	Basa	2-0	W
22 Jun	H	Odishi 1919	1-2	L

Head to head

0Shturmi wins

3draws

3Gareji wins

6 meetings · goals 5:13 · last 6: 0W 3D 3L for Shturmi

17 Jun 2026Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Gareji0-0Shturmi
26 Apr 2026Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Shturmi1-2Gareji
9 Nov 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Gareji5-1Shturmi
1 Sep 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Shturmi1-1Gareji
24 May 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Gareji4-1Shturmi
6 Apr 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Shturmi1-1Gareji

Erovnuli Liga 2 tablePirveli Ligaupdated 10 Oct 17:02 UTC

In the Erovnuli Liga 2 table, Shturmi sit 3rd with 43 points from 27 games, while Gareji are 1st with 50 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gareji	28	14	8	6	35:29	+6	50
2	Telavi	27	11	10	6	29:25	+4	43
3	Shturmi	27	11	10	6	29:23	+6	43
4	Merani Martvili	27	10	7	10	30:34	-4	37
5	Samtredia	27	11	4	12	48:40	+8	37
6	Aragvi Dusheti	27	10	5	12	30:37	-7	35
7	Odishi 1919	28	9	8	11	30:37	-7	35
8	Sioni	27	8	9	10	35:34	+1	33
9	Kolkheti Poti	27	6	10	11	34:33	+1	28
10	Gori	27	6	9	12	27:35	-8	27

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.72X26%3.48222%4.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.77 → 1.72 -2.8%X3.48 → 3.48 0.0%23.88 → 4.13 +6.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
1xBet	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.91	5.0%
Average	1.85	1.90	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Best of all books	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Average	1.73	2.05	6.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shturmi 10%Draw 45%Gareji 45%

The statistical model rated Shturmi at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gareji at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.48 | 4.13, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Erovnuli Liga 2 table: Shturmi are 3rd (43 pts, 29-23 goals), Gareji 1st (50 pts, 35-29).

Over their last five matches, Shturmi averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Gareji averaged 2.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Gareji.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.82	3.40	3.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.86	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	3.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.73	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
2.40	2.20	4.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.0
1.5	1.22	3.75
2.5	1.85	1.90
3.5	3.00	1.33
4.5	6.00	1.11
5.5	10.0	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	1.82	1.98