Sioni vs Aragvi Dusheti• Erovnuli Liga 2, Georgia

#81.6:1.41-2FT20/09 · Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi1.2:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78BTNX3.60B36524.10BVCMargin at best8.3%Books1Markets7Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 08:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.73	3.60	3.90	11.2%
Best of all books	1.73	3.60	3.90	11.2%
Average	1.73	3.60	3.90	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SioniAragvi Dusheti

Last 10#8Table position#61.22Points per game1.305Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 51.21.4Goals against · last 51.857Attack rating4356Defence rating4467Form rating3362H2H rating3872Goals model2863Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 15:12 UTC

Sioni

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

20 Sep	H	Aragvi Dusheti	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Merani Martvili	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Kolkheti Poti	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Gareji	3-3	D
29 Aug	H	Telavi	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Odishi 1919	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Shturmi	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Gori	1-4	L
25 Jul	A	Gori	0-1	L
18 Jul	H	BKMA	1-3	L

Aragvi Dusheti

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

20 Sep	A	Sioni	2-1	W
16 Sep	H	Odishi 1919	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Merani Martvili	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	Shturmi	3-4	L
30 Aug	A	Kolkheti Poti	1-1	D
26 Aug	A	Gagra	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Gori	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Gareji	2-0	W
8 Aug	H	Samtredia	2-4	L
2 Aug	A	Guria	2-1	W

Head to head

3Sioni wins

3draws

2Aragvi Dusheti wins

8 meetings · goals 16:8 · last 8: 3W 3D 2L for Sioni

17 Jun 2026Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Aragvi Dusheti3-2Sioni
26 Apr 2026Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Sioni1-1Aragvi Dusheti
19 Oct 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Sioni3-0Aragvi Dusheti
17 Aug 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Aragvi Dusheti1-2Sioni
11 May 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Sioni0-0Aragvi Dusheti
12 Mar 2024Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Aragvi Dusheti2-1Sioni
9 Dec 2020Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Sioni6-0Aragvi Dusheti
15 Sep 2020Erovnuli Liga 2	Erovnuli Liga 2	Aragvi Dusheti1-1Sioni

Erovnuli Liga 2 tablePirveli Ligaupdated 10 Oct 17:02 UTC

In the Erovnuli Liga 2 table, Sioni sit 8th with 33 points from 27 games, while Aragvi Dusheti are 6th with 35 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Gareji	28	14	8	6	35:29	+6	50
2	Telavi	27	11	10	6	29:25	+4	43
3	Shturmi	27	11	10	6	29:23	+6	43
4	Merani Martvili	27	10	7	10	30:34	-4	37
5	Samtredia	27	11	4	12	48:40	+8	37
6	Aragvi Dusheti	27	10	5	12	30:37	-7	35
7	Odishi 1919	28	9	8	11	30:37	-7	35
8	Sioni	27	8	9	10	35:34	+1	33
9	Kolkheti Poti	27	6	10	11	34:33	+1	28
10	Gori	27	6	9	12	27:35	-8	27

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.74X26%3.52223%3.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.71 → 1.74 +1.8%X3.61 → 3.52 -2.5%23.99 → 3.92 -1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Average	1.75	2.05	5.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sioni 45%Draw 45%Aragvi Dusheti 10%

The statistical model rated Sioni at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aragvi Dusheti at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.52 | 3.92, which imply roughly 57.5% for a Sioni win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Erovnuli Liga 2 table: Sioni are 8th (33 pts, 35-34 goals), Aragvi Dusheti 6th (35 pts, 30-37).

Over their last five matches, Sioni averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Aragvi Dusheti averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sioni or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.60	3.90

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.91	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	3.00

1st half

1	X	2
2.30	2.30	4.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.75	2.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.00	1.80