OddsFilter

U. Catolica vs A. Italiano• Primera División, Chile

#22.0:1.423:00PostponedToday · San Carlos de Apoquindo, Santiago0.8:1.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.31PIN25.80BTNMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets75Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 02:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.564.315.724.8%
Dafabet1.574.305.604.8%
Betano1.574.155.805.0%
Bet3651.534.005.757.8%
Marathonbet1.514.055.658.6%
BetVictor1.534.005.259.4%
1xBet1.494.005.5910.0%
William Hill1.533.805.0011.7%
Betfair1.474.005.0013.0%
SBO1.493.734.8414.6%
Best of all books1.574.315.804.1%
Average1.524.035.428.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

U. CatolicaA. Italiano
Last 10#2Table position#111.83Points per game1.2211Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.271Attack rating2946Defence rating5460Form rating4062H2H rating3878Goals model2262Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 02:40 UTC

U. Catolica

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

26 SepHUnion La Calera0-0D
23 SepAUnion La Calera1-1D
12 SepAPalestino3-2W
5 SepAEverton de Vina1-0W
1 SepHO'Higgins3-2W
26 AugACoquimbo Unido2-1W
23 AugHNublense1-2L
19 AugHEstudiantes L.P.0-3L
12 AugAEstudiantes L.P.1-1D
8 AugHCobresal2-0W

A. Italiano

3W 4D 3L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against

25 SepAColo Colo0-1L
22 SepHColo Colo0-0D
13 SepHO'Higgins1-0W
5 SepAConcepción1-0W
30 AugAColo Colo1-5L
22 AugHUnion La Calera0-0D
16 AugAEverton de Vina1-1D
11 AugHNublense2-2D
1 AugAUniversidad de Concepcion1-0W
26 JulHUniversidad de Chile1-2L

Head to head

9U. Catolica wins
5draws
5A. Italiano wins

19 meetings · goals 31:20 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for U. Catolica

11 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónA. Italiano3-4U. Catolica
20 Jul 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónA. Italiano1-1U. Catolica
17 Feb 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónU. Catolica3-1A. Italiano
18 Aug 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónA. Italiano2-1U. Catolica
17 Mar 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónU. Catolica0-0A. Italiano
5 Aug 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónU. Catolica0-2A. Italiano
6 Mar 2023CONMEBOL SudamericanaCONMEBOL SudamericanaA. Italiano3-2U. Catolica
18 Feb 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónA. Italiano1-2U. Catolica
31 Oct 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónU. Catolica0-0A. Italiano
20 Aug 2022Copa ChileCopa ChileU. Catolica3-0A. Italiano

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 10 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Primera División table, U. Catolica sit 2nd with 42 points from 23 games, while A. Italiano are 11th with 28 points from 23.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Colo Colo23173348:22+2654
2U. Catolica23133750:33+1742
3Universidad de Chile23126535:19+1642
4Everton de Vina23106737:25+1236
5Palestino23113936:33+336
6Deportes Limache231031043:35+833
7Nublense2388728:31-332
8Concepción23941025:26-131
9D. La Serena2379734:38-430
10Coquimbo Unido2285931:31029
11A. Italiano2377926:31-528
12Huachipato22841031:39-828
13O'Higgins23831228:36-827
14Cobresal23731334:44-1024
15Universidad de Concepcion23641317:39-2222
16Union La Calera23451419:40-2117

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg160%1.53X23%4.05217%5.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 02:501 1.53X 4.032 5.42
11.52 → 1.53 +0.7%X3.98 → 4.03 +1.3%25.40 → 5.42 +0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.722.164.4%
Betano1.752.104.8%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Marathonbet1.702.067.4%
1xBet1.702.038.1%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.672.048.9%
Best of all books1.752.163.4%
Average1.702.086.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.801.956.8%
Betfair1.752.007.1%
1xBet1.751.987.6%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.761.938.6%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.761.967.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

U. Catolica 45%Draw 45%A. Italiano 10%

The statistical model rates U. Catolica at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and A. Italiano at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 4.05 | 5.49, which imply roughly 65.4% for a U. Catolica win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: U. Catolica are 2nd (42 pts, 50-33 goals), A. Italiano 11th (28 pts, 26-31).

Over their last five matches, U. Catolica averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; A. Italiano averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : U. Catolica.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.534.035.42

Double chance

1XX212
1.122.361.19

Draw no bet

12
1.204.16

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.96

1st half

1X2
2.032.355.51

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4213.52.90

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.9
1.51.214.09
2.51.702.08
3.52.721.42
4.55.051.15
5.59.961.04
6.518.71.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.40
1.251.095.69
1.751.233.48
21.323.12
2.251.512.46
2.751.881.88
32.171.64
3.252.421.51
3.753.161.28
44.131.17
4.254.531.14
4.756.581.06
58.451.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.951.37
-1.52.471.50
-1.252.171.65
-11.921.86
-0.751.672.14
-0.51.532.46
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.201.02
-38.551.02
-2.756.061.09
-2.54.571.16
-2.254.181.18
-23.891.22
-0.251.363.02
01.194.29
+0.251.154.83
+0.51.145.75
+0.751.047.50
+11.019.60

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.071.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0310.0
5.51.086.90
6.51.135.00
7.51.273.28
8.51.522.39
9.51.911.83
10.52.431.50
11.53.331.27
12.54.801.14
13.56.901.08
14.59.001.04
15.511.01.02
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
8.251.442.53
8.751.532.28
91.752.06
9.251.731.99
9.751.941.75
102.111.70
10.252.221.57
10.752.521.41