ConcepciónvsA. Italiano• Primera División,Chile
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Concepción9th30 pts
A. Italiano12th25 pts
Concepción9th30 pts
A. Italiano12th25 ptsIn the Primera División table, Concepción sit 9th with 30 points from 22 games, while A. Italiano are 12th with 25 points from 22 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Concepción at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and A. Italiano at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.13 | 3.23 | 3.46, which imply roughly 46.9% for a Concepción win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Concepción are 9th (30 pts, 24-25 goals), A. Italiano 12th (25 pts, 25-31).
Over their last five matches, Concepción averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; A. Italiano averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Concepción or draw.
Concepción vs A. Italiano — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Colo Colo | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53 |
| 2 |  U. Catolica | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 |
| 3 |  Universidad de Chile | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 39 |
| 4 |  Palestino | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 |
| 5 |  Everton de Vina | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 |  Nublense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 32 |
| 7 |  Deportes Limache | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 30 |
| 8 |  D. La Serena | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 30 |
| 9 |  Concepción | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30 |
| 10 |  Coquimbo Unido | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 |
| 11 |  O'Higgins | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 |
| 12 |  A. Italiano | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 25 |
| 13 |  Huachipato | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 |
| 14 |  Universidad de Concepcion | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 22 |
| 15 |  Cobresal | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21 |
| 16 |  Union La Calera | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 14 |
Starting Lineups
Concepción
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Díaz
Goalkeeper
- 25N. Araya
Defence
- 18Y. Rodríguez
- 21N. Rodríguez
- 37F. Grillo
- 23C. Riquelme
Midfield
- 8F. Martínez
- 16M. Sandoval
- 31Nicolas Fuentes
- 20J. Henríquez
- 30E. Espinoza
Attack
- 32J. Larrivey
Substitutes (9)
- 7F. Romero
- 12N. Veloso
- 3D. Carrasco
- 24M. Cavalleri
- 22M. Dávila
- 9C. Escobar
- 19A. Jara
- 15J. Montecinos
- 29D. Varas
A. Italiano
4-4-2Coach: P. Graff
Goalkeeper
- 1T. Ahumada
Defence
- 35R. Rebolledo
- 13E. Ferrario
- 4D. Piña
- 3F. Salomoni
Midfield
- 7P. Guajardo
- 28F. Mateos
- 19C. Pinares
- 21G. Chiaverano
Attack
- 11F. Troyansky
- 9D. Coelho
Substitutes (9)
- 27M. Fuentes
- 25P. Garrido
- 17F. Loyola
- 29M. Ortiz
- 22D. Pizarro
- 6M. Sandoval
- 30A. Uribe
- 8M. Collao
- 2V. Zenteno
Match Statistics
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.03
X
3.27
2
3.49
Double chance
1X
1.25
X2
1.72
12
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
1.77
No
1.92
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.31
Under 1.5
3.26
Over 2.5
1.98
Under 2.5
1.78
Over 3.5
3.44
Under 3.5
1.28
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
8.99
Over 4.5
6.84
Under 4.5
1.08
Over 5.5
13.63
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
24.83
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.39
Under 1.75
2.81
Over 2
1.50
Under 2
2.46
Over 2.25
1.73
Under 2.25
2.02
Over 2.75
2.27
Under 2.75
1.59
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
8.38
Over 1
1.05
Under 1
7.05
Over 1.25
1.17
Under 1.25
4.21
Over 3
2.73
Under 3
1.41
Over 3.25
3.10
Under 3.25
1.33
Over 3.75
4.06
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 4
5.45
Under 4
1.10
Over 4.25
6.29
Under 4.25
1.07
Over 5
10.00
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.47
2
2.50
Asian handicap
Away 2.25
1.03
1st half
1
2.64
X
2.10
2
4.02
First team to score
Home
1.72
No Goal
8.90
Away
2.40
Corners 2-Way
Over 10.25
2.47
Under 10.25
1.44