Lund vs Trelleborg• Ettan - Södra, Sweden

#41.2:1.22-4FTToday · Klostergardens Idrottsplats, Lund2.6:0.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35DAFX3.60B36522.75DAFMargin at best6.7%Books6Markets63Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.30	3.50	2.70	9.1%
Pinnacle	2.34	3.42	2.69	9.1%
Bet365	2.25	3.50	2.62	11.2%
1xBet	2.28	3.38	2.61	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.28	3.38	2.61	11.8%
William Hill	2.30	3.20	2.62	12.9%
Best of all books	2.34	3.50	2.70	8.3%
Average	2.29	3.40	2.64	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LundTrelleborg

Last 10#4Table position#11.69Points per game2.196Form pts · last 5151.2Goals for · last 52.61.2Goals against · last 50.832Attack rating6840Defence rating6029Form rating7125H2H rating7541Goals model5935Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:30 UTC

Lund

5W 1D 4L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	Trollhättan	4-3	W
2 Oct	H	Laholm	0-1	L
25 Sep	H	Kristianstad	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Atvidabergs FF	0-1	L
16 Sep	H	Angelholms FF	2-0	W
11 Sep	H	Rosengård	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Utsikten	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Olympic	7-1	W
22 Aug	A	AFC Malmo	5-2	W
14 Aug	H	Hässleholms IF	0-3	L

Trelleborg

7W 0D 3L · goals 20:13 · per match 2.0 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	Kristianstad	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Olympic	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Angelholms FF	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Tvååker	1-0	W
17 Sep	A	Rosengård	4-3	W
12 Sep	H	Hässleholms IF	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Skövde AIK	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Utsikten	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Trollhättan	1-2	L
16 Aug	H	Eskilsminne	1-3	L

Head to head

0Lund wins

2draws

2Trelleborg wins

4 meetings · goals 7:9 · last 4: 0W 2D 2L for Lund

2 Aug 2026Ettan - Södra	Ettan - Södra	Trelleborg2-2Lund
20 Aug 2025Svenska Cupen	Svenska Cupen	Lund2-3Trelleborg
18 Mar 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lund1-2Trelleborg
26 Feb 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Lund2-2Trelleborg

Ettan - Södra tableSouthupdated 16 Oct 19:03 UTC

In the Ettan - Södra table, Lund sit 4th with 44 points from 26 games, while Trelleborg are 1st with 57 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	26	17	6	3	57:28	+29	57
2	Hässleholms IF	26	15	3	8	47:30	+17	48
3	Atvidabergs FF	26	13	8	5	50:36	+14	47
4	Lund	26	12	8	6	50:32	+18	44
5	AFC Malmo	26	12	8	6	49:37	+12	44
6	Rosengård	26	10	9	7	42:38	+4	39
7	Trollhättan	26	10	8	8	45:41	+4	38
8	Tvååker	26	9	7	10	34:40	-6	34
9	Jonkopings Sodra	26	9	6	11	29:27	+2	33
10	Olympic	26	10	3	13	48:50	-2	33
11	Skövde AIK	26	8	9	9	33:42	-9	33
12	Eskilsminne	26	9	5	12	42:51	-9	32
13	Kristianstad	26	7	6	13	29:39	-10	27
14	Laholm	26	7	5	14	33:44	-11	26
15	Angelholms FF	26	5	9	12	33:47	-14	24
16	Utsikten	26	2	6	18	23:62	-39	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.30X27%3.39234%2.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.46 → 2.28 -7.3%X3.50 → 3.42 -2.3%22.45 → 2.69 +9.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.68	2.13	6.5%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
BetVictor	1.65	2.06	9.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.13	5.8%
Average	1.66	2.09	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.53	2.31	8.6%
BetVictor	1.53	2.30	8.8%
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.27	9.4%
Best of all books	1.62	2.31	5.0%
Average	1.55	2.28	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lund 10%Draw 45%Trelleborg 45%

The statistical model rated Lund at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Trelleborg at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.39 | 2.65, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ettan - Södra table: Lund are 4th (44 pts, 50-32 goals), Trelleborg 1st (57 pts, 57-28).

Over their last five matches, Lund averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Trelleborg averaged 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Trelleborg.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.29	3.40	2.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.38	1.51	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.71	2.02

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.28

1st half

1	X	2
2.81	2.25	3.24

2nd half

1	X	2
2.57	2.55	2.94

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.61	14.2	27.3
HT X	5.87	5.67	6.67
HT 2	26.0	14.2	4.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.84	13.6	2.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.7
1.5	1.18	4.13
2.5	1.66	2.09
3.5	2.63	1.41
4.5	4.63	1.14
5.5	8.53	1.03
6.5	11.5	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.00
1.25	1.08	5.55
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.28	3.19
2.25	1.46	2.46
2.75	1.82	1.87
3	2.06	1.65
3.25	2.33	1.50
3.75	3.05	1.28
4	3.98	1.17
4.25	4.34	1.14
4.75	5.85	1.07
5	8.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.69	1.40
-0.5	2.29	1.57
-0.25	2.00	1.72
0	1.72	2.01
+0.25	1.53	2.31
+0.5	1.44	2.66

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.40	1.01
-1.75	5.68	1.10
-1.5	4.35	1.16
-1.25	3.92	1.20
-1	3.49	1.25
+0.75	1.29	3.20
+1	1.16	4.40
+1.25	1.13	4.87
+1.5	1.11	5.33
+1.75	1.06	7.04
+2	1.01	9.35
+2.5	1.02	9.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.64
7.5	1.21	3.52
8.5	1.45	2.48
9.5	1.80	1.92
10.5	2.25	1.56
11.5	2.98	1.31
12.5	4.22	1.14
13.5	6.39	1.03

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	5.14
8	1.27	3.15
9	1.58	2.21
10	2.01	1.71
11	2.69	1.38
12	3.87	1.17
13	5.97	1.05