Kristianstad vs AFC Malmo• Ettan - Södra, Sweden

#141.0:1.00-1FT02/10 · Kristianstads Fotbollsarena, Kristianstad1.4:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.901XBX3.941XB22.23PINMargin at best4.7%Books1Markets2Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 02:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.34	3.55	1.96	9.1%
Best of all books	3.34	3.55	1.96	9.1%
Average	3.34	3.55	1.96	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KristianstadAFC Malmo

Last 10#14Table position#51.04Points per game1.696Form pts · last 5121.0Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.242Attack rating5855Defence rating4547Form rating5350H2H rating5033Goals model6746Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:02 UTC

Kristianstad

3W 1D 6L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

10 Oct	A	Trelleborg	0-2	L
2 Oct	H	AFC Malmo	0-1	L
25 Sep	A	Lund	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Laholm	3-2	W
17 Sep	H	Olympic	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Jonkopings Sodra	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Hässleholms IF	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Atvidabergs FF	5-2	W
23 Aug	A	Skövde AIK	1-3	L
15 Aug	H	Tvååker	1-2	L

AFC Malmo

4W 4D 2L · goals 18:17 · per match 1.8 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Skövde AIK	4-2	W
2 Oct	A	Kristianstad	1-0	W
27 Sep	A	Eskilsminne	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Utsikten	3-1	W
16 Sep	A	Hässleholms IF	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Tvååker	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Atvidabergs FF	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Laholm	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Lund	2-5	L
15 Aug	A	Olympic	2-2	D

Head to head

0Kristianstad wins

1draws

0AFC Malmo wins

1 meeting · goals 2:2 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Kristianstad

3 Apr 2026Ettan - Södra

Ettan - Södra

AFC Malmo2-2Kristianstad

Ettan - Södra tableSouthupdated 17 Oct 14:51 UTC

In the Ettan - Södra table, Kristianstad sit 14th with 27 points from 26 games, while AFC Malmo are 5th with 44 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	27	18	6	3	61:30	+31	60
2	Hässleholms IF	26	15	3	8	47:30	+17	48
3	Atvidabergs FF	26	13	8	5	50:36	+14	47
4	Lund	27	12	8	7	52:36	+16	44
5	AFC Malmo	26	12	8	6	49:37	+12	44
6	Rosengård	27	10	10	7	43:39	+4	40
7	Trollhättan	26	10	8	8	45:41	+4	38
8	Tvååker	27	9	8	10	35:41	-6	35
9	Jonkopings Sodra	26	9	6	11	29:27	+2	33
10	Olympic	26	10	3	13	48:50	-2	33
11	Skövde AIK	26	8	9	9	33:42	-9	33
12	Eskilsminne	26	9	5	12	42:51	-9	32
13	Laholm	27	8	5	14	34:44	-10	29
14	Kristianstad	26	7	6	13	29:39	-10	27
15	Angelholms FF	27	5	9	13	33:48	-15	24
16	Utsikten	26	2	6	18	23:62	-39	12

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.83X26%3.48242%2.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.34 → 2.83 -15.3%X3.55 → 3.48 -2.0%21.96 → 2.16 +10.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kristianstad 10%Draw 45%AFC Malmo 45%

The statistical model rated Kristianstad at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and AFC Malmo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.83 | 3.48 | 2.16, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ettan - Södra table: Kristianstad are 14th (27 pts, 29-39 goals), AFC Malmo 5th (44 pts, 49-37).

Over their last five matches, Kristianstad averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; AFC Malmo averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or AFC Malmo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.34	3.55	1.96

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.40	1.46