KäPa vs MP• Ykkösliiga, Finland

#91.8:2.01-1FTToday · Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki1.0:1.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60WHX3.90PIN22.45BFRMargin at best4.9%Books10Markets82Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:13 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.60	3.90	2.45	4.9%
Dafabet	2.55	3.70	2.45	7.1%
Betano	2.50	3.60	2.45	8.6%
BetVictor	2.45	3.70	2.45	8.7%
Betfair	2.30	3.75	2.45	11.0%
1xBet	2.40	3.66	2.33	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.40	3.66	2.33	11.9%
Bet365	2.45	3.50	2.35	11.9%
William Hill	2.60	3.50	2.20	12.5%
SBO	2.36	3.33	2.33	15.3%
Best of all books	2.60	3.90	2.45	4.9%
Average	2.46	3.63	2.38	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KäPaMP

Last 10#9Table position#60.96Points per game1.158Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.064Attack rating3633Defence rating6750Form rating5080H2H rating2047Goals model5358Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:31 UTC

KäPa

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:21 · per match 1.3 for, 2.1 against

25 Sep	H	Haka	3-2	W
19 Sep	A	SJK Akatemia	3-2	W
11 Sep	H	PK-35	1-4	L
7 Sep	A	Klubi-04	2-2	D
28 Aug	A	JäPS	0-0	D
20 Aug	H	JIPPO	1-3	L
15 Aug	A	Kooteepee	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	EIF	0-1	L
29 Jul	A	MP	1-2	L
25 Jul	A	Haka	1-3	L

MP

3W 3D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

25 Sep	A	Kooteepee	1-1	D
19 Sep	H	JIPPO	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	SJK Akatemia	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Haka	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	PK-35	0-3	L
22 Aug	A	Klubi-04	3-4	L
16 Aug	H	EIF	0-2	L
7 Aug	A	JäPS	0-1	L
29 Jul	H	KäPa	2-1	W
25 Jul	H	Kooteepee	3-3	D

Head to head

6KäPa wins

1draws

2MP wins

9 meetings · goals 23:15 · last 9: 6W 1D 2L for KäPa

29 Jul 2026Ykkösliiga	Ykkösliiga	MP2-1KäPa
19 Apr 2026Ykkösliiga	Ykkösliiga	MP0-1KäPa
14 Sep 2024Ykkösliiga	Ykkösliiga	KäPa3-2MP
11 Jul 2024Ykkösliiga	Ykkösliiga	MP2-6KäPa
12 May 2024Ykkösliiga	Ykkösliiga	KäPa4-0MP
28 Jun 2023Ykkönen	Ykkönen	MP6-2KäPa
16 Apr 2023Ykkönen	Ykkönen	KäPa2-0MP
26 Aug 2016Kakkonen - Lohko A	Kakkonen - Lohko A	KäPa3-2MP
12 Jun 2016Kakkonen - Lohko A	Kakkonen - Lohko A	MP1-1KäPa

Ykkösliiga tableYkkösliigaupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

In the Ykkösliiga table, KäPa sit 9th with 25 points from 26 games, while MP are 6th with 30 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kooteepee	25	18	4	3	45:22	+23	58
2	PK-35	26	14	7	5	41:21	+20	49
3	Haka	26	14	5	7	50:29	+21	47
4	JIPPO	26	12	8	6	36:21	+15	44
5	JäPS	26	11	2	13	23:40	-17	35
6	MP	26	8	6	12	28:36	-8	30
7	EIF	26	8	5	13	29:44	-15	29
8	Klubi-04	26	6	8	12	37:37	0	26
9	KäPa	26	6	7	13	31:46	-15	25
10	SJK Akatemia	25	2	8	15	17:41	-24	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.46X25%3.63238%2.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.00 → 2.46 +23.0%X3.83 → 3.63 -5.2%23.02 → 2.38 -21.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.49	2.63	5.1%
BetVictor	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Betano	1.44	2.52	9.1%
1xBet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.59	10.6%
Best of all books	1.49	2.63	5.1%
Average	1.43	2.60	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
1xBet	1.37	2.81	8.6%
Betano	1.39	2.70	9.0%
BetVictor	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.37	2.75	9.4%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.44	2.81	5.0%
Average	1.40	2.71	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

KäPa 45%Draw 45%MP 10%

The statistical model rated KäPa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and MP at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.46 | 3.63 | 2.38, which imply roughly 40.7% for a KäPa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ykkösliiga table: KäPa are 9th (25 pts, 31-46 goals), MP 6th (30 pts, 28-36).

Over their last five matches, KäPa averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; MP averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : KäPa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.46	3.63	2.38

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.47	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.84	1.89

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.71

1st half

1	X	2
2.89	2.41	2.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	19.0	2.03

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.0
1.5	1.12	5.53
2.5	1.43	2.60
3.5	2.11	1.66
4.5	3.49	1.26
5.5	6.18	1.10
6.5	13.0	1.04
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	51.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	11.0
1.75	1.10	5.05
2	1.13	4.60
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.57	2.26
3	1.70	2.04
3.25	1.91	1.81
3.75	2.37	1.51
4	2.74	1.35
4.25	3.04	1.29
4.75	4.05	1.17
5	5.35	1.09
5.25	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.86	1.37
-0.5	2.22	1.64
-0.25	2.08	1.69
0	1.86	1.87
+0.25	1.63	2.14
+0.5	1.51	2.56

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.33	1.10
-2.25	7.00	1.10
-2	7.73	1.04
-1.75	5.63	1.10
-1.5	4.37	1.16
-1.25	3.95	1.21
-1	3.76	1.24
+0.75	1.37	2.90
+1	1.23	3.76
+1.25	1.18	4.15
+1.5	1.15	4.62
+1.75	1.09	5.83
+2	1.02	7.90
+2.5	1.01	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.28
7.5	1.13	4.33
8.5	1.32	2.92
9.5	1.59	2.18
10.5	1.92	1.79
11.5	2.49	1.45
12.5	3.36	1.23
13.5	4.87	1.10
14.5	6.87	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	7.00
7	1.02	6.73
7.25	1.08	5.20
7.75	1.15	4.12
8	1.17	3.92
8.25	1.25	3.31
8.75	1.36	2.77
9	1.42	2.61
9.25	1.50	2.36
9.75	1.67	2.07
10	1.78	1.96
10.25	1.86	1.84
10.75	2.09	1.65
11	2.28	1.56
11.25	2.38	1.49
11.75	2.74	1.36
12	3.08	1.29
12.25	3.23	1.26
12.75	3.84	1.18
13	4.50	1.12
13.25	4.69	1.11
13.75	5.71	1.06
14	7.03	1.02
14.25	6.67	1.02