KäPa vs 
Haka• Ykkösliiga, Finland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 21 Sep 02:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.64 | 4.60 | 1.47 | 7.5% |
| Betano | 5.30 | 4.35 | 1.50 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 5.73 | 4.50 | 1.41 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 5.50 | 4.50 | 1.40 | 11.8% |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.36 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.44 | 14.4% |
| Best of all books | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.50 | 5.1% |
| Average | 5.53 | 4.42 | 1.43 | 10.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:31 UTC
KäPa
2W 2D 6L · goals 13:21 · per match 1.3 for, 2.1 against
| 25 Sep | H | Haka | 3-2 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | SJK Akatemia | 3-2 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | PK-35 | 1-4 | L |
| 7 Sep | A | Klubi-04 | 2-2 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | JäPS | 0-0 | D |
| 20 Aug | H | JIPPO | 1-3 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Kooteepee | 1-2 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | EIF | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Jul | A | MP | 1-2 | L |
| 25 Jul | A | Haka | 1-3 | L |
Haka
5W 1D 4L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against
| 3 Oct | A | Ilves | 0-3 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | KäPa | 2-3 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Klubi-04 | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | EIF | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | H | MP | 0-2 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | Kooteepee | 1-2 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | SJK Akatemia | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | A | JäPS | 2-1 | W |
| 7 Aug | H | JIPPO | 3-0 | W |
| 31 Jul | A | PK-35 | 4-1 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 4:10 · last 4: 0W 2D 2L for KäPa
| 25 Jul 2026Ykkösliiga | Ykkösliiga | Haka3-1KäPa |
| 25 Apr 2026Ykkösliiga | Ykkösliiga | Haka2-2KäPa |
| 14 Feb 2026Ykköscup | Ykköscup | KäPa1-1Haka |
| 17 Apr 2013Suomen Cup | Suomen Cup | Haka4-0KäPa |
Ykkösliiga tableYkkösliigaupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC
In the Ykkösliiga table, KäPa sit 9th with 25 points from 26 games, while Haka are 3rd with 47 points from 26.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kooteepee | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 45:22 | +23 | 58 |
| 2 | PK-35 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 41:21 | +20 | 49 |
| 3 | Haka | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | +21 | 47 |
| 4 | JIPPO | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | +15 | 44 |
| 5 | JäPS | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 35 |
| 6 | MP | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 7 | EIF | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
| 8 | Klubi-04 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 26 |
| 9 | KäPa | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 25 |
| 10 | SJK Akatemia | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 17:41 | -24 | 14 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 2.49 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 2.52 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 2.52 | 10.6% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 2.32 | 11.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.51 | 2.52 | 5.9% |
| Average | 1.45 | 2.46 | 9.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 2.27 | 8.6% |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 2.20 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 2.23 | 9.4% |
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.07 | 10.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 2.27 | 6.6% |
| Average | 1.57 | 2.19 | 9.4% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated KäPa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Haka at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.01 | 4.58 | 1.40, which imply roughly 21.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ykkösliiga table: KäPa are 9th (25 pts, 31-46 goals), Haka 3rd (47 pts, 50-29).
Over their last five matches, KäPa averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Haka averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Haka.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.53 | 4.43 | 1.43 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.53 | 1.10 | 1.15 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.70 | 1.19 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.57 | 2.19 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.35 | 2.54 | 1.89 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.98 | 20.0 | 1.37 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 14.4 |
| 1.5 | 1.10 | 5.30 |
| 2.5 | 1.45 | 2.46 |
| 3.5 | 2.16 | 1.60 |
| 4.5 | 3.56 | 1.23 |
| 5.5 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 10.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.11 | 4.96 |
| 2 | 1.13 | 4.50 |
| 2.25 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| 2.75 | 1.55 | 2.28 |
| 3 | 1.72 | 1.98 |
| 3.25 | 1.93 | 1.76 |
| 3.75 | 2.38 | 1.46 |
| 4 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 4.25 | 3.20 | 1.26 |
| 4.75 | 4.33 | 1.14 |
| 5 | 5.85 | 1.07 |
| 5.25 | 6.20 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.5 | 2.64 | 1.46 |
| +0.75 | 2.29 | 1.53 |
| +1 | 2.02 | 1.71 |
| +1.25 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| +1.5 | 1.58 | 2.19 |
| +1.75 | 1.43 | 2.55 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1 | 9.90 | 1.01 |
| -0.75 | 7.30 | 1.03 |
| -0.25 | 4.96 | 1.11 |
| 0 | 4.50 | 1.13 |
| +0.25 | 3.18 | 1.29 |
| +2 | 1.29 | 3.19 |
| +2.25 | 1.24 | 3.54 |
| +2.5 | 1.19 | 3.80 |
| +2.75 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| +3 | 1.04 | 6.75 |
| +3.5 | 1.03 | 7.50 |