Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates El Porvenir at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Canuelas at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.10 | 2.82 | 2.29, which imply roughly 35.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Over their last five matches, El Porvenir averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Canuelas averaged 2.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Canuelas.
El Porvenir vs Canuelas — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Berazategui | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 48 |
| 2 |  Lugano | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 46 |
| 3 |  Sacachispas | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 |  Centro Español | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 |
| 5 |  Estrella Del Sur | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 44 |
| 6 |  Mercedes | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 43 |
| 7 |  Juventud Unida | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 |  Victoriano Arenas | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 41 |
| 9 |  Puerto Nuevo | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 38 |
| 10 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 36 |
| 11 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31 |
| 12 |  Leandro N. Alem | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 31 |
| 13 |  JJ Urquiza | 30 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 29 |
| 14 |  Argentino Rosario | 30 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 24 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.10
X
2.82
2
2.29
Double chance
1X
1.49
X2
1.28
12
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
2.26
No
1.50
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.58
Under 1.5
2.12
Over 2.5
2.83
Under 2.5
1.38
Over 3.5
5.76
Under 3.5
1.09
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
5.64
Over 4.5
10.25
Under 4.5
1.03
Over 5.5
17.00
Over 1.75
1.74
Under 1.75
1.82
Over 2
2.08
Under 2
1.60
Over 2.25
2.48
Under 2.25
1.47
Over 2.75
3.42
Under 2.75
1.23
Over 0.75
1.12
Under 0.75
4.80
Over 1
1.16
Under 1
4.15
Over 1.25
1.40
Under 1.25
2.74
Over 3
4.80
Under 3
1.11
Over 3.25
5.34
Under 3.25
1.11
Draw no bet
1
2.08
2
1.55
Asian handicap
Away -1.25
4.50
1st half
1
4.05
X
1.82
2
3.18
Corners 2-Way
Over 8.5
2.00
Under 8.5
1.74
First team to score
Home
2.40
No Goal
5.35
Away
1.93