Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Mercedes at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Puerto Nuevo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.33 | 2.75 | 2.98, which imply roughly 42.9% for a Mercedes win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Mercedes averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Puerto Nuevo averaged 1 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Mercedes or draw.
Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lujan | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 55 |
| 2 |  Canuelas | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Español | 29 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 45 |
| 4 |  Leones de Rosario | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 |  Central Cordoba | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 43 |
| 6 |  General Lamadrid | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 39 |
| 7 |  Sportivo Barracas | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 38 |
| 8 |  Central Ballester | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 38 |
| 9 |  Atletico Atlas | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36 |
| 10 |  El Porvenir | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 36 |
| 11 |  Yupanqui | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 34 |
| 12 |  Claypole | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32 |
| 13 |  Fénix | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 31 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Muñiz | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 23 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.24
X
2.83
2
2.99
Double chance
1X
1.30
X2
1.50
12
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
2.01
No
1.56
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.47
Under 1.5
2.18
Over 2
1.82
Under 2
1.67
Over 1.75
1.64
Under 1.75
2.08
Over 2.25
2.17
Under 2.25
1.55
Over 2.5
2.46
Under 2.5
1.43
Over 2.75
2.97
Under 2.75
1.30
Over 3.5
4.80
Under 3.5
1.11
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
6.05
Over 0.75
1.08
Under 0.75
5.44
Over 1
1.11
Under 1
4.80
Over 1.25
1.32
Under 1.25
3.01
Over 3
4.05
Under 3
1.16
Over 4.5
10.00
Under 4.5
1.03
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.47
2
1.93
Asian handicap
Home 1.5
1.04
Away 1.5
1.12
1st half
1
3.06
X
1.89
2
3.96