Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Mercedes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Español at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.48 | 2.83 | 2.14, which imply roughly 35.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Mercedes averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Deportivo Español averaged 0.4 scored and 0 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Español and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Mercedes vs Deportivo Español — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46 |
| 2 |  Lugano | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 43 |
| 3 |  Berazategui | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 41 |
| 4 |  Centro Español | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 40 |
| 5 |  Estrella Del Sur | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 39 |
| 6 |  Juventud Unida | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 |
| 7 |  Puerto Nuevo | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 38 |
| 8 |  Victoriano Arenas | 27 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 37 |
| 9 |  Mercedes | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 32 |
| 11 |  JJ Urquiza | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 27 |
| 12 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 27 |
| 13 |  Leandro N. Alem | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27 |
| 14 |  Argentino Rosario | 27 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 23 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.07
X
3.02
2
2.27
Double chance
1X
1.52
X2
1.30
12
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
1.94
No
1.77
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.38
Under 1.5
2.70
Over 2.5
2.22
Under 2.5
1.55
Over 3.5
4.20
Under 3.5
1.17
Over 0.5
1.05
Under 0.5
8.00
Over 4.5
8.50
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
13.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 2.25
1.95
Under 2.25
1.70
Draw no bet
1
2.06
2
1.60
Asian handicap
Away -0.25
1.90
1st half
1
3.71
X
1.98
2
2.95