Lugano3rd39 pts
Berazategui7th37 pts
Lugano3rd39 pts
Berazategui7th37 ptsIn the Primera C table, Lugano sit 3rd with 39 points from 25 games, while Berazategui are 7th with 37 points from 25 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lugano at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Berazategui at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.74 | 2.80 | 2.56, which imply roughly 36.5% for a Lugano win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Primera C table: Lugano are 3rd (39 pts, 29-22 goals), Berazategui 7th (37 pts, 26-19).
Over their last five matches, Lugano averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Berazategui averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Lugano or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Lugano vs Berazategui — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 42 |
| 2 |  Centro Español | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 39 |
| 3 |  Lugano | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 |
| 4 |  Estrella Del Sur | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 39 |
| 5 |  Juventud Unida | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 38 |
| 6 |  Puerto Nuevo | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 |  Berazategui | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 |  Mercedes | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 36 |
| 9 |  Victoriano Arenas | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36 |
| 10 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 |
| 11 |  Leandro N. Alem | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 27 |
| 12 |  JJ Urquiza | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 24 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 24 |
| 14 |  Argentino Rosario | 26 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.74
X
2.80
2
2.56
Double chance
1X
1.40
X2
1.35
12
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
2.12
No
1.58
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.52
Under 1.5
2.24
Over 2.5
2.63
Under 2.5
1.41
Over 0.5
1.09
Under 0.5
5.70
Over 3.5
5.55
Under 3.5
1.10
Over 4.5
11.25
Under 4.5
1.03
Over 5.5
17.00
Over 1.75
1.67
Under 1.75
1.89
Over 2
1.86
Under 2
1.68
Over 2.25
2.33
Under 2.25
1.48
Over 2.75
3.28
Under 2.75
1.25
Over 0.75
1.08
Under 0.75
5.50
Over 1
1.12
Under 1
4.75
Over 1.25
1.34
Under 1.25
2.93
Over 3
4.70
Under 3
1.12
Over 3.25
4.90
Under 3.25
1.11
Over 4
9.40
Under 4
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.85
2
1.73
Asian handicap
Home 1.5
1.09
Away 1.5
1.09
1st half
1
3.51
X
1.82
2
3.36
First team to score
Home
2.17
No Goal
5.63
Away
2.10