Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lugano at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lujan at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.12 | 2.74 | 2.32, which imply roughly 36.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Lugano averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Lujan averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lujan.
Lugano vs Lujan — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 |
| 2 |  Estrella Del Sur | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38 |
| 3 |  Berazategui | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 36 |
| 4 |  Lugano | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 36 |
| 5 |  Puerto Nuevo | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 35 |
| 6 |  Centro Español | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34 |
| 7 |  Mercedes | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 33 |
| 8 |  Victoriano Arenas | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 32 |
| 9 |  Juventud Unida | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 29 |
| 10 |  Leandro N. Alem | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27 |
| 11 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 |
| 12 |  Argentino Rosario | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 13 |  JJ Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 20 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.12
X
2.74
2
2.32
Double chance
1X
1.49
X2
1.28
12
1.32
Both teams to score
Yes
2.14
No
1.57
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.53
Under 1.5
2.24
Over 2.5
2.66
Under 2.5
1.40
Over 0.5
1.10
Under 0.5
5.77
Over 3.5
5.18
Under 3.5
1.12
Over 4.5
12.00
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 5.5
15.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 6.5
21.00
Over 1.75
1.73
Under 1.75
1.87
Over 2
1.96
Under 2
1.65
Over 2.25
2.47
Under 2.25
1.44
Over 1
1.18
Under 1
3.90
Over 1.25
1.40
Under 1.25
2.68
Over 2.75
3.34
Under 2.75
1.24
Over 0.75
1.13
Under 0.75
4.54
Over 3
4.65
Under 3
1.12
Over 3.25
5.26
Under 3.25
1.09
Over 4
10.00
Under 4
1.01
Draw no bet
1
2.11
2
1.58
Asian handicap
Away -1.75
7.00
1st half
1
3.85
X
1.84
2
3.10
First team to score
Home
2.30
No Goal
6.13
Away
1.94
Corners 2-Way
Over 6.5
1.26
Under 6.5
3.21