Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates El Porvenir at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fénix at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.21 | 2.61 | 3.60, which imply roughly 45.2% for a El Porvenir win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, El Porvenir averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Fénix averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : El Porvenir or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
El Porvenir vs Fénix — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 |
| 2 |  Lugano | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 |  Mercedes | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 33 |
| 4 |  Berazategui | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 |  Puerto Nuevo | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 33 |
| 6 |  Estrella Del Sur | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 |  Victoriano Arenas | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 31 |
| 8 |  Centro Español | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 30 |
| 9 |  Leandro N. Alem | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 27 |
| 10 |  Juventud Unida | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 25 |
| 11 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
| 12 |  JJ Urquiza | 22 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 21 |
| 13 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 19 |
| 14 |  Argentino Rosario | 22 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.21
X
2.61
2
3.60
Double chance
1X
1.21
X2
1.54
12
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
2.40
No
1.47
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.67
Under 1.5
2.01
Over 2.5
3.02
Under 2.5
1.31
Over 0.5
1.14
Under 0.5
4.66
Over 3.5
5.80
Under 3.5
1.09
Over 4.5
14.75
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
17.00
Over 1.75
1.88
Under 1.75
1.72
Over 2
2.39
Under 2
1.46
Over 2.25
2.79
Under 2.25
1.34
Over 2.75
3.88
Under 2.75
1.18
Over 0.75
1.19
Under 0.75
3.84
Over 1
1.25
Under 1
3.29
Over 1.25
1.49
Under 1.25
2.38
Over 3
5.50
Under 3
1.08
Over 3.25
6.26
Under 3.25
1.06
Draw no bet
1
1.47
2
2.32
Asian handicap
Home -2.5
9.30
1st half
1
3.05
X
1.74
2
4.52
First team to score
Home
1.88
Away
2.65
Corners 2-Way
Over 6.5
1.37
Under 6.5
2.72