Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Lujan at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Central Ballester at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.22 | 5.82, which imply roughly 63.3% for a Lujan win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Lujan averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Central Ballester averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Lujan or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Lujan vs Central Ballester — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 |
| 2 |  Mercedes | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 |  Berazategui | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 32 |
| 4 |  Lugano | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 32 |
| 5 |  Estrella Del Sur | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 |  Centro Español | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30 |
| 7 |  Puerto Nuevo | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 |
| 8 |  Victoriano Arenas | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 |  Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 10 |  Juventud Unida | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 |
| 12 |  JJ Urquiza | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 20 |
| 13 |  Argentino Rosario | 21 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 16 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.61
X
3.19
2
5.60
Double chance
1X
1.09
X2
2.06
12
1.25
Both teams to score
Yes
2.39
No
1.47
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.49
Under 1.5
2.35
Over 2.5
2.50
Under 2.5
1.44
Over 3.5
4.86
Under 3.5
1.13
Over 0.5
1.08
Under 0.5
6.13
Over 4.5
10.17
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 5.5
22.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.64
Under 1.75
1.98
Over 2
1.86
Under 2
1.72
Over 2.25
2.20
Under 2.25
1.55
Over 2.75
3.01
Under 2.75
1.30
Over 0.75
1.09
Under 0.75
5.30
Over 1
1.13
Under 1
4.68
Over 1.25
1.32
Under 1.25
2.97
Over 3
4.09
Under 3
1.16
Over 3.25
4.42
Under 3.25
1.14
Over 4
8.40
Under 4
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.19
2
3.77
Asian handicap
Away 2.25
1.12
1st half
1
2.24
X
1.93
2
6.31
First team to score
Home
1.57
No Goal
6.00
Away
3.23