Odds Analysis & Prediction
Lugano 10%Draw 45%Sportivo Barracas 45%
The statistical model rates Lugano at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sportivo Barracas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.39 | 2.76 | 3.15, which imply roughly 36.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Lugano averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Sportivo Barracas averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sportivo Barracas and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Lugano vs Sportivo Barracas — model comparison
57%
Form
43%
30%
Attack
70%
78%
Defence
22%
15%
Head to head
85%
27%
Goals
73%
47.2%
Overall
52.8%
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
Head to Head
Since Mar 2012 • 21 matches
6
12
Lugano
3wins
Draws
6Sportivo Barracas
12wins
17
goals
TOTAL GOALS
32
goals
O2.5: 11/20BTTS: 9/20
Primera C
2026/2027 Standings• Group A
Note: One or both teams may be in a different phase
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 |
| 2 |  Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 32 |
| 3 |  Centro Español | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 |
| 4 |  Puerto Nuevo | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 |
| 5 |  Estrella Del Sur | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28 |
| 6 |  Victoriano Arenas | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 |  Mercedes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 |
| 8 |  Lugano | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 |  Leandro N. Alem | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 10 |  Juventud Unida | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 12 |  Argentino Rosario | 19 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 13 |  JJ Urquiza | 19 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.39
X
2.76
2
3.15
Double chance
1X
1.28
X2
1.47
12
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
2.28
No
1.57
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.56
Under 1.5
2.22
Over 2.5
2.71
Under 2.5
1.39
Over 3.5
5.30
Under 3.5
1.11
Over 0.5
1.11
Under 0.5
5.31
Over 4.5
10.00
Under 4.5
1.03
Over 5.5
17.00
Over 1.75
1.74
Under 1.75
1.94
Over 2
2.07
Under 2
1.67
Over 2.25
2.44
Under 2.25
1.49
Over 2.75
3.38
Under 2.75
1.26
Over 0.75
1.14
Under 0.75
4.78
Over 1
1.20
Under 1
4.00
Over 1.25
1.39
Under 1.25
2.75
Over 3
4.40
Under 3
1.16
Over 3.25
4.99
Under 3.25
1.13
Over 4
9.50
Under 4
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.59
2
2.11
Asian handicap
Home 1.5
1.04
Away 1.5
1.13
1st half
1
3.14
X
1.84
2
4.04