Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Estrella Del Sur at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Lujan at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.51 | 2.74 | 2.90, which imply roughly 39.8% for a Estrella Del Sur win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Estrella Del Sur averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Lujan averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Estrella Del Sur or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Estrella Del Sur vs Lujan — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 |
| 2 |  Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 32 |
| 3 |  Centro Español | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 |
| 4 |  Mercedes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 29 |
| 5 |  Lugano | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 29 |
| 6 |  Puerto Nuevo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 29 |
| 7 |  Estrella Del Sur | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 |  Victoriano Arenas | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 27 |
| 9 |  Leandro N. Alem | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26 |
| 10 |  Juventud Unida | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 11 |  Defensores de Cambaceres | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 |
| 12 |  JJ Urquiza | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 13 |  Argentino Rosario | 20 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 14 |  Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.51
X
2.74
2
2.90
Double chance
1X
1.33
X2
1.43
12
1.32
Both teams to score
Yes
2.25
No
1.54
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.58
Under 1.5
2.16
Over 2.5
2.83
Under 2.5
1.38
Over 3.5
5.73
Under 3.5
1.11
Over 0.5
1.11
Under 0.5
5.53
Over 4.5
10.67
Under 4.5
1.03
Over 5.5
17.00
Over 1.75
1.80
Under 1.75
1.76
Over 2
2.28
Under 2
1.56
Over 2.25
2.63
Under 2.25
1.41
Over 2.75
3.66
Under 2.75
1.22
Over 0.75
1.16
Under 0.75
4.44
Over 1
1.21
Under 1
3.80
Over 1.25
1.45
Under 1.25
2.56
Over 3
5.00
Under 3
1.12
Over 3.25
5.75
Under 3.25
1.09
Draw no bet
1
1.69
2
1.90
Asian handicap
Home 1.5
1.10
Away 1.5
1.09
1st half
1
3.33
X
1.81
2
3.65
First team to score
Home
2.20
No Goal
5.00
Away
2.20