Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Mercedes7th25 pts
Victoriano Arenas5th26 pts
Mercedes7th25 pts
Victoriano Arenas5th26 ptsIn the Primera C table, Mercedes sit 7th with 25 points from 18 games, while Victoriano Arenas are 5th with 26 points from 18 — the full standings are below.
The statistical model rates Mercedes at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Victoriano Arenas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.39 | 2.73 | 3.10, which imply roughly 41.8% for a Mercedes win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera C table: Mercedes are 7th (25 pts, 18-10 goals), Victoriano Arenas 5th (26 pts, 16-11).
Over their last five matches, Mercedes averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Victoriano Arenas averaged 0.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Mercedes or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31 | |
| 2 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | |
| 3 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 29 | |
| 4 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 | |
| 5 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26 | |
| 6 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26 | |
| 7 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25 | |
| 8 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25 | |
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 23 | |
| 10 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | |
| 11 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | |
| 12 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 16 | |
| 13 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | |
| 14 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
1
2.39
X
2.73
2
3.10
1X
1.27
X2
1.47
12
1.32
Yes
2.34
No
1.48
Over 1.5
1.65
Under 1.5
2.04
Over 2.5
2.98
Under 2.5
1.34
Over 0.5
1.11
Under 0.5
5.09
Over 3.5
5.98
Under 3.5
1.09
Over 4.5
11.00
Under 4.5
1.02
Over 5.5
17.00
Over 1.75
1.88
Under 1.75
1.70
Over 2
2.35
Under 2
1.47
Over 2.25
2.70
Under 2.25
1.36
Over 2.75
3.90
Under 2.75
1.18
Over 0.75
1.15
Under 0.75
4.25
Over 1
1.21
Under 1
3.58
Over 1.25
1.46
Under 1.25
2.45
Over 3
5.65
Under 3
1.08
1
1.61
2
2.06
Home 1.5
1.02
Away 1.5
1.12
1
3.15
X
1.76
2
4.18
Home
1.95
No Goal
4.95
Away
2.47