Deportivo Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi• Primera B Metropolitana, Argentina

#140.6:0.818:30Tomorrow · Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium, Buenos Aires1.4:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90DAFX3.15DAF22.07BTNMargin at best5.7%Books5Markets42Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 30 Oct 02:20 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.90	3.15	2.02	6.9%
Betano	3.60	3.05	2.07	8.9%
Betfair	3.75	3.10	2.00	8.9%
1xBet	3.55	3.10	2.06	9.0%
Bet365	3.50	3.00	2.00	11.9%
Best of all books	3.90	3.15	2.07	5.7%
Average	3.66	3.08	2.03	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportivo MerloArsenal Sarandi

Last 10#14Table position#21.17Points per game1.855Form pts · last 5100.6Goals for · last 51.40.8Goals against · last 50.630Attack rating7043Defence rating5733Form rating670H2H rating10034Goals model6635Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 30 Oct 03:01 UTC

Deportivo Merlo

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:9 · per match 0.6 for, 0.9 against

24 Oct	A	Argentino de Merlo	0-1	L
17 Oct	H	Talleres Remedios	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Deportivo Laferrere	1-1	D
5 Oct	H	Brown DE Adrogue	0-0	D
26 Sep	A	Deportivo Armenio	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Flandria	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Argentino Quilmes	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Defensores Unidos	0-0	D
31 Aug	A	Comunicaciones	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Dock Sud	1-2	L

Arsenal Sarandi

7W 1D 2L · goals 16:5 · per match 1.6 for, 0.5 against

24 Oct	H	Deportivo Camioneros	2-1	W
17 Oct	A	Sportivo Italiano	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	San Martín Burzaco	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Villa San Carlos	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Liniers	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Real Pilar	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	UAI Urquiza	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Villa Dalmine	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Excursionistas	3-0	W
25 Aug	H	Ituzaingó	2-0	W

Head to head

0Deportivo Merlo wins

0draws

1Arsenal Sarandi wins

1 meeting · goals 2:4 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Deportivo Merlo

21 Jun 2026Primera B Metropolitana

Primera B Metropolitana

Arsenal Sarandi4-2Deportivo Merlo

Primera B Metropolitana tablePrim B Metroupdated 30 Oct 03:01 UTC

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Deportivo Merlo sit 14th with 48 points from 41 games, while Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd with 76 points from 41.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	41	24	9	8	68:31	+37	81
2	Arsenal Sarandi	41	21	13	7	55:27	+28	76
3	Talleres Remedios	41	20	11	10	46:26	+20	71
4	Sportivo Italiano	41	19	12	10	47:33	+14	69
5	Villa Dalmine	41	18	14	9	40:27	+13	68
6	Deportivo Camioneros	41	18	13	10	48:34	+14	67
7	Real Pilar	41	18	11	12	44:40	+4	65
8	Deportivo Armenio	41	17	11	13	42:39	+3	62
9	Deportivo Laferrere	41	15	13	13	50:52	-2	58
10	Comunicaciones	41	14	15	12	39:35	+4	57
11	San Martín Burzaco	41	12	15	14	41:46	-5	51
12	Villa San Carlos	41	12	14	15	40:45	-5	50
13	Flandria	41	13	9	19	39:49	-10	48
14	Deportivo Merlo	41	11	15	15	39:54	-15	48
15	Argentino de Merlo	41	12	11	18	37:44	-7	47
16	Argentino Quilmes	41	10	17	14	33:40	-7	47
17	Dock Sud	41	11	14	16	41:49	-8	47
18	Defensores Unidos	41	10	15	16	34:40	-6	45
19	Liniers	41	10	15	16	34:43	-9	45
20	Brown DE Adrogue	41	9	16	16	25:38	-13	43
21	UAI Urquiza	41	7	21	13	25:36	-11	42
22	Ituzaingó	41	1	14	26	28:67	-39	17

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.66X30%3.08245%2.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	2.63	1.47	6.1%
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
1xBet	2.55	1.44	8.7%
Betano	2.52	1.44	9.1%
Best of all books	2.63	1.47	6.1%
Average	2.58	1.45	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.25	1.58	7.7%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Betano	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Best of all books	2.38	1.58	5.3%
Average	2.27	1.56	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportivo Merlo 10%Draw 45%Arsenal Sarandi 45%

The statistical model rates Deportivo Merlo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Arsenal Sarandi at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.66 | 3.08 | 2.03, which imply roughly 32.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: Deportivo Merlo are 14th (48 pts, 39-54 goals), Arsenal Sarandi 2nd (76 pts, 55-27).

Over their last five matches, Deportivo Merlo averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Arsenal Sarandi averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Arsenal Sarandi and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.66	3.08	2.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.70	1.24	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
2.54	1.46

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.27	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
4.52	1.89	2.81

2nd half

1	X	2
4.10	2.15	2.55

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.17	15.8	31.0
HT X	7.70	4.01	4.85
HT 2	48.7	15.8	3.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.60	6.00	1.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	6.03
1.5	1.52	2.41
2.5	2.58	1.45
3.5	5.06	1.13
4.5	9.63	1.04
5.5	15.0	1.01
6.5	21.0	–

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	5.50
1	1.15	4.50
1.25	1.35	2.91
1.75	1.69	2.05
2	1.95	1.76
2.25	2.26	1.57
2.75	3.08	1.32
3	4.00	1.19
3.25	4.70	1.15
4	8.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	3.05	1.34
0	2.58	1.47
+0.25	2.00	1.76
+0.5	1.71	2.05
+0.75	1.52	2.40
+1	1.32	3.20

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.10	1.03
-0.75	4.65	1.18
-0.5	3.55	1.27
+1.25	1.25	3.65
+1.5	1.21	4.08
+1.75	1.14	5.75
+2.5	1.02	9.30

Next Primera B Metropolitana matches

31 Oct	Deportivo Camioneros – Excursionistas
31 Oct	Sportivo Italiano – Villa Dalmine

All Primera B Metropolitana fixtures and the table

Latest Primera B Metropolitana results

26 Oct	Brown DE Adrogue 0-1 Defensores Unidos
26 Oct	UAI Urquiza 2-0 Villa San Carlos
25 Oct	Talleres Remedios 4-0 Dock Sud
24 Oct	Real Pilar 2-1 Liniers
24 Oct	Deportivo Armenio 0-1 Argentino Quilmes
24 Oct	Deportivo Laferrere 1-0 Comunicaciones