Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi• Primera B Metropolitana, Argentina

#31.2:0.60-0FTToday · Republica de Italia Stadium, Buenos Aires1.6:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.56PINX2.90B36522.88WHMargin at best8.3%Books6Markets42Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 16:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.56	2.83	2.88	9.1%
William Hill	2.50	2.75	2.88	11.1%
1xBet	2.46	2.80	2.82	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.46	2.80	2.82	11.8%
Bet365	2.45	2.90	2.70	12.3%
BetVictor	2.30	2.70	2.55	19.7%
Best of all books	2.56	2.90	2.88	8.3%
Average	2.46	2.80	2.78	12.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sportivo ItalianoArsenal Sarandi

Last 10#3Table position#21.74Points per game1.8510Form pts · last 591.2Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 50.843Attack rating5757Defence rating4353Form rating47100H2H rating046Goals model5455Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:50 UTC

Sportivo Italiano

6W 1D 3L · goals 15:7 · per match 1.5 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	A	Argentino de Merlo	2-1	W
4 Oct	H	Talleres Remedios	2-0	W
26 Sep	A	Deportivo Laferrere	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Brown DE Adrogue	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Deportivo Armenio	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Flandria	3-1	W
29 Aug	A	Argentino Quilmes	2-0	W
25 Aug	H	Defensores Unidos	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Comunicaciones	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Dock Sud	4-0	W

Arsenal Sarandi

6W 1D 3L · goals 14:5 · per match 1.4 for, 0.5 against

10 Oct	H	San Martín Burzaco	3-1	W
3 Oct	A	Villa San Carlos	0-1	L
26 Sep	H	Liniers	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Real Pilar	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	UAI Urquiza	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Villa Dalmine	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Excursionistas	3-0	W
25 Aug	H	Ituzaingó	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Argentino de Merlo	0-0	D
15 Aug	H	Talleres Remedios	0-1	L

Head to head

1Sportivo Italiano wins

0draws

0Arsenal Sarandi wins

1 meeting · goals 3:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Sportivo Italiano

6 Jun 2026Primera B Metropolitana

Primera B Metropolitana

Arsenal Sarandi1-3Sportivo Italiano

Primera B Metropolitana tablePrim B Metroupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Sportivo Italiano sit 3rd with 68 points from 39 games, while Arsenal Sarandi are 2nd with 72 points from 39.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	39	23	8	8	63:30	+33	77
2	Arsenal Sarandi	39	20	12	7	53:26	+27	72
3	Sportivo Italiano	39	19	11	9	47:29	+18	68
4	Talleres Remedios	39	19	11	9	41:24	+17	68
5	Deportivo Camioneros	40	18	13	9	47:32	+15	67
6	Villa Dalmine	39	17	14	8	39:24	+15	65
7	Deportivo Armenio	39	17	10	12	42:38	+4	61
8	Real Pilar	39	17	10	12	42:39	+3	61
9	Comunicaciones	39	14	14	11	39:34	+5	56
10	Deportivo Laferrere	40	14	13	13	49:52	-3	55
11	San Martín Burzaco	39	12	14	13	40:44	-4	50
12	Dock Sud	40	11	14	15	41:45	-4	47
13	Villa San Carlos	39	11	14	14	37:43	-6	47
14	Liniers	40	10	15	15	33:41	-8	45
15	Deportivo Merlo	39	10	15	14	37:52	-15	45
16	Argentino Quilmes	39	9	17	13	32:39	-7	44
17	Argentino de Merlo	40	11	11	18	36:44	-8	44
18	Brown DE Adrogue	39	9	15	15	25:37	-12	42
19	Flandria	39	11	9	19	35:48	-13	42
20	Defensores Unidos	39	9	14	16	33:40	-7	41
21	UAI Urquiza	40	6	21	13	23:36	-13	39
22	Ituzaingó	39	1	13	25	27:64	-37	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.46X32%2.80232%2.78

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.63 → 2.46 -6.5%X2.95 → 2.80 -5.1%22.65 → 2.78 +4.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
Pinnacle	2.50	1.48	7.6%
1xBet	2.33	1.48	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.33	1.48	10.5%
BetVictor	2.00	1.43	19.9%
Best of all books	2.50	1.53	5.4%
Average	2.31	1.48	10.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.97	1.73	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.97	1.71	9.2%
BetVictor	1.78	1.57	19.9%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	1.95	1.69	10.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sportivo Italiano 45%Draw 45%Arsenal Sarandi 10%

The statistical model rated Sportivo Italiano at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arsenal Sarandi at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.46 | 2.80 | 2.78, which imply roughly 40.7% for a Sportivo Italiano win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: Sportivo Italiano are 3rd (68 pts, 47-29 goals), Arsenal Sarandi 2nd (72 pts, 53-26).

Over their last five matches, Sportivo Italiano averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Arsenal Sarandi averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sportivo Italiano or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.46	2.80	2.78

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.34	1.44	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.68	1.93

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.95	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
3.18	1.88	3.56

2nd half

1	X	2
2.88	2.19	3.25

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.10	15.0	36.7
HT X	5.50	4.02	6.30
HT 2	35.3	15.7	4.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	5.65	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.83
1.5	1.43	2.46
2.5	2.31	1.48
3.5	4.15	1.14
4.5	7.78	1.04
5.5	21.0	1.01
6.5	21.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.70
1	1.14	4.69
1.25	1.29	2.99
1.75	1.55	2.13
2	1.75	1.84
2.25	2.03	1.61
2.75	2.86	1.34
3	3.58	1.21
3.25	4.05	1.17
3.75	5.65	1.08
4	8.30	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.91	1.31
-0.5	2.35	1.46
-0.25	2.06	1.62
0	1.71	1.94
+0.25	1.48	2.32
+0.5	1.37	2.64

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.10	1.04
-1.5	5.37	1.11
-1.25	4.83	1.13
-1	4.30	1.16
+0.75	1.23	3.39
+1	1.11	5.32
+1.25	1.09	5.85
+1.5	1.07	6.35
+1.75	1.01	8.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.85	1.95