San Martín Burzaco vs Excursionistas• Primera B Metropolitana, Argentina

#111.8:1.61-1FTToday · Francisco Boga Stadium, Buenos Aires2.4:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.75B365X3.86PIN21.57WHMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets52Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 16:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	5.33	3.86	1.55	9.2%
1xBet	5.67	3.62	1.53	10.6%
Bet365	5.75	3.70	1.50	11.1%
Marathonbet	5.55	3.62	1.51	11.9%
William Hill	5.00	3.50	1.57	12.3%
BetVictor	5.25	3.13	1.45	20.0%
Best of all books	5.75	3.86	1.57	7.0%
Average	5.42	3.57	1.52	12.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San Martín BurzacoExcursionistas

Last 10#11Table position#11.28Points per game1.979Form pts · last 5121.8Goals for · last 52.41.6Goals against · last 50.443Attack rating5720Defence rating8043Form rating577H2H rating9342Goals model5831Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 03:50 UTC

San Martín Burzaco

4W 2D 4L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	A	Arsenal Sarandi	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Argentino de Merlo	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Talleres Remedios	2-3	L
19 Sep	H	Deportivo Laferrere	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Brown DE Adrogue	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Deportivo Armenio	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Flandria	0-2	L
25 Aug	H	Argentino Quilmes	3-2	W
22 Aug	A	Defensores Unidos	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Comunicaciones	0-0	D

Excursionistas

8W 0D 2L · goals 23:10 · per match 2.3 for, 1.0 against

9 Oct	H	Villa San Carlos	4-0	W
3 Oct	A	Liniers	0-1	L
25 Sep	H	Real Pilar	3-0	W
19 Sep	A	UAI Urquiza	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Villa Dalmine	3-0	W
7 Sep	H	Ituzaingó	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Arsenal Sarandi	0-3	L
25 Aug	H	Argentino de Merlo	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Talleres Remedios	2-1	W
15 Aug	H	Deportivo Laferrere	5-3	W

Head to head

5San Martín Burzaco wins

3draws

11Excursionistas wins

19 meetings · goals 22:35 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for San Martín Burzaco

6 Jun 2026Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas2-0San Martín Burzaco
22 Sep 2025Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas4-2San Martín Burzaco
3 May 2025Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	San Martín Burzaco0-1Excursionistas
17 Aug 2024Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Excursionistas4-2San Martín Burzaco
30 Mar 2024Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	San Martín Burzaco1-1Excursionistas
14 Oct 2023Primera C	Primera C	Excursionistas1-0San Martín Burzaco
16 Sep 2023Primera C	Primera C	Excursionistas4-0San Martín Burzaco
7 May 2023Primera C	Primera C	San Martín Burzaco1-1Excursionistas
1 Oct 2022Primera C	Primera C	Excursionistas1-0San Martín Burzaco
29 May 2022Primera C	Primera C	San Martín Burzaco2-4Excursionistas

Primera B Metropolitana tablePrim B Metroupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, San Martín Burzaco sit 11th with 50 points from 39 games, while Excursionistas are 1st with 77 points from 39.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	39	23	8	8	63:30	+33	77
2	Arsenal Sarandi	39	20	12	7	53:26	+27	72
3	Sportivo Italiano	39	19	11	9	47:29	+18	68
4	Talleres Remedios	39	19	11	9	41:24	+17	68
5	Deportivo Camioneros	40	18	13	9	47:32	+15	67
6	Villa Dalmine	39	17	14	8	39:24	+15	65
7	Deportivo Armenio	39	17	10	12	42:38	+4	61
8	Real Pilar	39	17	10	12	42:39	+3	61
9	Comunicaciones	39	14	14	11	39:34	+5	56
10	Deportivo Laferrere	40	14	13	13	49:52	-3	55
11	San Martín Burzaco	39	12	14	13	40:44	-4	50
12	Dock Sud	40	11	14	15	41:45	-4	47
13	Villa San Carlos	39	11	14	14	37:43	-6	47
14	Liniers	40	10	15	15	33:41	-8	45
15	Deportivo Merlo	39	10	15	14	37:52	-15	45
16	Argentino Quilmes	39	9	17	13	32:39	-7	44
17	Argentino de Merlo	40	11	11	18	36:44	-8	44
18	Brown DE Adrogue	39	9	15	15	25:37	-12	42
19	Flandria	39	11	9	19	35:48	-13	42
20	Defensores Unidos	39	9	14	16	33:40	-7	41
21	UAI Urquiza	40	6	21	13	23:36	-13	39
22	Ituzaingó	39	1	13	25	27:64	-37	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.43X25%3.57259%1.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.66 → 5.43 +48.4%X3.27 → 3.57 +9.2%21.93 → 1.52 -21.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.17	1.65	6.7%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
BetVictor	1.88	1.50	19.9%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.10	1.60	9.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.38	1.53	7.4%
William Hill	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.15	1.61	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.59	9.4%
BetVictor	1.93	1.47	19.8%
Best of all books	2.38	1.62	3.7%
Average	2.15	1.56	10.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Martín Burzaco 10%Draw 45%Excursionistas 45%

The statistical model rated San Martín Burzaco at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Excursionistas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.43 | 3.57 | 1.52, which imply roughly 28% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: San Martín Burzaco are 11th (50 pts, 40-44 goals), Excursionistas 1st (77 pts, 63-30).

Over their last five matches, San Martín Burzaco averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Excursionistas averaged 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Excursionistas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.43	3.57	1.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.23	1.10	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
3.86	1.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.15	1.56

1st half

1	X	2
5.94	2.06	2.12

2nd half

1	X	2
5.33	2.36	2.01

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.00	17.8	27.7
HT X	10.7	4.98	4.22
HT 2	47.3	17.3	2.57

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.10	7.25	1.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	6.83
1.5	1.35	2.70
2.5	2.10	1.60
3.5	3.66	1.18
4.5	6.70	1.04
5.5	16.0	1.02
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.95
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.23	3.53
1.75	1.44	2.37
2	1.58	2.07
2.25	1.83	1.77
2.75	2.37	1.44
3	3.12	1.29
3.25	3.48	1.22
3.75	4.80	1.12
4	6.75	1.04
4.25	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.78	1.34
+0.5	2.26	1.50
+0.75	2.00	1.66
+1	1.72	1.94
+1.25	1.51	2.26
+1.5	1.40	2.56

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.20	1.02
-1.25	8.68	1.01
-1	8.80	1.01
-0.75	6.82	1.07
-0.5	3.83	1.22
-0.25	4.21	1.16
0	3.95	1.17
+1.75	1.27	3.12
+2	1.16	4.40
+2.25	1.13	4.87
+2.5	1.12	5.30
+2.75	1.07	6.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.67	2.10
9	1.95	1.85