OddsFilter

Excursionistas vs Villa San Carlos• Primera B Metropolitana, Argentina

#12.0:0.623:00Today · Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires0.6:0.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.66DAFX3.771XB26.101XBMargin at best3.2%Books9Markets56Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 16:12 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.663.754.907.3%
Betano1.533.706.108.8%
Pinnacle1.653.384.9610.4%
1xBet1.483.776.1010.5%
Bet3651.533.605.5011.3%
Marathonbet1.563.425.4011.9%
William Hill1.623.404.8012.0%
Betfair1.553.605.0012.3%
BetVictor1.533.134.4020.0%
Best of all books1.663.776.103.2%
Average1.573.535.2411.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ExcursionistasVilla San Carlos
Last 10#1Table position#131.95Points per game1.2412Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 50.60.6Goals against · last 50.277Attack rating2325Defence rating7557Form rating4362H2H rating3875Goals model2559Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:31 UTC

Excursionistas

7W 0D 3L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

3 OctALiniers0-1L
25 SepHReal Pilar3-0W
19 SepAUAI Urquiza2-1W
12 SepHVilla Dalmine3-0W
7 SepHItuzaingó2-1W
29 AugAArsenal Sarandi0-3L
25 AugHArgentino de Merlo2-0W
22 AugATalleres Remedios2-1W
15 AugHDeportivo Laferrere5-3W
8 AugABrown DE Adrogue0-1L

Villa San Carlos

6W 3D 1L · goals 10:4 · per match 1.0 for, 0.4 against

3 OctHArsenal Sarandi1-0W
26 SepAArgentino de Merlo1-0W
20 SepHTalleres Remedios0-0D
12 SepADeportivo Laferrere1-1D
6 SepHBrown DE Adrogue0-0D
30 AugADeportivo Armenio0-1L
25 AugHFlandria3-2W
22 AugAArgentino Quilmes2-0W
16 AugHDefensores Unidos1-0W
7 AugAComunicaciones1-0W

Head to head

4Excursionistas wins
4draws
3Villa San Carlos wins

11 meetings · goals 10:9 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Excursionistas

31 May 2026Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B MetropolitanaVilla San Carlos0-2Excursionistas
22 Aug 2025Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B MetropolitanaExcursionistas0-0Villa San Carlos
5 Apr 2025Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B MetropolitanaVilla San Carlos2-1Excursionistas
14 Jul 2024Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B MetropolitanaVilla San Carlos2-2Excursionistas
24 Feb 2024Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B MetropolitanaExcursionistas1-0Villa San Carlos
30 Jun 2019Primera CPrimera CExcursionistas1-0Villa San Carlos
22 Jun 2019Primera CPrimera CVilla San Carlos3-2Excursionistas
25 Feb 2019Primera CPrimera CVilla San Carlos0-1Excursionistas
18 Sep 2018Primera CPrimera CExcursionistas0-0Villa San Carlos
15 May 2017Primera B MetropolitanaPrimera B MetropolitanaVilla San Carlos2-0Excursionistas

Primera B Metropolitana tablePrim B Metroupdated 9 Oct 02:11 UTC

In the Primera B Metropolitana table, Excursionistas sit 1st with 74 points from 38 games, while Villa San Carlos are 13th with 47 points from 38.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Excursionistas38228859:30+2974
2Arsenal Sarandi381912750:25+2569
3Talleres Remedios381910940:23+1767
4Sportivo Italiano381811945:28+1765
5Villa Dalmine381713838:23+1564
6Deportivo Camioneros381712943:29+1463
7Real Pilar3817101142:38+461
8Deportivo Armenio381791242:38+460
9Comunicaciones3814131139:34+555
10Deportivo Laferrere3813121346:50-451
11San Martín Burzaco3812141239:41-250
12Dock Sud3811141340:42-247
13Villa San Carlos3811141337:39-247
14Argentino de Merlo3811111633:39-644
15Deportivo Merlo3810141436:51-1544
16Argentino Quilmes389161330:37-743
17Liniers3810131531:39-843
18Defensores Unidos389141533:39-641
19Brown DE Adrogue388151524:37-1339
20Flandria381091934:48-1439
21UAI Urquiza385201321:35-1435
22Ituzaingó381122525:62-3715

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg157%1.57X25%3.53217%5.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 02:019 Oct 17:001 1.57X 3.532 5.24
11.63 → 1.57 -3.7%X3.67 → 3.53 -3.8%24.87 → 5.24 +7.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3652.051.755.9%
Pinnacle2.081.697.2%
Betano1.981.728.6%
1xBet2.021.689.0%
Marathonbet2.021.689.0%
BetVictor1.791.5620.0%
Best of all books2.081.755.2%
Average1.991.689.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.101.677.5%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
1xBet2.001.718.5%
Betano2.051.678.7%
Marathonbet2.001.699.2%
BetVictor1.781.5719.9%
Best of all books2.101.803.2%
Average1.971.699.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Excursionistas 45%Draw 45%Villa San Carlos 10%

The statistical model rates Excursionistas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Villa San Carlos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 3.53 | 5.24, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Excursionistas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: Excursionistas are 1st (74 pts, 59-30 goals), Villa San Carlos 13th (47 pts, 37-39).

Over their last five matches, Excursionistas averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Villa San Carlos averaged 0.6 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Excursionistas.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.573.535.24

Double chance

1XX212
1.112.191.21

Draw no bet

12
1.193.81

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.971.69

1st half

1X2
2.122.085.74

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.488.953.10

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.047.16
1.51.312.94
2.51.991.68
3.53.401.22
4.56.281.06
5.513.81.02
6.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.70
11.046.95
1.251.213.76
1.751.382.52
21.552.16
2.251.751.85
2.752.251.48
32.751.32
3.253.161.28
3.754.551.13
46.451.05
4.256.851.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.511.43
-1.252.341.48
-11.991.69
-0.751.751.88
-0.51.572.16
-0.251.372.67
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.201.02
-3.258.701.01
-2.757.021.06
-2.55.371.11
-2.254.931.13
-24.071.16
-1.753.021.29
01.183.86
+0.251.134.93
+0.51.135.90
+0.751.037.30
+1.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.672.10
91.901.90
9.52.101.67