Sportivo Italiano vs Villa San Carlos Odds Analysis & Prediction – Primera B Metropolitana (Jul 14, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sportivo Italiano 45%Draw 45%Villa San Carlos 10%

The statistical model rates Sportivo Italiano at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Villa San Carlos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.84 | 2.98 | 4.34, which imply roughly 54.3% for a Sportivo Italiano win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: Sportivo Italiano are 6th (33 pts, 22-19 goals), Villa San Carlos 21st (17 pts, 20-28).

Over their last five matches, Sportivo Italiano averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Villa San Carlos averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sportivo Italiano or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Sportivo Italiano vs Villa San Carlos — model comparison

42%

Form

58%

38%

Attack

63%

43%

Defence

57%

62%

Head to head

38%

67%

Goals

33%

50.8%

Overall

49.3%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Primera B Metropolitana

2026/2027 Standings• Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	21	12	6	3	+16	42
2	Arsenal Sarandi	21	11	7	3	+15	40
3	Villa Dalmine	21	11	7	3	+15	40
4	Talleres Remedios	21	11	6	4	+12	39
5	Deportivo Camioneros	21	9	8	4	+7	35
6	Sportivo Italiano	21	9	6	6	+3	33
7	Real Pilar	21	9	5	7	+1	32
8	Comunicaciones	21	8	7	6	+3	31
9	Deportivo Merlo	21	8	7	6	-2	31
10	San Martín Burzaco	21	7	8	6	+3	29
11	Deportivo Armenio	21	8	4	9	-3	28
12	Argentino de Merlo	21	7	6	8	-1	27
13	Deportivo Laferrere	21	7	6	8	-5	27
14	Argentino Quilmes	21	6	8	7	+2	26
15	Liniers	21	6	6	9	-7	24
16	Dock Sud	21	5	8	8	0	23
17	Defensores Unidos	21	5	8	8	-4	23
18	Flandria	21	6	4	11	-9	22
19	UAI Urquiza	21	3	12	6	-4	21
20	Brown DE Adrogue	21	4	7	10	-13	19
21	Villa San Carlos	21	3	8	10	-8	17
22	Ituzaingó	21	1	6	14	-21	9

Betting Odds

Full time

1.84

2.98

4.34

Double chance

1.16

1.81

1.28

Both teams to score

Yes

2.24

1.54

Match goals

Over 1.5

1.50

Under 1.5

2.34

Over 2.5

2.50

Under 2.5

1.43

Over 0.5

1.08

Under 0.5

5.80

Over 3.5

4.67

Under 3.5

1.12

Over 4.5

9.04

Under 4.5

1.03

Over 5.5

15.00

Under 5.5

1.01

Over 6.5

21.00

Over 1.75

1.62

Under 1.75

1.93

Over 2

1.88

Under 2

1.70

Over 2.25

2.16

Under 2.25

1.51

Over 2.75

3.08

Under 2.75

1.28

Over 0.75

1.09

Under 0.75

5.25

Over 1

1.13

Under 1

4.60

Over 1.25

1.34

Under 1.25

2.91

Over 3

4.30

Under 3

1.15

Over 3.25

4.70

Under 3.25

1.12

Over 3.75

6.77

Under 3.75

1.05

Over 4

8.80

Under 4

1.02

Draw no bet

1.30

2.97

Asian handicap

Away 2.25

1.03

1st half

2.55

1.89

4.99

First team to score

Home

1.66

No Goal

6.03

Away

2.90

Sportivo ItalianovsVilla San Carlos• Primera B Metropolitana,Argentina