Ituzaingó vs San Martín Burzaco Odds Analysis & Prediction – Primera B Metropolitana (Jul 14, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ituzaingó 10%Draw 45%San Martín Burzaco 45%

The statistical model rates Ituzaingó at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and San Martín Burzaco at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.73 | 2.82 | 2.57, which imply roughly 35.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: Ituzaingó are 22nd (9 pts, 15-36 goals), San Martín Burzaco 10th (29 pts, 22-19).

Over their last five matches, Ituzaingó averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; San Martín Burzaco averaged 0.2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or San Martín Burzaco and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Ituzaingó vs San Martín Burzaco — model comparison

33%

Form

67%

83%

Attack

17%

25%

Defence

75%

38%

Head to head

62%

36%

Goals

64%

39.3%

Overall

60.7%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Primera B Metropolitana

2026/2027 Standings• Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	21	12	6	3	+16	42
2	Arsenal Sarandi	21	11	7	3	+15	40
3	Villa Dalmine	21	11	7	3	+15	40
4	Talleres Remedios	21	11	6	4	+12	39
5	Deportivo Camioneros	21	9	8	4	+7	35
6	Sportivo Italiano	21	9	6	6	+3	33
7	Real Pilar	21	9	5	7	+1	32
8	Comunicaciones	21	8	7	6	+3	31
9	Deportivo Merlo	21	8	7	6	-2	31
10	San Martín Burzaco	21	7	8	6	+3	29
11	Deportivo Armenio	21	8	4	9	-3	28
12	Argentino de Merlo	21	7	6	8	-1	27
13	Deportivo Laferrere	21	7	6	8	-5	27
14	Argentino Quilmes	21	6	8	7	+2	26
15	Liniers	21	6	6	9	-7	24
16	Dock Sud	21	5	8	8	0	23
17	Defensores Unidos	21	5	8	8	-4	23
18	Flandria	21	6	4	11	-9	22
19	UAI Urquiza	21	3	12	6	-4	21
20	Brown DE Adrogue	21	4	7	10	-13	19
21	Villa San Carlos	21	3	8	10	-8	17
22	Ituzaingó	21	1	6	14	-21	9

Betting Odds

Full time

2.73

2.82

2.57

Double chance

1.42

1.36

1.32

Both teams to score

Yes

2.08

1.63

Match goals

Over 1.5

1.50

Under 1.5

2.35

Over 2.5

2.50

Under 2.5

1.43

Over 3.5

4.62

Under 3.5

1.13

Over 0.5

1.08

Under 0.5

5.92

Over 4.5

8.98

Under 4.5

1.03

Over 5.5

23.00

Under 5.5

1.01

Over 1.75

1.63

Under 1.75

1.95

Over 2

1.88

Under 2

1.70

Over 2.25

2.15

Under 2.25

1.49

Over 2.75

3.08

Under 2.75

1.28

Over 0.75

1.09

Under 0.75

5.40

Over 1

1.12

Under 1

4.75

Over 1.25

1.31

Under 1.25

2.77

Over 3

4.20

Under 3

1.15

Over 3.25

4.64

Under 3.25

1.12

Over 3.75

6.75

Under 3.75

1.06

Over 4

8.60

Under 4

1.02

Draw no bet

1.85

1.75

Asian handicap

Home 1.75

1.02

Away 1.75

1.01

1st half

3.49

1.87

3.33

First team to score

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