Defensores Unidos vs Excursionistas Odds Analysis & Prediction – Primera B Metropolitana (Jul 14, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Defensores Unidos 10%Draw 45%Excursionistas 45%

The statistical model rates Defensores Unidos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Excursionistas at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.16 | 2.90 | 2.24, which imply roughly 34.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: Defensores Unidos are 17th (23 pts, 18-22 goals), Excursionistas 1st (42 pts, 28-12).

Over their last five matches, Defensores Unidos averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Excursionistas averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Excursionistas.

Defensores Unidos vs Excursionistas — model comparison

22%

Form

78%

25%

Attack

75%

46%

Defence

54%

40%

Head to head

60%

44%

Goals

56%

37.8%

Overall

62.2%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Primera B Metropolitana

2026/2027 Standings• Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	21	12	6	3	+16	42
2	Arsenal Sarandi	21	11	7	3	+15	40
3	Villa Dalmine	21	11	7	3	+15	40
4	Talleres Remedios	21	11	6	4	+12	39
5	Deportivo Camioneros	21	9	8	4	+7	35
6	Sportivo Italiano	21	9	6	6	+3	33
7	Real Pilar	21	9	5	7	+1	32
8	Comunicaciones	21	8	7	6	+3	31
9	Deportivo Merlo	21	8	7	6	-2	31
10	San Martín Burzaco	21	7	8	6	+3	29
11	Deportivo Armenio	21	8	4	9	-3	28
12	Argentino de Merlo	21	7	6	8	-1	27
13	Deportivo Laferrere	21	7	6	8	-5	27
14	Argentino Quilmes	21	6	8	7	+2	26
15	Liniers	21	6	6	9	-7	24
16	Dock Sud	21	5	8	8	0	23
17	Defensores Unidos	21	5	8	8	-4	23
18	Flandria	21	6	4	11	-9	22
19	UAI Urquiza	21	3	12	6	-4	21
20	Brown DE Adrogue	21	4	7	10	-13	19
21	Villa San Carlos	21	3	8	10	-8	17
22	Ituzaingó	21	1	6	14	-21	9