Argentino Quilmes vs Arsenal Sarandi Odds Analysis & Prediction – Primera B Metropolitana (Jul 14, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Argentino Quilmes 10%Draw 45%Arsenal Sarandi 45%

The statistical model rates Argentino Quilmes at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Arsenal Sarandi at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.46 | 2.86 | 2.14, which imply roughly 35% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: Argentino Quilmes are 14th (26 pts, 23-21 goals), Arsenal Sarandi 2nd (40 pts, 31-16).

Over their last five matches, Argentino Quilmes averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Arsenal Sarandi averaged 2.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal Sarandi.

Argentino Quilmes vs Arsenal Sarandi — model comparison

28%

Form

72%

35%

Attack

65%

33%

Defence

67%

100%

Head to head

100%

Goals

30.8%

Overall

69.3%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Primera B Metropolitana

2026/2027 Standings• Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	21	12	6	3	+16	42
2	Arsenal Sarandi	21	11	7	3	+15	40
3	Villa Dalmine	21	11	7	3	+15	40
4	Talleres Remedios	21	11	6	4	+12	39
5	Deportivo Camioneros	21	9	8	4	+7	35
6	Sportivo Italiano	21	9	6	6	+3	33
7	Real Pilar	21	9	5	7	+1	32
8	Comunicaciones	21	8	7	6	+3	31
9	Deportivo Merlo	21	8	7	6	-2	31
10	San Martín Burzaco	21	7	8	6	+3	29
11	Deportivo Armenio	21	8	4	9	-3	28
12	Argentino de Merlo	21	7	6	8	-1	27
13	Deportivo Laferrere	21	7	6	8	-5	27
14	Argentino Quilmes	21	6	8	7	+2	26
15	Liniers	21	6	6	9	-7	24
16	Dock Sud	21	5	8	8	0	23
17	Defensores Unidos	21	5	8	8	-4	23
18	Flandria	21	6	4	11	-9	22
19	UAI Urquiza	21	3	12	6	-4	21
20	Brown DE Adrogue	21	4	7	10	-13	19
21	Villa San Carlos	21	3	8	10	-8	17
22	Ituzaingó	21	1	6	14	-21	9

Betting Odds

Full time

3.10

2.91

2.26

Double chance

1.52

1.30

Both teams to score

Yes

1.98

1.70

Match goals

Over 1.5

1.43

Under 1.5

2.50

Over 2.5

2.33

Under 2.5

1.50

Over 3.5

4.24

Under 3.5

1.15

Over 0.5

1.07

Under 0.5

6.10

Over 4.5

7.98

Under 4.5

1.03

Over 5.5

22.00

Under 5.5

1.01

Over 6.5

21.00

Over 1.75

1.53

Under 1.75

2.09

Over 2

1.73

Under 2

1.84

Over 2.25

1.99

Under 2.25

1.61

Over 2.75

2.74

Under 2.75

1.35

Over 0.75

1.07

Under 0.75

5.80

Over 1

1.10

Under 1

5.20

Over 1.25

1.26

Under 1.25

3.20

Over 3

3.58

Under 3

1.21

Over 3.25

3.95

Under 3.25

1.17

Over 3.75

5.45

Under 3.75

1.08

Over 4

7.80

Under 4

1.02

Over 4.25

7.57

Under 4.25

1.03

Draw no bet

2.13

1.57

Asian handicap

Away -2.5

9.70

1st half

3.80

1.91

2.98

First team to score

Home

2.34

No Goal

6.30

Away

1.88

Argentino QuilmesvsArsenal Sarandi• Primera B Metropolitana,Argentina