UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Merlo Odds Analysis & Prediction – Primera B Metropolitana (Jul 10, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UAI Urquiza 45%Draw 45%Deportivo Merlo 10%

The statistical model rates UAI Urquiza at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Merlo at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.58 | 2.74 | 2.83, which imply roughly 38.8% for a UAI Urquiza win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B Metropolitana table: UAI Urquiza are 19th (21 pts, 12-16 goals), Deportivo Merlo 9th (31 pts, 26-28).

Over their last five matches, UAI Urquiza averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Deportivo Merlo averaged 1 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : UAI Urquiza or draw.

UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo Merlo — model comparison

86%

Form

14%

29%

Attack

71%

75%

Defence

25%

64%

Head to head

36%

57%

Goals

43%

61.3%

Overall

38.7%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Primera B Metropolitana

2026/2027 Standings• Apertura

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	21	12	6	3	+16	42
2	Arsenal Sarandi	21	11	7	3	+15	40
3	Villa Dalmine	21	11	7	3	+15	40
4	Talleres Remedios	21	11	6	4	+12	39
5	Deportivo Camioneros	21	9	8	4	+7	35
6	Sportivo Italiano	21	9	6	6	+3	33
7	Real Pilar	21	9	5	7	+1	32
8	Comunicaciones	21	8	7	6	+3	31
9	Deportivo Merlo	21	8	7	6	-2	31
10	San Martín Burzaco	21	7	8	6	+3	29
11	Deportivo Armenio	21	8	4	9	-3	28
12	Argentino de Merlo	21	7	6	8	-1	27
13	Deportivo Laferrere	21	7	6	8	-5	27
14	Argentino Quilmes	21	6	8	7	+2	26
15	Liniers	21	6	6	9	-7	24
16	Dock Sud	21	5	8	8	0	23
17	Defensores Unidos	21	5	8	8	-4	23
18	Flandria	21	6	4	11	-9	22
19	UAI Urquiza	21	3	12	6	-4	21
20	Brown DE Adrogue	21	4	7	10	-13	19
21	Villa San Carlos	21	3	8	10	-8	17
22	Ituzaingó	21	1	6	14	-21	9