Tristan Suarez vs Patronato• Primera Nacional, Argentina

#10.2:0.01-0FTToday · Estadio 20 de Octubre, Tristan Suarez1.2:0.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91WHX3.20B36525.75B365Margin at best1.0%Books6Markets73Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L50.9

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.88	3.00	5.30	5.4%
BetVictor	1.75	3.10	5.50	7.6%
Bet365	1.67	3.20	5.75	8.5%
William Hill	1.91	2.80	4.75	9.1%
1xBet	1.82	2.88	4.79	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.80	2.88	4.65	11.8%
Best of all books	1.91	3.20	5.75	1.0%
Average	1.80	2.98	5.12	8.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Tristan SuarezPatronato

Last 10#1Table position#151.79Points per game1.127Form pts · last 580.2Goals for · last 51.20.0Goals against · last 50.414Attack rating86100Defence rating047Form rating5329H2H rating7180Goals model2040Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:40 UTC

Tristan Suarez

4W 5D 1L · goals 9:3 · per match 0.9 for, 0.3 against

10 Oct	A	Colegiales	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Quilmes	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Midland	1-0	W
21 Sep	H	Atlanta	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	San Martin S.J.	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Gimnasia Y Tiro	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	San Martin Tucuman	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Atletico DE Rafaela	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Agropecuario	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Almirante Brown	3-1	W

Patronato

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	Club Atlético Güemes	2-0	W
4 Oct	A	Chacarita Juniors	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	San Martin S.J.	3-0	W
21 Sep	A	Nueva Chicago	1-1	D
13 Sep	H	Temperley	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Deportivo Maipu	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Almagro	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Atlanta	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Gimnasia Jujuy	3-3	D
15 Aug	A	Colon Santa Fe	0-3	L

Head to head

1Tristan Suarez wins

1draws

3Patronato wins

5 meetings · goals 3:7 · last 5: 1W 1D 3L for Tristan Suarez

31 May 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Patronato1-1Tristan Suarez
6 Jul 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Patronato2-0Tristan Suarez
1 Mar 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Tristan Suarez2-0Patronato
7 Jul 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Patronato3-0Tristan Suarez
17 Feb 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Tristan Suarez0-1Patronato

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Primera Nacional table, Tristan Suarez sit 1st with 59 points from 33 games, while Patronato are 15th with 37 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	33	15	14	4	32:15	+17	59
2	Temperley	33	16	11	6	40:27	+13	59
3	Atlanta	34	18	4	12	40:33	+7	58
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	33	15	10	8	50:42	+8	55
5	Gimnasia Y Tiro	34	14	10	10	37:31	+6	52
6	Midland	33	14	9	10	38:26	+12	51
7	Colegiales	34	14	8	12	35:31	+4	50
8	Deportivo Maipu	34	13	9	12	40:33	+7	48
9	San Martin S.J.	33	12	10	11	35:33	+2	46
10	Atletico DE Rafaela	34	12	9	13	28:34	-6	45
11	San Martin Tucuman	33	10	13	10	35:33	+2	43
12	Almagro	33	11	8	14	30:39	-9	41
13	Agropecuario	34	10	10	14	27:38	-11	40
14	Quilmes	34	10	9	15	30:29	+1	39
15	Patronato	33	7	16	10	29:32	-3	37
16	Nueva Chicago	33	9	9	15	24:32	-8	36
17	Chacarita Juniors	34	10	6	18	26:35	-9	36
18	Club Atlético Güemes	33	5	8	20	23:56	-33	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.78X31%2.97217%5.25

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.80 → 1.81 +0.6%X2.99 → 2.98 -0.3%24.94 → 5.12 +3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.40	1.33	4.6%
Pinnacle	3.21	1.34	5.8%
BetVictor	3.10	1.33	7.4%
1xBet	2.92	1.31	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.92	1.31	10.6%
Best of all books	3.40	1.34	4.0%
Average	3.11	1.32	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
William Hill	2.60	1.44	7.9%
1xBet	2.57	1.44	8.4%
BetVictor	2.70	1.40	8.5%
Marathonbet	2.57	1.42	9.3%
Best of all books	2.75	1.44	5.8%
Average	2.64	1.42	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tristan Suarez 10%Draw 45%Patronato 45%

The statistical model rated Tristan Suarez at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Patronato at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.78 | 2.97 | 5.25, which imply roughly 33.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Nacional table: Tristan Suarez are 1st (59 pts, 32-15 goals), Patronato 15th (37 pts, 29-32).

Over their last five matches, Tristan Suarez averaged 0.2 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; Patronato averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Patronato and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.81	2.98	5.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	1.87	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.45

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.64	1.42

1st half

1	X	2
2.59	1.83	6.32

2nd half

1	X	2
2.26	2.04	5.46

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.84	17.7	54.0
HT X	4.10	3.73	10.0
HT 2	34.7	18.4	9.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	5.25	3.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.12	5.33
1.5	1.68	2.08
2.5	3.11	1.32
3.5	6.71	1.08
4.5	15.0	1.02
5.5	31.5	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.14	4.40
1	1.19	3.80
1.25	1.45	2.54
1.75	1.89	1.81
2	2.28	1.54
2.25	2.64	1.41
2.75	3.70	1.20
3	5.25	1.09
3.25	5.65	1.08
3.75	8.20	1.02
4	10.0	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.24	1.30
-1	2.79	1.39
-0.75	2.11	1.65
-0.5	1.77	2.01
-0.25	1.54	2.33
0	1.26	3.47

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.75	1.01
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2.25	7.45	1.05
-2	6.93	1.06
-1.75	4.81	1.15
-1.5	3.76	1.23
+0.25	1.20	4.03
+0.5	1.18	4.87
+0.75	1.08	6.35
+1	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.08	5.17
6.5	1.27	3.19
7.5	1.59	2.22
8.5	2.01	1.73
9.5	2.55	1.43
10.5	3.55	1.21
11.5	5.47	1.07

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.09	4.92
6	1.11	4.66
6.25	1.19	3.73
6.75	1.30	3.00
7	1.37	2.79
7.25	1.45	2.48
7.75	1.63	2.13
8	1.80	1.96
8.25	1.84	1.86
8.75	2.10	1.65
9	2.32	1.54
9.25	2.42	1.48
9.75	2.84	1.34
10	3.25	1.25
10.25	3.43	1.23
10.75	4.16	1.14
11	5.04	1.09
11.25	5.26	1.08