San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar• Primera Nacional, Argentina

0.8:1.41-2FTToday · Estadio Malvinas Argentinas, Buenos Aires0.8:0.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30B365X2.85PIN23.94PINMargin at best3.9%Books6Markets72Rating39 · 61Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.25	2.85	3.94	4.9%
BetVictor	2.25	2.80	3.60	7.9%
Bet365	2.30	2.80	3.40	8.6%
William Hill	2.25	2.70	3.60	9.3%
1xBet	2.17	2.65	3.73	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.15	2.65	3.62	11.9%
Best of all books	2.30	2.85	3.94	3.9%
Average	2.23	2.74	3.65	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San MiguelCiudad de Bolívar

Last 103Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5022Defence rating7823Form rating7750H2H rating5039Goals model6139Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 08:50 UTC

San Miguel

1W 3D 6L · goals 9:16 · per match 0.9 for, 1.6 against

11 Oct	A	Almirante Brown	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Atletico Mitre	0-2	L
26 Sep	A	CA Estudiantes	1-2	L
19 Sep	H	All Boys	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Los Andes	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Godoy Cruz	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Deportivo Moron	1-2	L
26 Aug	A	Chaco For Ever	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Colon Santa Fe	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Colegiales	2-0	W

Ciudad de Bolívar

4W 2D 4L · goals 7:9 · per match 0.7 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	San Telmo	1-0	W
3 Oct	A	Acassuso	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Chaco For Ever	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Ferro Carril Oeste	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Central Norte	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Deportivo Madryn	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Defensores De Belgrano	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Racing Cordoba	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Agropecuario	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Almirante Brown	0-2	L

Head to head

0San Miguel wins

1draws

0Ciudad de Bolívar wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for San Miguel

31 May 2026Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional

Ciudad de Bolívar1-1San Miguel

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	33	15	14	4	32:15	+17	59
2	Temperley	33	16	11	6	40:27	+13	59
3	Atlanta	34	18	4	12	40:33	+7	58
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	33	15	10	8	50:42	+8	55
5	Gimnasia Y Tiro	34	14	10	10	37:31	+6	52
6	Midland	33	14	9	10	38:26	+12	51
7	Colegiales	34	14	8	12	35:31	+4	50
8	Deportivo Maipu	34	13	9	12	40:33	+7	48
9	San Martin S.J.	33	12	10	11	35:33	+2	46
10	Atletico DE Rafaela	34	12	9	13	28:34	-6	45
11	San Martin Tucuman	33	10	13	10	35:33	+2	43
12	Almagro	33	11	8	14	30:39	-9	41
13	Agropecuario	34	10	10	14	27:38	-11	40
14	Quilmes	34	10	9	15	30:29	+1	39
15	Patronato	33	7	16	10	29:32	-3	37
16	Nueva Chicago	33	9	9	15	24:32	-8	36
17	Chacarita Juniors	34	10	6	18	26:35	-9	36
18	Club Atlético Güemes	33	5	8	20	23:56	-33	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.46X34%2.71229%3.23

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.9% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	3.16	1.35	5.7%
Bet365	3.10	1.36	5.8%
BetVictor	3.10	1.33	7.4%
1xBet	2.92	1.31	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.92	1.31	10.6%
Best of all books	3.16	1.36	5.2%
Average	3.04	1.33	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
William Hill	2.38	1.53	7.4%
1xBet	2.40	1.50	8.3%
BetVictor	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Marathonbet	2.40	1.48	9.2%
Best of all books	2.50	1.53	5.4%
Average	2.42	1.50	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Miguel 10%Draw 45%Ciudad de Bolívar 45%

The statistical model rated San Miguel at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ciudad de Bolívar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.46 | 2.71 | 3.23, which imply roughly 36.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, San Miguel averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Ciudad de Bolívar averaged 0.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ciudad de Bolívar and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.23	2.74	3.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.23	1.57	1.39

Draw no bet

1	2
1.51	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.42	1.50

1st half

1	X	2
3.11	1.79	4.76

2nd half

1	X	2
2.68	2.01	4.17

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.73	15.8	45.7
HT X	4.83	3.43	7.33
HT 2	36.7	16.7	6.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.85	4.90	2.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.12	5.26
1.5	1.66	2.10
2.5	3.04	1.33
3.5	6.42	1.09
4.5	14.5	1.02
5.5	27.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.15	4.30
1	1.20	3.68
1.25	1.44	2.57
1.75	1.86	1.84
2	2.24	1.56
2.25	2.60	1.42
2.75	3.58	1.21
3	5.10	1.10
3.25	5.50	1.08
3.75	8.02	1.03
4	9.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.65	1.42
-0.5	2.22	1.63
-0.25	1.86	1.86
0	1.48	2.48
+0.25	1.33	3.03
+0.5	1.27	3.72

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.40	1.02
-1.75	6.23	1.08
-1.5	4.62	1.15
-1.25	4.24	1.19
-1	3.69	1.23
+0.75	1.15	4.86
+1	1.02	7.70
+1.25	1.02	8.20
+1.5	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.46
6.5	1.19	3.74
7.5	1.42	2.57
8.5	1.79	1.91
9.5	2.26	1.55
10.5	3.04	1.29
11.5	4.34	1.13
12.5	6.75	1.02

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.04	6.17
6	1.05	5.88
6.25	1.12	4.55
6.75	1.20	3.59
7	1.23	3.38
7.25	1.33	2.89
7.75	1.47	2.43
8	1.55	2.30
8.25	1.66	2.09
8.75	1.86	1.84
9	2.02	1.73
9.25	2.11	1.64
9.75	2.42	1.47
10	2.70	1.38
10.25	2.85	1.34
10.75	3.39	1.23
11	3.96	1.16
11.25	4.16	1.15
11.75	5.09	1.08
12	6.30	1.04
12.25	6.52	1.03