San Martin Tucuman vs Midland• Primera Nacional, Argentina

#111.6:1.421:30Tomorrow · Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman1.4:0.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.16PINX2.85PIN23.95PINMargin at best6.7%Books6Markets68Rating42 · 59Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.16	2.86	3.94	6.6%
BetVictor	2.10	2.90	3.90	7.7%
Bet365	2.10	2.80	3.90	9.0%
William Hill	2.10	2.75	3.90	9.6%
1xBet	2.05	2.81	3.81	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.03	2.81	3.70	11.9%
Best of all books	2.16	2.90	3.94	6.2%
Average	2.09	2.82	3.86	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

San Martin TucumanMidland

Last 10#11Table position#61.30Points per game1.557Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 50.253Attack rating4713Defence rating8841Form rating590H2H rating10060Goals model4042Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

San Martin Tucuman

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	A	Atlanta	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Gimnasia Y Tiro	1-0	W
28 Sep	A	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Atletico DE Rafaela	2-4	L
13 Sep	H	Agropecuario	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Tristan Suarez	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	Club Atlético Güemes	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Chacarita Juniors	2-1	W
16 Aug	H	Deportivo Madryn	2-2	D
9 Aug	H	San Martin S.J.	1-1	D

Midland

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Atletico DE Rafaela	4-0	W
4 Oct	A	Agropecuario	0-0	D
27 Sep	H	Tristan Suarez	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Club Atlético Güemes	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Chacarita Juniors	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	San Martin S.J.	2-3	L
2 Sep	A	Colegiales	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Nueva Chicago	2-0	W
23 Aug	A	Temperley	1-2	L
19 Aug	A	Banfield	2-2	D

Head to head

0San Martin Tucuman wins

0draws

1Midland wins

1 meeting · goals 0:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for San Martin Tucuman

31 May 2026Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional

Midland2-0San Martin Tucuman

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

In the Primera Nacional table, San Martin Tucuman sit 11th with 43 points from 33 games, while Midland are 6th with 51 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	33	15	14	4	32:15	+17	59
2	Temperley	33	16	11	6	40:27	+13	59
3	Atlanta	34	18	4	12	40:33	+7	58
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	33	15	10	8	50:42	+8	55
5	Gimnasia Y Tiro	34	14	10	10	37:31	+6	52
6	Midland	33	14	9	10	38:26	+12	51
7	Colegiales	34	14	8	12	35:31	+4	50
8	Deportivo Maipu	34	13	9	12	40:33	+7	48
9	San Martin S.J.	33	12	10	11	35:33	+2	46
10	Atletico DE Rafaela	34	12	9	13	28:34	-6	45
11	San Martin Tucuman	33	10	13	10	35:33	+2	43
12	Almagro	33	11	8	14	30:39	-9	41
13	Agropecuario	34	10	10	14	27:38	-11	40
14	Quilmes	34	10	9	15	30:29	+1	39
15	Patronato	33	7	16	10	29:32	-3	37
16	Nueva Chicago	33	9	9	15	24:32	-8	36
17	Chacarita Juniors	34	10	6	18	26:35	-9	36
18	Club Atlético Güemes	33	5	8	20	23:56	-33	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.09X33%2.80224%3.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.12 → 2.09 -1.4%X2.84 → 2.80 -1.4%23.77 → 3.85 +2.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.10	1.36	5.8%
Pinnacle	2.98	1.37	6.5%
BetVictor	2.90	1.36	8.0%
1xBet	2.70	1.36	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.70	1.36	10.6%
Best of all books	3.10	1.37	5.3%
Average	2.88	1.36	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
William Hill	2.30	1.55	8.0%
1xBet	2.28	1.55	8.4%
BetVictor	2.30	1.53	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.28	1.53	9.2%
Best of all books	2.50	1.55	4.5%
Average	2.33	1.53	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

San Martin Tucuman 10%Draw 45%Midland 45%

The statistical model rates San Martin Tucuman at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Midland at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.09 | 2.80 | 3.85, which imply roughly 35.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Nacional table: San Martin Tucuman are 11th (43 pts, 35-33 goals), Midland 6th (51 pts, 38-26).

Over their last five matches, San Martin Tucuman averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Midland averaged 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Midland.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.09	2.82	3.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.64	1.36

Draw no bet

1	2
1.43	2.61

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.33	1.53

1st half

1	X	2
2.93	1.83	4.88

2nd half

1	X	2
2.59	2.05	4.14

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.40	16.0	47.3
HT X	4.73	3.68	7.87
HT 2	36.7	16.8	6.77

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.80	5.55	2.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.11	5.64
1.5	1.60	2.20
2.5	2.88	1.36
3.5	6.05	1.09
4.5	13.2	1.02
5.5	27.0	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	4.95
1	1.15	4.30
1.25	1.39	2.74
1.75	1.77	1.92
2	2.09	1.64
2.25	2.44	1.47
2.75	3.34	1.24
3	4.70	1.12
3.25	5.15	1.10
3.75	7.48	1.04
4	8.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.44	1.26
-0.75	2.49	1.47
-0.5	2.11	1.68
-0.25	1.76	1.96
0	1.44	2.61
+0.25	1.30	3.19

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.60	1.01
-1.75	5.88	1.09
-1.5	4.37	1.16
-1.25	3.96	1.21
+0.5	1.25	3.82
+0.75	1.13	5.10
+1	1.01	8.30
+1.25	1.01	9.30
+1.5	1.02	8.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.06	5.57
6.5	1.24	3.36
7.5	1.57	2.25
8.5	1.91	1.80
9.5	2.38	1.51
10.5	3.36	1.23
11.5	5.04	1.09

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.07	5.30
6	1.09	5.02
6.25	1.16	3.98
6.75	1.27	3.18
7	1.34	2.90
7.25	1.41	2.61
7.75	1.57	2.22
8	1.70	2.06
8.25	1.78	1.93
8.75	2.01	1.71
9	2.11	1.70
9.25	2.31	1.53
9.75	2.69	1.38
10	3.04	1.29
10.25	3.21	1.26
10.75	3.87	1.17
11	4.64	1.11
11.25	4.84	1.10