Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre• Primera Nacional, Argentina

1.2:1.618:00Tomorrow · Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano, Moron0.4:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57WHX3.57PIN27.04PINMargin at best5.9%Books6Markets73Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 20:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.56	3.57	7.04	6.3%
BetVictor	1.57	3.40	7.00	7.4%
Bet365	1.57	3.20	7.00	9.2%
William Hill	1.57	3.30	6.50	9.4%
1xBet	1.51	3.35	6.86	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.50	3.35	6.50	11.9%
Best of all books	1.57	3.57	7.04	5.9%
Average	1.55	3.36	6.82	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Deportivo MoronAtletico Mitre

Last 106Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 50.41.6Goals against · last 50.875Attack rating2533Defence rating6755Form rating4562H2H rating3876Goals model2462Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Deportivo Moron

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	A	CA Estudiantes	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	All Boys	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Los Andes	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Godoy Cruz	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Racing Cordoba	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Colon Santa Fe	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	San Miguel	2-1	W
27 Aug	A	Central Norte	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	San Telmo	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Almagro	2-0	W

Atletico Mitre

2W 5D 3L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	H	Colon Santa Fe	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	San Miguel	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	San Telmo	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Acassuso	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Chaco For Ever	0-0	D
4 Sep	A	Ferro Carril Oeste	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Central Norte	2-2	D
21 Aug	A	Deportivo Madryn	0-4	L
15 Aug	H	Club Atlético Güemes	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Defensores De Belgrano	2-1	W

Head to head

3Deportivo Moron wins

4draws

2Atletico Mitre wins

9 meetings · goals 10:6 · last 9: 3W 4D 2L for Deportivo Moron

31 May 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Atletico Mitre1-3Deportivo Moron
28 Sep 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Deportivo Moron3-0Atletico Mitre
25 May 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Atletico Mitre0-0Deportivo Moron
22 Sep 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Deportivo Moron1-2Atletico Mitre
4 May 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Atletico Mitre0-0Deportivo Moron
18 Sep 2022Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Deportivo Moron1-0Atletico Mitre
14 Oct 2019Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Atletico Mitre1-1Deportivo Moron
11 Dec 2018Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Atletico Mitre1-0Deportivo Moron
10 Mar 2018Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Deportivo Moron1-1Atletico Mitre

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	33	15	14	4	32:15	+17	59
2	Temperley	33	16	11	6	40:27	+13	59
3	Atlanta	34	18	4	12	40:33	+7	58
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	33	15	10	8	50:42	+8	55
5	Gimnasia Y Tiro	34	14	10	10	37:31	+6	52
6	Midland	33	14	9	10	38:26	+12	51
7	Colegiales	34	14	8	12	35:31	+4	50
8	Deportivo Maipu	34	13	9	12	40:33	+7	48
9	San Martin S.J.	33	12	10	11	35:33	+2	46
10	Atletico DE Rafaela	34	12	9	13	28:34	-6	45
11	San Martin Tucuman	33	10	13	10	35:33	+2	43
12	Almagro	33	11	8	14	30:39	-9	41
13	Agropecuario	34	10	10	14	27:38	-11	40
14	Quilmes	34	10	9	15	30:29	+1	39
15	Patronato	33	7	16	10	29:32	-3	37
16	Nueva Chicago	33	9	9	15	24:32	-8	36
17	Chacarita Juniors	34	10	6	18	26:35	-9	36
18	Club Atlético Güemes	33	5	8	20	23:56	-33	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.55X27%3.36213%6.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.62 → 1.55 -4.3%X3.23 → 3.36 +4.0%26.06 → 6.82 +12.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.60	1.49	5.6%
Bet365	2.70	1.44	6.5%
BetVictor	2.53	1.44	9.0%
1xBet	2.56	1.40	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.56	1.40	10.5%
Best of all books	2.70	1.49	4.2%
Average	2.59	1.43	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	3.00	1.36	6.9%
William Hill	2.62	1.44	7.6%
BetVictor	2.60	1.44	7.9%
1xBet	2.60	1.43	8.4%
Marathonbet	2.60	1.41	9.4%
Best of all books	3.00	1.44	2.8%
Average	2.68	1.42	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportivo Moron 45%Draw 45%Atletico Mitre 10%

The statistical model rates Deportivo Moron at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Atletico Mitre at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 3.36 | 6.82, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Deportivo Moron win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Deportivo Moron averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Atletico Mitre averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Deportivo Moron or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	3.36	6.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.08	2.25	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.68	1.42

1st half

1	X	2
2.22	1.95	7.62

2nd half

1	X	2
1.99	2.20	6.45

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.35	19.7	68.0
HT X	3.79	4.24	13.0
HT 2	34.7	21.7	12.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	5.95	3.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.52
1.5	1.52	2.36
2.5	2.59	1.43
3.5	5.43	1.12
4.5	12.0	1.03
5.5	24.5	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.70
1	1.11	4.95
1.25	1.37	2.83
1.75	1.66	2.06
2	1.92	1.77
2.25	2.26	1.56
2.75	3.14	1.27
3	4.40	1.14
3.25	4.85	1.11
3.75	7.15	1.04
4	8.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.86	1.37
-1.25	2.47	1.48
-1	2.08	1.68
-0.75	1.73	1.99
-0.5	1.57	2.34
-0.25	1.34	2.97

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.30	1.01
-2.5	6.18	1.08
-2.25	5.73	1.10
-2	5.27	1.12
-1.75	3.60	1.24
0	1.14	5.04
+0.25	1.11	5.78
+0.5	1.10	6.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.09	4.92
6.5	1.29	3.07
7.5	1.61	2.16
8.5	2.01	1.71
9.5	2.66	1.38
10.5	3.78	1.19
11.5	5.82	1.05

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.11	4.66
6	1.13	4.40
6.25	1.21	3.56
6.75	1.33	2.88
7	1.38	2.77
7.25	1.49	2.40
7.75	1.68	2.06
8	1.85	1.91
8.25	1.89	1.81
8.75	2.16	1.61
9	2.36	1.52
9.25	2.51	1.44
9.75	2.97	1.31
10	3.42	1.23
10.25	3.60	1.20
10.75	4.40	1.13
11	5.37	1.07
11.25	5.59	1.06