Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown• Primera Nacional, Argentina

0.8:0.40-0LiveToday · Santa Fe0.6:1.2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.71PINX3.35PIN26.00B365Margin at best5.0%Books6Markets77Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.72	3.37	5.71	5.3%
BetVictor	1.70	3.25	5.75	7.0%
Bet365	1.67	3.20	6.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.70	3.10	5.50	9.3%
1xBet	1.68	3.14	5.19	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.66	3.14	5.05	11.9%
Best of all books	1.72	3.37	6.00	4.5%
Average	1.69	3.20	5.53	8.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Colon Santa FeAlmirante Brown

Last 108Form pts · last 520.8Goals for · last 50.60.4Goals against · last 51.257Attack rating4375Defence rating2580Form rating2062H2H rating3873Goals model2766Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:40 UTC

Colon Santa Fe

5W 2D 3L · goals 11:6 · per match 1.1 for, 0.6 against

11 Oct	A	Atletico Mitre	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	CA Estudiantes	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	All Boys	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Los Andes	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Godoy Cruz	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Deportivo Moron	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Racing Cordoba	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	San Miguel	2-1	W
15 Aug	H	Patronato	3-0	W
9 Aug	H	San Telmo	1-0	W

Almirante Brown

3W 3D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	H	San Miguel	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	San Telmo	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Acassuso	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Chaco For Ever	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Ferro Carril Oeste	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Central Norte	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Deportivo Madryn	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Defensores De Belgrano	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	Tristan Suarez	1-3	L
8 Aug	H	Ciudad de Bolívar	2-0	W

Head to head

2Colon Santa Fe wins

2draws

1Almirante Brown wins

5 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 5: 2W 2D 1L for Colon Santa Fe

30 May 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almirante Brown1-1Colon Santa Fe
13 Jul 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Colon Santa Fe1-0Almirante Brown
10 Mar 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almirante Brown2-0Colon Santa Fe
7 Jul 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almirante Brown0-0Colon Santa Fe
18 Feb 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Colon Santa Fe2-1Almirante Brown

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 17 Oct 22:01 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	33	15	14	4	32:15	+17	59
2	Temperley	33	16	11	6	40:27	+13	59
3	Atlanta	34	18	4	12	40:33	+7	58
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	33	15	10	8	50:42	+8	55
5	Gimnasia Y Tiro	34	14	10	10	37:31	+6	52
6	Midland	33	14	9	10	38:26	+12	51
7	Colegiales	34	14	8	12	35:31	+4	50
8	Deportivo Maipu	34	13	9	12	40:33	+7	48
9	San Martin S.J.	33	12	10	11	35:33	+2	46
10	Atletico DE Rafaela	34	12	9	13	28:34	-6	45
11	San Martin Tucuman	33	10	13	10	35:33	+2	43
12	Almagro	33	11	8	14	30:39	-9	41
13	Agropecuario	34	10	10	14	27:38	-11	40
14	Quilmes	34	10	9	15	30:29	+1	39
15	Patronato	33	7	16	10	29:32	-3	37
16	Nueva Chicago	33	9	9	15	24:32	-8	36
17	Chacarita Juniors	34	10	6	18	26:35	-9	36
18	Club Atlético Güemes	33	5	8	20	23:56	-33	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.55X27%3.44214%6.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.78 → 1.69 -5.1%X3.08 → 3.19 +3.6%24.94 → 5.52 +11.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.80	1.44	5.2%
Bet365	2.70	1.44	6.5%
BetVictor	2.57	1.43	8.8%
1xBet	2.59	1.39	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.59	1.39	10.6%
Best of all books	2.80	1.44	5.2%
Average	2.65	1.42	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.62	1.44	7.6%
William Hill	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.42	1.49	8.4%
BetVictor	2.45	1.47	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.42	1.47	9.3%
Best of all books	2.62	1.50	4.8%
Average	2.46	1.47	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Colon Santa Fe 45%Draw 45%Almirante Brown 10%

The statistical model rates Colon Santa Fe at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Almirante Brown at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 3.44 | 6.71, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Colon Santa Fe win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Colon Santa Fe averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Almirante Brown averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Colon Santa Fe or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.69	3.20	5.53

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.00	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.46	1.47

1st half

1	X	2
2.39	1.93	6.48

2nd half

1	X	2
2.15	2.16	5.48

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.64	17.0	50.7
HT X	4.00	4.18	10.7
HT 2	31.0	18.4	10.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.56	5.90	3.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	6.20
1.5	1.54	2.32
2.5	2.65	1.42
3.5	5.50	1.12
4.5	12.0	1.03
5.5	24.0	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.10	5.20
1	1.13	4.55
1.25	1.35	2.82
1.75	1.70	2.00
2	1.99	1.72
2.25	2.33	1.53
2.75	3.14	1.27
3	4.35	1.14
3.25	4.75	1.12
3.75	6.89	1.05
4	8.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.17	1.31
-1.25	2.79	1.38
-1	2.38	1.53
-0.75	1.92	1.80
-0.5	1.69	2.11
-0.25	1.44	2.58

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.68	1.01
-2.5	6.75	1.04
-2.25	6.43	1.07
-2	5.93	1.09
-1.75	4.06	1.20
0	1.22	3.83
+0.25	1.17	4.49
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.06	6.79
+1	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.97
6.5	1.17	3.97
7.5	1.38	2.66
8.5	1.76	1.96
9.5	2.16	1.60
10.5	2.89	1.33
11.5	4.05	1.16
12.5	6.19	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.67
6	1.03	6.38
6.25	1.10	4.88
6.75	1.18	3.82
7	1.20	3.61
7.25	1.29	3.06
7.75	1.43	2.55
8	1.50	2.41
8.25	1.60	2.18
8.75	1.79	1.91
9	1.92	1.81
9.25	2.03	1.70
9.75	2.31	1.52
10	2.57	1.44
10.25	2.70	1.38
10.75	3.18	1.27
11	3.69	1.19
11.25	3.87	1.17
11.75	4.72	1.10
12	5.76	1.05
12.25	5.98	1.05