Quilmes vs Agropecuario• Primera Nacional, Argentina

#120.6:0.819:00Today · Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes, Quilmes0.6:0.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.83PINX3.31PIN25.00B365Margin at best4.9%Books10Markets80Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L51.4

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.83	3.31	4.87	5.4%
Bet365	1.80	3.20	5.00	6.8%
Dafabet	1.82	3.30	4.60	7.0%
BetVictor	1.80	3.25	4.75	7.4%
Betano	1.78	3.20	4.85	8.0%
William Hill	1.80	3.00	4.75	9.9%
Betfair	1.73	3.25	4.60	10.3%
1xBet	1.72	3.22	4.67	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.70	3.22	4.55	11.9%
SBO	1.73	3.02	4.17	14.9%
Best of all books	1.83	3.31	5.00	4.9%
Average	1.77	3.20	4.68	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

QuilmesAgropecuario

Last 10#12Table position#141.22Points per game1.167Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5050Defence rating5050Form rating5050H2H rating5085Goals model1555Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 13:33 UTC

Quilmes

4W 2D 4L · goals 9:7 · per match 0.9 for, 0.7 against

3 Oct	A	Tristan Suarez	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Club Atlético Güemes	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Chacarita Juniors	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	San Martin S.J.	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Nueva Chicago	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Temperley	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Deportivo Maipu	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	San Telmo	3-0	W
9 Aug	H	Almagro	1-1	D
5 Aug	H	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-0	W

Agropecuario

4W 2D 4L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

4 Oct	H	Midland	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Atlanta	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Gimnasia Y Tiro	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	San Martin Tucuman	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Atletico DE Rafaela	2-0	W
1 Sep	A	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Tristan Suarez	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Ciudad de Bolívar	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Club Atlético Güemes	3-0	W
2 Aug	A	Chacarita Juniors	1-2	L

Head to head

2Quilmes wins

5draws

2Agropecuario wins

9 meetings · goals 6:7 · last 9: 2W 5D 2L for Quilmes

24 May 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Agropecuario0-0Quilmes
20 Aug 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Quilmes1-0Agropecuario
29 Mar 2024Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Agropecuario1-1Quilmes
23 Mar 2022Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Quilmes1-1Agropecuario
28 Aug 2021Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Agropecuario3-1Quilmes
19 Apr 2021Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Quilmes0-0Agropecuario
18 Jan 2021Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Agropecuario0-1Quilmes
30 Oct 2018Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Quilmes0-1Agropecuario
6 Feb 2018Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Agropecuario1-1Quilmes

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 10 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Primera Nacional table, Quilmes sit 12th with 39 points from 32 games, while Agropecuario are 14th with 37 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	32:15	+17	58
2	Temperley	32	15	11	6	38:26	+12	56
3	Atlanta	32	17	4	11	38:30	+8	55
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	48:40	+8	54
5	Midland	32	13	9	10	34:26	+8	48
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	32	13	9	10	32:28	+4	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	39:31	+8	47
8	Colegiales	32	13	7	12	32:31	+1	46
9	San Martin S.J.	32	12	9	11	34:32	+2	45
10	San Martin Tucuman	32	10	13	9	35:32	+3	43
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	32	11	9	12	27:30	-3	42
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	30:27	+3	39
13	Almagro	32	10	8	14	28:38	-10	38
14	Agropecuario	32	9	10	13	26:35	-9	37
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	23:30	-7	36
16	Patronato	32	6	16	10	27:32	-5	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	32	9	6	17	24:33	-9	33
18	Club Atlético Güemes	32	5	8	19	23:54	-31	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.77X29%3.20220%4.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.65 → 1.77 +7.3%X3.39 → 3.20 -5.6%25.14 → 4.68 -8.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.37	1.60	4.7%
Bet365	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Betano	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.29	1.53	9.0%
BetVictor	2.31	1.52	9.1%
Best of all books	2.40	1.60	4.2%
Average	2.35	1.53	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Bet365	2.20	1.62	7.2%
William Hill	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Betano	2.18	1.62	7.6%
BetVictor	2.15	1.62	8.2%
1xBet	2.12	1.63	8.5%
Marathonbet	2.12	1.61	9.3%
Best of all books	2.20	1.67	5.3%
Average	2.16	1.63	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Quilmes 45%Draw 45%Agropecuario 10%

The statistical model rates Quilmes at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Agropecuario at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.77 | 3.20 | 4.68, which imply roughly 56.5% for a Quilmes win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Nacional table: Quilmes are 12th (39 pts, 30-27 goals), Agropecuario 14th (37 pts, 26-35).

Over their last five matches, Quilmes averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Agropecuario averaged 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Quilmes or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.77	3.20	4.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	1.92	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.29	3.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.16	1.63

1st half

1	X	2
2.43	1.98	5.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	6.85	2.95

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.94
1.5	1.44	2.60
2.5	2.35	1.53
3.5	4.46	1.17
4.5	9.03	1.04
5.5	16.8	1.01
6.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.10
1	1.08	5.45
1.25	1.25	3.28
1.75	1.55	2.28
2	1.77	1.95
2.25	2.03	1.70
2.75	2.66	1.37
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.84	1.18
3.75	5.30	1.09
4	7.50	1.03
4.25	7.68	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.24	1.30
-1.25	2.87	1.37
-1	2.50	1.48
-0.75	2.01	1.73
-0.5	1.79	1.99
-0.25	1.51	2.38

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.38	1.01
-2.5	6.50	1.05
-2.25	6.33	1.07
-2	5.93	1.09
-1.75	4.01	1.19
0	1.27	3.39
+0.25	1.20	3.99
+0.5	1.19	4.81
+0.75	1.08	6.20
+1	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.26
6.5	1.14	4.17
7.5	1.35	2.80
8.5	1.66	2.08
9.5	2.09	1.66
10.5	2.75	1.37
11.5	3.86	1.18
12.5	5.93	1.05
13.5	5.00	1.07

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.95
6	1.03	6.65
6.25	1.09	5.05
6.75	1.16	3.96
7	1.19	3.74
7.25	1.27	3.14
7.75	1.40	2.62
8	1.47	2.48
8.25	1.57	2.23
8.75	1.76	1.95
9	1.89	1.87
9.25	1.98	1.73
9.75	2.26	1.55
10	2.46	1.48
10.25	2.63	1.40
10.75	3.08	1.28
11	3.56	1.21
11.25	3.74	1.19
11.75	4.54	1.12
12	5.51	1.06
12.25	5.72	1.06
12.75	5.61	1.06
13	6.96	1.02