Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez• Primera Nacional, Argentina

#81.0:1.20-0LiveToday · Estadio de Colegiales, Buenos Aires0.2:0.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.68PINX2.75BVC23.40B365Margin at best3.1%Books10Markets69Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L51.2

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.72	2.66	3.27	4.9%
Dafabet	2.55	2.70	3.20	7.5%
BetVictor	2.55	2.75	3.10	7.8%
Bet365	2.55	2.55	3.40	7.8%
Betano	2.62	2.57	3.25	7.8%
1xBet	2.52	2.52	3.22	10.4%
William Hill	2.62	2.50	3.10	10.4%
Betfair	2.45	2.75	3.00	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.50	2.52	3.12	11.7%
SBO	2.38	2.64	2.85	15.0%
Best of all books	2.72	2.75	3.40	2.5%
Average	2.55	2.62	3.15	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ColegialesTristan Suarez

Last 10#8Table position#11.44Points per game1.819Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 50.21.2Goals against · last 50.083Attack rating170Defence rating10056Form rating4462H2H rating3851Goals model4960Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 13:33 UTC

Colegiales

5W 2D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

4 Oct	A	Club Atlético Güemes	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Chacarita Juniors	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	San Martin S.J.	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Nueva Chicago	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Temperley	1-3	L
2 Sep	H	Midland	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Deportivo Maipu	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Almagro	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	San Miguel	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	Patronato	2-2	D

Tristan Suarez

5W 4D 1L · goals 11:3 · per match 1.1 for, 0.3 against

3 Oct	H	Quilmes	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Midland	1-0	W
21 Sep	H	Atlanta	0-0	D
16 Sep	A	San Martin S.J.	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Gimnasia Y Tiro	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	San Martin Tucuman	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Atletico DE Rafaela	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Agropecuario	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Almirante Brown	3-1	W
10 Aug	A	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-0	W

Head to head

7Colegiales wins

5draws

9Tristan Suarez wins

21 meetings · goals 25:25 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Colegiales

23 May 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Tristan Suarez0-0Colegiales
14 Sep 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Tristan Suarez2-2Colegiales
10 May 2025Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Colegiales1-0Tristan Suarez
1 Mar 2020Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Colegiales1-0Tristan Suarez
13 Sep 2019Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Tristan Suarez3-1Colegiales
28 Apr 2019Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Colegiales3-1Tristan Suarez
17 Nov 2018Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Tristan Suarez1-1Colegiales
25 Feb 2018Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Tristan Suarez2-0Colegiales
30 Sep 2017Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Colegiales0-1Tristan Suarez
26 Jun 2017Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Tristan Suarez0-4Colegiales

Primera Nacional tableGroup 2updated 10 Oct 00:31 UTC

In the Primera Nacional table, Colegiales sit 8th with 46 points from 32 games, while Tristan Suarez are 1st with 58 points from 32.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	32	15	13	4	32:15	+17	58
2	Temperley	32	15	11	6	38:26	+12	56
3	Atlanta	32	17	4	11	38:30	+8	55
4	Gimnasia Jujuy	32	15	9	8	48:40	+8	54
5	Midland	32	13	9	10	34:26	+8	48
6	Gimnasia Y Tiro	32	13	9	10	32:28	+4	48
7	Deportivo Maipu	32	13	8	11	39:31	+8	47
8	Colegiales	32	13	7	12	32:31	+1	46
9	San Martin S.J.	32	12	9	11	34:32	+2	45
10	San Martin Tucuman	32	10	13	9	35:32	+3	43
11	Atletico DE Rafaela	32	11	9	12	27:30	-3	42
12	Quilmes	32	10	9	13	30:27	+3	39
13	Almagro	32	10	8	14	28:38	-10	38
14	Agropecuario	32	9	10	13	26:35	-9	37
15	Nueva Chicago	32	9	9	14	23:30	-7	36
16	Patronato	32	6	16	10	27:32	-5	34
17	Chacarita Juniors	32	9	6	17	24:33	-9	33
18	Club Atlético Güemes	32	5	8	19	23:54	-31	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.55X35%2.62229%3.15

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.65 → 2.53 -4.5%X2.53 → 2.61 +3.2%23.14 → 3.16 +0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	3.40	1.33	4.6%
Pinnacle	3.38	1.32	5.3%
BetVictor	3.25	1.30	7.7%
Betano	3.00	1.34	8.0%
Betfair	2.88	1.36	8.3%
1xBet	3.05	1.28	10.9%
Marathonbet	3.05	1.28	10.9%
Best of all books	3.40	1.36	2.9%
Average	3.14	1.32	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
William Hill	2.40	1.53	7.0%
Betfair	2.30	1.57	7.2%
Betano	2.30	1.55	8.0%
1xBet	2.40	1.50	8.3%
BetVictor	2.40	1.50	8.3%
Marathonbet	2.40	1.48	9.2%
Best of all books	2.50	1.57	3.7%
Average	2.39	1.52	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Colegiales 45%Draw 45%Tristan Suarez 10%

The statistical model rates Colegiales at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tristan Suarez at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.55 | 2.62 | 3.15, which imply roughly 39.2% for a Colegiales win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Nacional table: Colegiales are 8th (46 pts, 32-31 goals), Tristan Suarez 1st (58 pts, 32-15).

Over their last five matches, Colegiales averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Tristan Suarez averaged 0.2 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Colegiales or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.55	2.62	3.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.44	1.41

Draw no bet

1	2
1.70	2.07

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.39	1.52

1st half

1	X	2
3.47	1.75	4.12

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.07	4.60	2.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.14	5.11
1.5	1.68	2.09
2.5	3.14	1.32
3.5	6.55	1.08
4.5	14.3	1.02
5.5	31.5	–

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.16	4.10
1	1.22	3.50
1.25	1.47	2.49
1.75	1.92	1.80
2	2.34	1.52
2.25	2.74	1.38
2.75	3.85	1.18
3	5.50	1.08
3.25	5.95	1.07
3.75	9.95	1.01
4	11.0	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.26	1.30
-0.5	2.59	1.47
-0.25	2.13	1.65
0	1.70	2.06
+0.25	1.45	2.57
+0.5	1.34	3.15

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.90	1.02
-1.5	6.02	1.09
-1.25	5.48	1.11
-1	4.99	1.14
+0.75	1.19	4.09
+1	1.08	6.78
+1.25	1.04	7.00
+1.5	1.03	7.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	5.97
5.5	1.04	6.18
6.5	1.21	3.58
7.5	1.48	2.44
8.5	1.85	1.85
9.5	2.39	1.50
10.5	3.15	1.27
11.5	4.53	1.12
12.5	7.11	1.01

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.04	5.82
5.75	1.05	5.90
6	1.06	5.61
6.25	1.13	4.38
6.75	1.22	3.46
7	1.25	3.26
7.25	1.35	2.81
7.75	1.50	2.37
8	1.64	2.14
8.25	1.69	2.04
8.75	1.90	1.80
9	2.14	1.65
9.25	2.16	1.61
9.75	2.50	1.45
10	2.79	1.35
10.25	2.95	1.31
10.75	3.52	1.21
11	4.14	1.15
11.25	4.34	1.13
11.75	5.34	1.07
12	6.65	1.03
12.25	6.88	1.02