Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors• Primera Nacional, Argentina

1.2:1.82-1LiveToday · Estadio Tres de Febrero, Jose Ingenieros1.0:0.8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.78PINX2.91PIN22.961XBMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets67Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.78	2.91	2.89	4.9%
Dafabet	2.65	2.90	2.90	6.7%
BetVictor	2.60	2.88	2.90	7.7%
Betano	2.65	2.80	2.90	7.9%
Bet365	2.62	2.80	2.90	8.4%
William Hill	2.62	2.70	2.90	9.7%
1xBet	2.48	2.74	2.96	10.6%
Betfair	2.45	2.80	2.88	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.56	2.73	2.77	11.8%
SBO	2.44	2.69	2.71	15.1%
Best of all books	2.78	2.91	2.96	4.1%
Average	2.58	2.80	2.87	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlmagroChacarita Juniors

Last 104Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 50.855Attack rating4531Defence rating6940Form rating6029H2H rating7169Goals model3142Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:40 UTC

Almagro

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

4 Oct	A	San Martin S.J.	2-1	W
27 Sep	H	Nueva Chicago	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Temperley	1-3	L
12 Sep	H	Deportivo Maipu	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Patronato	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Colegiales	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	Deportivo Moron	0-2	L
9 Aug	A	Quilmes	1-1	D
5 Aug	H	Gimnasia Y Tiro	0-2	L

Chacarita Juniors

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:10 · per match 0.6 for, 1.0 against

4 Oct	H	Patronato	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Colegiales	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	Quilmes	3-0	W
13 Sep	A	Midland	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Atlanta	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Gimnasia Y Tiro	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	San Martin Tucuman	1-2	L
19 Aug	H	Club Atlético Güemes	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	CA Estudiantes	0-2	L
8 Aug	A	Atletico DE Rafaela	0-1	L

Head to head

5Almagro wins

1draws

6Chacarita Juniors wins

12 meetings · goals 12:14 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Almagro

24 May 2026Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Chacarita Juniors1-0Almagro
2 Apr 2022Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almagro1-3Chacarita Juniors
12 Jan 2021Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almagro0-2Chacarita Juniors
17 Mar 2020Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Chacarita Juniors1-2Almagro
21 Sep 2019Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almagro0-0Chacarita Juniors
28 Aug 2018Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almagro1-0Chacarita Juniors
3 Jun 2017Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Chacarita Juniors3-0Almagro
8 Nov 2016Primera Nacional	Primera Nacional	Almagro3-0Chacarita Juniors
3 May 2014Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Almagro2-1Chacarita Juniors
8 Nov 2013Primera B Metropolitana	Primera B Metropolitana	Chacarita Juniors1-0Almagro

Primera Nacional tableGroup 1updated 10 Oct 20:02 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	32	18	7	7	36:27	+9	61
2	Deportivo Moron	32	17	7	8	51:32	+19	58
3	Godoy Cruz	32	16	8	8	42:29	+13	56
4	Deportivo Madryn	32	14	11	7	46:28	+18	53
5	Colon Santa Fe	32	14	10	8	39:25	+14	52
6	Almirante Brown	32	12	10	10	25:21	+4	46
7	CA Estudiantes	32	12	9	11	29:27	+2	45
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	32	11	12	9	27:28	-1	45
9	Los Andes	32	9	13	10	25:23	+2	40
10	Chaco For Ever	32	9	10	13	30:33	-3	37
11	Defensores De Belgrano	32	8	13	11	25:29	-4	37
12	San Telmo	32	9	10	13	28:36	-8	37
13	Racing Cordoba	32	9	10	13	29:39	-10	37
14	Atletico Mitre	32	7	14	11	29:39	-10	35
15	Central Norte	32	6	15	11	20:29	-9	33
16	All Boys	32	6	15	11	18:28	-10	33
17	San Miguel	32	6	13	13	25:38	-13	31
18	Acassuso	32	7	8	17	22:35	-13	29

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.59X33%2.80232%2.87

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.48 → 2.59 +4.4%X2.79 → 2.80 +0.4%23.04 → 2.87 -5.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.88	1.41	5.6%
Bet365	2.88	1.40	6.2%
Betano	2.75	1.42	6.8%
BetVictor	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Betfair	2.60	1.44	7.9%
1xBet	2.62	1.38	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.62	1.38	10.6%
Best of all books	2.88	1.44	4.2%
Average	2.73	1.40	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
William Hill	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Betano	2.18	1.62	7.6%
BetVictor	2.20	1.60	8.0%
Bet365	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.15	1.61	8.6%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.59	9.4%
Best of all books	2.25	1.67	4.3%
Average	2.18	1.61	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Almagro 10%Draw 45%Chacarita Juniors 45%

The statistical model rates Almagro at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Chacarita Juniors at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.59 | 2.80 | 2.87, which imply roughly 35.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Almagro averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Chacarita Juniors averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Chacarita Juniors.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.59	2.80	2.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.44	1.36

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.18	1.61

1st half

1	X	2
3.37	1.83	3.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	5.48	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.10	5.84
1.5	1.56	2.30
2.5	2.73	1.40
3.5	5.51	1.12
4.5	11.7	1.03
5.5	19.7	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	4.90
1	1.15	4.30
1.25	1.37	2.83
1.75	1.74	1.99
2	2.04	1.69
2.25	2.36	1.51
2.75	3.20	1.26
3	4.40	1.14
3.25	4.75	1.12
3.75	6.69	1.05
4	8.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.17	1.31
-0.5	2.60	1.47
-0.25	2.16	1.63
0	1.78	1.96
+0.25	1.51	2.37
+0.5	1.40	2.84

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.25	1.04
-1.5	5.67	1.10
-1.25	5.28	1.13
-1	4.85	1.15
+0.75	1.25	3.56
+1	1.12	5.58
+1.25	1.08	6.07
+1.5	1.07	6.58
+1.75	1.02	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.07	5.46
6.5	1.23	3.37
7.5	1.47	2.47
8.5	1.81	1.90
9.5	2.37	1.51
10.5	3.39	1.23
11.5	5.15	1.08
12.5	4.92	1.07

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.03	5.90
5.75	1.08	5.19
6	1.09	4.92
6.25	1.17	3.91
6.75	1.27	3.14
7	1.31	2.95
7.25	1.42	2.57
7.75	1.59	2.19
8	1.65	2.13
8.25	1.79	1.91
8.75	2.03	1.70
9	2.16	1.63
9.25	2.34	1.51
9.75	2.73	1.37
10	3.10	1.28
10.25	3.26	1.25
10.75	3.94	1.16
11	4.74	1.10
11.25	4.94	1.09
12	4.75	1.08
13	5.92	1.03