Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar• Primera Nacional, Argentina

#170.6:0.40-1FT03/10 · La Quema Stadium, Boulogne Sur Mer0.8:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.32BTNX3.141XB23.62PINMargin at best2.6%Books7Markets40Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L51.4

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 02:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.28	2.85	3.62	6.6%
Betano	2.32	2.80	3.40	8.2%
Bet365	2.30	2.88	3.30	8.5%
William Hill	2.30	2.70	3.50	9.1%
1xBet	2.21	2.69	3.54	10.7%
Betfair	2.20	2.80	3.30	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.19	2.69	3.44	11.9%
Best of all books	2.32	2.88	3.62	5.4%
Average	2.26	2.77	3.44	9.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 4 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AcassusoCiudad de Bolívar

Last 10#17Table position#70.97Points per game1.459Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 50.80.4Goals against · last 51.043Attack rating5771Defence rating2950Form rating500H2H rating10040Goals model6051Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 00:40 UTC

Acassuso

3W 2D 5L · goals 8:7 · per match 0.8 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	A	Defensores De Belgrano	3-0	W
3 Oct	H	Ciudad de Bolívar	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Almirante Brown	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Atletico Mitre	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	CA Estudiantes	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	All Boys	0-1	L
31 Aug	A	Los Andes	0-0	D
26 Aug	H	San Telmo	1-2	L
21 Aug	H	Godoy Cruz	0-1	L
14 Aug	H	Midland	1-1	D

Ciudad de Bolívar

3W 2D 5L · goals 6:11 · per match 0.6 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	A	Acassuso	1-0	W
26 Sep	H	Chaco For Ever	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Ferro Carril Oeste	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Central Norte	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Deportivo Madryn	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Defensores De Belgrano	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Racing Cordoba	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Agropecuario	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Almirante Brown	0-2	L
2 Aug	H	Atletico Mitre	0-2	L

Head to head

0Acassuso wins

0draws

1Ciudad de Bolívar wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Acassuso

16 May 2026Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional

Ciudad de Bolívar1-0Acassuso

Primera Nacional tableGroup 1updated 15 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Primera Nacional table, Acassuso sit 17th with 32 points from 33 games, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th with 48 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	33	18	8	7	37:28	+9	62
2	Deportivo Moron	33	17	7	9	51:34	+17	58
3	Godoy Cruz	33	16	9	8	42:29	+13	57
4	Deportivo Madryn	33	14	11	8	47:30	+17	53
5	Colon Santa Fe	33	14	11	8	39:25	+14	53
6	CA Estudiantes	33	13	9	11	31:27	+4	48
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	33	12	12	9	28:28	0	48
8	Almirante Brown	33	12	11	10	26:22	+4	47
9	Los Andes	33	9	13	11	25:24	+1	40
10	Chaco For Ever	33	10	10	13	32:34	-2	40
11	Racing Cordoba	33	10	10	13	30:39	-9	40
12	Defensores De Belgrano	33	8	13	12	25:32	-7	37
13	San Telmo	33	9	10	14	28:37	-9	37
14	Atletico Mitre	33	7	15	11	29:39	-10	36
15	Central Norte	33	6	16	11	21:30	-9	34
16	All Boys	33	6	16	11	18:28	-10	34
17	Acassuso	33	8	8	17	25:35	-10	32
18	San Miguel	33	6	14	13	26:39	-13	32

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.25X32%2.83227%3.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.26 → 2.27 +0.4%X2.77 → 2.84 +2.5%23.44 → 3.42 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.88	1.40	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.98	1.36	7.1%
Betano	2.77	1.39	8.0%
Betfair	2.75	1.36	9.9%
1xBet	2.78	1.34	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.78	1.34	10.6%
Best of all books	2.98	1.40	5.0%
Average	2.82	1.36	8.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.20	1.62	7.2%
Bet365	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Betano	2.25	1.57	8.1%
1xBet	2.28	1.55	8.4%
Marathonbet	2.28	1.53	9.2%
Best of all books	2.28	1.62	5.6%
Average	2.25	1.57	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Acassuso 10%Draw 45%Ciudad de Bolívar 45%

The statistical model rated Acassuso at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ciudad de Bolívar at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 2.83 | 3.42, which imply roughly 35.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Nacional table: Acassuso are 17th (32 pts, 25-35 goals), Ciudad de Bolívar 7th (48 pts, 28-28).

Over their last five matches, Acassuso averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Ciudad de Bolívar averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ciudad de Bolívar and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.26	2.77	3.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.55	1.38

Draw no bet

1	2
1.56	2.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.25	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
3.12	1.81	4.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.89	5.40	2.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.11	5.47
1.5	1.60	2.21
2.5	2.82	1.37
3.5	5.69	1.11
4.5	11.8	1.03
5.5	24.5	1.01

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.12	4.70
1	1.16	4.05
1.25	1.40	2.72
1.75	1.80	1.91
2	2.13	1.62
2.25	2.50	1.46
2.75	3.42	1.23
3	4.85	1.11
3.25	5.25	1.09
3.75	7.85	1.03
4	9.30	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.71	1.41
-0.5	2.28	1.61
-0.25	1.90	1.83
0	1.53	2.36
+0.25	1.37	2.85
+0.5	1.30	3.45

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.5	1.01
-1.75	6.60	1.07
-1.5	4.92	1.13
-1.25	4.40	1.17
-1	3.83	1.21
+0.75	1.16	4.51
+1	1.03	7.50
+1.25	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.01	8.70