Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago Odds Analysis & Prediction – Primera Nacional (Jul 11, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tristan Suarez 35%Draw 35%Nueva Chicago 30%

The statistical model rates Tristan Suarez at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Nueva Chicago at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.95 | 2.90 | 4.10, which imply roughly 51.3% for a Tristan Suarez win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Tristan Suarez averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Nueva Chicago averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Tristan Suarez or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago — model comparison

43%

Form

57%

29%

Attack

71%

Defence

29%

38%

Head to head

62%

43%

Goals

57%

47.7%

Overall

52.3%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Primera Nacional

2026/2027 Standings• Group 1

Note: One or both teams may be in a different phase

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	19	11	4	4	+8	37
2	Deportivo Moron	19	10	4	5	+10	34
3	Colon Santa Fe	19	8	8	3	+8	32
4	Ciudad de Bolívar	19	7	9	3	+5	30
5	Los Andes	19	7	8	4	+9	29
6	Almirante Brown	19	8	5	6	+2	29
7	Deportivo Madryn	19	7	7	5	+5	28
8	CA Estudiantes	19	7	6	6	-1	27
9	Godoy Cruz	19	6	7	6	+2	25
10	San Miguel	19	5	10	4	-3	25
11	Defensores De Belgrano	19	5	8	6	-3	23
12	Racing Cordoba	19	5	6	8	-5	21
13	San Telmo	19	4	8	7	-3	20
14	All Boys	19	4	8	7	-7	20
15	Central Norte	19	4	7	8	-5	19
16	Acassuso	19	5	4	10	-7	19
17	Atletico Mitre	19	3	9	7	-5	18
18	Chaco For Ever	19	2	7	10	-11	13