Deportivo Moron vs Deportivo Madryn Odds Analysis & Prediction – Primera Nacional (Jul 11, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Deportivo Moron 45%Draw 45%Deportivo Madryn 10%

The statistical model rates Deportivo Moron at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Madryn at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.93 | 2.83 | 4.55, which imply roughly 51.8% for a Deportivo Moron win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Nacional table: Deportivo Moron are 2nd (34 pts, 27-17 goals), Deportivo Madryn 7th (28 pts, 25-20).

Over their last five matches, Deportivo Moron averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Deportivo Madryn averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Deportivo Moron or draw.

Deportivo Moron vs Deportivo Madryn — model comparison

60%

Form

40%

58%

Attack

42%

50%

Defence

50%

Head to head

50%

Goals

50%

56%

Overall

44%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Primera Nacional

2026/2027 Standings• Group 1

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	19	11	4	4	+8	37
2	Deportivo Moron	19	10	4	5	+10	34
3	Colon Santa Fe	19	8	8	3	+8	32
4	Ciudad de Bolívar	19	7	9	3	+5	30
5	Los Andes	19	7	8	4	+9	29
6	Almirante Brown	19	8	5	6	+2	29
7	Deportivo Madryn	19	7	7	5	+5	28
8	CA Estudiantes	19	7	6	6	-1	27
9	Godoy Cruz	19	6	7	6	+2	25
10	San Miguel	19	5	10	4	-3	25
11	Defensores De Belgrano	19	5	8	6	-3	23
12	Racing Cordoba	19	5	6	8	-5	21
13	San Telmo	19	4	8	7	-3	20
14	All Boys	19	4	8	7	-7	20
15	Central Norte	19	4	7	8	-5	19
16	Acassuso	19	5	4	10	-7	19
17	Atletico Mitre	19	3	9	7	-5	18
18	Chaco For Ever	19	2	7	10	-11	13