OddsFilter

IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF• Superettan, Sweden

#121.8:1.41-2FT11/10 · Finnvedsvallen, Venamu1.8:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.40PINX3.62PIN22.81PINMargin at best4.9%Books10Markets79Rating49 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 08:12 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.403.622.814.9%
Dafabet2.373.452.806.9%
Betfair2.303.602.757.6%
BetVictor2.383.502.707.6%
1xBet2.303.542.768.0%
Betano2.373.402.758.0%
Marathonbet2.283.542.748.6%
Bet3652.253.302.7011.8%
William Hill2.303.302.6211.9%
SBO2.253.262.6413.0%
Best of all books2.403.622.814.9%
Average2.323.452.738.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

IFK VarnamoFalkenbergs FF
Last 10#12Table position#21.12Points per game1.8510Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5036Defence rating6450Form rating5060H2H rating4038Goals model6249Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 13:51 UTC

IFK Varnamo

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

19 SepAOddevold2-1W
15 SepHOsters IF1-3L
9 SepAUnited Nordic4-2W
5 SepHVarbergs BoIS FC1-1D
29 AugALjungskile SK1-0W
24 AugHLandskrona BoIS1-1D
19 AugAVäxjö Norra3-1W
16 AugHOstersunds FK1-1D
11 AugAHelsingborg2-1W
3 AugAOrebro SK3-1W

Falkenbergs FF

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:11 · per match 1.6 for, 1.1 against

18 SepHOstersunds FK0-0D
13 SepALjungskile SK2-0W
10 SepHOsters IF2-1W
5 SepAOddevold1-2L
29 AugHIK brage4-1W
24 AugAIFK Norrkoping1-2L
18 AugAIFK Skövde2-2D
15 AugHNorrby IF2-0W
8 AugHUnited Nordic1-1D
1 AugAVarbergs BoIS FC1-2L

Head to head

3IFK Varnamo wins
1draws
5Falkenbergs FF wins

9 meetings · goals 10:16 · last 9: 3W 1D 5L for IFK Varnamo

23 May 2026SuperettanSuperettanFalkenbergs FF3-1IFK Varnamo
8 Mar 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsIFK Varnamo1-0Falkenbergs FF
25 Oct 2021SuperettanSuperettanIFK Varnamo3-2Falkenbergs FF
10 Jul 2021Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsIFK Varnamo0-1Falkenbergs FF
1 May 2021SuperettanSuperettanFalkenbergs FF0-3IFK Varnamo
28 Oct 2018SuperettanSuperettanFalkenbergs FF3-0IFK Varnamo
29 May 2018SuperettanSuperettanIFK Varnamo1-4Falkenbergs FF
9 Aug 2017SuperettanSuperettanFalkenbergs FF2-0IFK Varnamo
17 Jun 2017SuperettanSuperettanIFK Varnamo1-1Falkenbergs FF

Superettan tableSuperettanupdated 12 Oct 19:30 UTC

In the Superettan table, IFK Varnamo sit 12th with 29 points from 26 games, while Falkenbergs FF are 2nd with 48 points from 26.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1IFK Norrkoping25174448:16+3255
2Falkenbergs FF26146648:34+1448
3Varbergs BoIS FC26136745:34+1145
4Ostersunds FK261111434:25+944
5Landskrona BoIS26127742:28+1443
6Oddevold26109740:34+639
7Osters IF261131238:40-236
8United Nordic2699838:42-436
9Sandviken26971043:38+534
10Helsingborg26861236:47-1130
11Ljungskile SK26781134:37-329
12IFK Varnamo26851334:47-1329
13Norrby IF26512930:35-527
14IK brage26681241:48-726
15Orebro SK265101128:40-1225
16GIF Sundsvall25611819:53-3419

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.32X27%3.45234%2.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 09:101 2.32X 3.452 2.73
12.33 → 2.32 -0.4%X3.38 → 3.45 +2.1%22.72 → 2.73 +0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.672.244.5%
SBO1.722.135.1%
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Betano1.672.127.1%
1xBet1.662.127.4%
Marathonbet1.662.127.4%
BetVictor1.632.109.0%
Best of all books1.722.242.8%
Average1.672.156.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.385.7%
Betano1.552.327.6%
William Hill1.552.308.0%
1xBet1.542.328.0%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
BetVictor1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.542.288.8%
Best of all books1.572.385.7%
Average1.552.327.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

IFK Varnamo 10%Draw 45%Falkenbergs FF 45%

The statistical model rated IFK Varnamo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Falkenbergs FF at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 3.45 | 2.73, which imply roughly 29% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Superettan table: IFK Varnamo are 12th (29 pts, 34-47 goals), Falkenbergs FF 2nd (48 pts, 48-34).

Over their last five matches, IFK Varnamo averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Falkenbergs FF averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Falkenbergs FF.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

IFK Varnamo

4-4-2

Coach: K. Bergstrand

Goalkeeper

  • 1H. Keto

Defence

  • 18A. Motaraghebjafarpour
  • 2J. Rapp
  • 16Z. Råvik
  • 3A. Björnström

Midfield

  • 8H. Andersson Mella
  • 26C. Johansson
  • 11A. Ljungberg

Attack

  • 10V. Claesson
  • 9K. Meriluoto
  • 14M. Antonsson
Substitutes (9)
  • 7C. Johansson
  • 24M. Kamara
  • 23L. Róbertsson
  • 39L. Selin
  • 4S. Ohlsson
  • 33Musa Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa
  • 22S. Thern
  • 19Erik Jacob Freij
  • 13S. Jansson

Falkenbergs FF

4-4-2

Coach: C. Andersson

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Andersson

Defence

  • 6L. Borgström
  • 23A. Salo
  • 12A. Rupia-Ellis

Midfield

  • 17A. Miftari
  • 28M. Nilsson
  • 11H. Källström

Attack

  • 19O. Lindberg
  • 30G. Aguda
  • 10E. Mohammad
  • 9Albin Andersson
Substitutes (9)
  • 21L. Beqiri
  • 5N. Hansson
  • 29H. Komano
  • 31G. Lillienberg
  • 18Lassina Sangare
  • 4T. Stålheden
  • 14W. Videhult
  • 25Gazton Alexandersson
  • 8N. Bertilsson

Match Statistics

IFK VarnamoFalkenbergs FF
0Free Kicks0
4Corner Kicks6
46%Ball Possession54%
4Shots on Goal6
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
4Shots off Goal7
0Blocked Shots0
8Total Shots13

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.323.452.73

Double chance

1XX212
1.401.551.27

Draw no bet

12
1.742.02

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.552.32

1st half

1X2
2.842.273.29

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8313.92.04

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.8
1.51.194.23
2.51.672.15
3.52.581.45
4.54.641.16
5.58.651.04
6.516.61.02
7.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.75–9.70
11.038.60
1.251.085.45
1.751.213.58
21.273.16
2.251.472.52
2.751.821.92
32.061.69
3.252.291.54
3.752.971.30
43.881.18
4.254.201.15
4.755.601.08
57.701.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.681.41
-0.52.331.57
-0.252.021.74
01.742.03
+0.251.532.34
+0.51.442.69
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.301.02
-27.601.03
-1.755.471.10
-1.54.231.17
-1.253.951.21
-13.541.26
+0.751.303.26
+11.174.49
+1.251.144.80
+1.51.125.30
+1.751.076.98
+21.0110.0
+2.51.0110.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.026.97
7.51.144.18
8.51.332.86
9.51.602.19
10.51.971.75
11.52.541.43
12.53.461.23
13.55.081.08
14.56.921.02
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.70
71.036.42
7.251.095.00
7.751.163.98
81.183.77
8.251.263.20
8.751.382.69
91.442.56
9.251.532.30
9.751.702.02
101.811.93
10.251.901.80
10.752.141.62
112.321.54
11.252.451.46
11.752.831.34
123.191.26
12.253.341.24
12.753.981.16
134.711.10
13.254.891.09
13.755.801.05
147.171.01