Ørn Horten vs Råde• 3. Division - Girone 6, Norway

#61.8:1.61-0FT24/10 · Lystlunden Stadion3.6:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.341XBX4.50B36521.70B365Margin at best4.1%Books8Markets54Rating43 · 58Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	4.20	4.30	1.64	8.0%
Betfair	4.20	4.40	1.57	10.2%
1xBet	4.34	4.20	1.56	11.0%
Betano	4.10	4.15	1.60	11.0%
Bet365	3.30	4.50	1.70	11.3%
Marathonbet	4.25	4.20	1.54	12.3%
Pinnacle	4.08	4.07	1.57	12.8%
William Hill	4.00	3.80	1.62	13.0%
Best of all books	4.34	4.50	1.70	4.1%
Average	4.06	4.20	1.60	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ørn HortenRåde

Last 10#6Table position#31.52Points per game1.846Form pts · last 581.8Goals for · last 53.61.6Goals against · last 51.233Attack rating6743Defence rating5743Form rating5750H2H rating5036Goals model6443Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 18:31 UTC

Ørn Horten

4W 1D 5L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

19 Oct	A	Lyn II	1-3	L
10 Oct	H	Lillehammer	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Brumunddal	4-0	W
26 Sep	H	Fram	4-2	W
19 Sep	H	Oppsal	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Sandefjord II	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Sarpsborg 08 II	3-4	L
30 Aug	A	Bjørkelangen	5-2	W
23 Aug	A	Flint	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Gjøvik-Lyn	1-0	W

Råde

5W 2D 3L · goals 30:15 · per match 3.0 for, 1.5 against

17 Oct	H	Brumunddal	14-0	W
12 Oct	A	Sandefjord II	2-0	W
5 Oct	A	Lyn II	0-0	D
26 Sep	H	Lillehammer	1-5	L
19 Sep	A	Fram	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Elverum	4-2	W
5 Sep	H	Gjøvik-Lyn	2-0	W
31 Aug	A	Sarpsborg 08 II	2-3	L
22 Aug	H	Follo	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Drøbak / Frogn	3-2	W

Head to head

0Ørn Horten wins

1draws

0Råde wins

1 meeting · goals 1:1 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Ørn Horten

25 Apr 20263. Division - Girone 6

3. Division - Girone 6

Råde1-1Ørn Horten

3. Division - Girone 6 tableGroup Fupdated 26 Oct 12:30 UTC

In the 3. Division - Girone 6 table, Ørn Horten sit 6th with 38 points from 25 games, while Råde are 3rd with 46 points from 25.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Lillehammer	25	19	2	4	91:35	+56	59
2	Elverum	25	17	2	6	71:40	+31	53
3	Råde	25	14	4	7	86:41	+45	46
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	25	14	2	9	44:24	+20	44
5	Drøbak / Frogn	25	12	5	8	56:36	+20	41
6	Ørn Horten	25	11	5	9	46:39	+7	38
7	Raelingen	25	11	5	9	49:55	-6	38
8	Lyn II	24	10	4	10	53:52	+1	34
9	Oppsal	24	10	3	11	40:38	+2	33
10	Sandefjord II	24	10	3	11	54:53	+1	33
11	Sarpsborg 08 II	24	9	5	10	58:54	+4	32
12	Fram	25	8	5	12	46:55	-9	29
13	Brumunddal	25	3	3	19	26:109	-83	12
14	Bjørkelangen	25	1	0	24	17:106	-89	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.23X21%4.28258%1.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.88 → 4.06 +41.0%X4.33 → 4.20 -3.0%21.90 → 1.60 -15.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.40	6.3%
1xBet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.30	3.40	6.3%
Average	1.27	3.32	9.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.33	3.00	8.5%
1xBet	1.31	3.05	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.31	2.97	10.0%
Best of all books	1.33	3.05	8.0%
Average	1.32	3.01	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ørn Horten 10%Draw 45%Råde 45%

The statistical model rated Ørn Horten at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Råde at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.23 | 4.28 | 1.57, which imply roughly 23.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Division - Girone 6 table: Ørn Horten are 6th (38 pts, 46-39 goals), Råde 3rd (46 pts, 86-41).

Over their last five matches, Ørn Horten averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Råde averaged 3.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Råde and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.06	4.20	1.60

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.06	1.19	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
2.93	1.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.32	3.01

1st half

1	X	2
4.07	2.66	2.02

2nd half

1	X	2
3.94	3.06	1.84

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.82	14.8	17.3
HT X	10.4	7.90	4.94
HT 2	30.8	14.4	2.34

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.37	28.5	1.52

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	26.0
1.5	1.03	7.60
2.5	1.27	3.32
3.5	1.70	1.99
4.5	2.54	1.41
5.5	4.30	1.15

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.04	7.10
2	1.05	6.55
2.25	1.15	4.31
2.75	1.31	2.98
3	1.36	2.70
3.25	1.53	2.26
3.75	1.84	1.81
4	2.08	1.62
4.25	2.30	1.50
4.75	2.98	1.30
5	3.70	1.20
5.25	4.00	1.17
6	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.59	1.40
+0.5	1.95	1.78
+0.75	1.95	1.75
+1	1.77	1.90
+1.25	1.59	2.13
+1.5	1.48	2.35

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	5.70	1.08
-1	8.20	1.02
-0.75	5.48	1.08
-0.25	3.84	1.18
0	3.38	1.23
+1.75	1.36	2.73
+2	1.23	3.42
+2.25	1.19	3.76
+2.5	1.16	4.10
+2.75	1.10	5.10
+3	1.04	7.10
+3.5	1.02	7.80

Latest 3. Division - Girone 6 results

26 Oct	Oppsal 3-0 Lyn II
26 Oct	Sandefjord II 3-2 Sarpsborg 08 II
24 Oct	Elverum 3-0 Gjøvik-Lyn
19 Oct	Lyn II 3-1 Ørn Horten
17 Oct	Lillehammer 5-0 Sandefjord II
17 Oct	Gjøvik-Lyn 1-0 Oppsal