Madla vs Staal Jørpeland• 3. Division - Girone 4, Norway

#12.8:0.83-1FT17/102.2:2.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.25WHX6.50BVC29.301XBMargin at best6.1%Books6Markets62Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.22	6.50	8.50	9.1%
1xBet	1.20	5.90	9.30	11.0%
Bet365	1.25	5.75	7.00	11.7%
William Hill	1.25	5.00	8.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.19	5.90	8.80	12.3%
Pinnacle	1.23	5.87	6.63	13.4%
Best of all books	1.25	6.50	9.30	6.1%
Average	1.22	5.82	8.12	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MadlaStaal Jørpeland

Last 10#1Table position#112.09Points per game1.137Form pts · last 572.8Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 52.656Attack rating4476Defence rating2459Form rating4160H2H rating4069Goals model3163Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:31 UTC

Madla

6W 2D 2L · goals 24:10 · per match 2.4 for, 1.0 against

10 Oct	A	Varhaug	3-1	W
4 Oct	H	Brodd	0-1	L
1 Oct	H	Viking	0-3	L
26 Sep	A	Åkra	6-0	W
21 Sep	H	Haugesund II	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Hinna	4-1	W
5 Sep	A	Flekkerøy	2-0	W
31 Aug	H	Odd II	4-0	W
22 Aug	H	Vidar	3-2	W
17 Aug	A	Viking II	1-1	D

Staal Jørpeland

3W 1D 6L · goals 20:26 · per match 2.0 for, 2.6 against

10 Oct	H	Våg	0-4	L
2 Oct	A	Hinna	4-2	W
25 Sep	A	Varhaug	2-4	L
21 Sep	H	Viking II	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Brodd	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Mandalskameratene	0-2	L
30 Aug	A	Stabæk II	1-2	L
17 Aug	H	Haugesund II	3-4	L
8 Aug	A	Odd II	2-1	W
1 Aug	H	Åkra	3-4	L

Head to head

3Madla wins

1draws

4Staal Jørpeland wins

8 meetings · goals 18:20 · last 8: 3W 1D 4L for Madla

18 Apr 20263. Division - Girone 4	3. Division - Girone 4	Staal Jørpeland0-3Madla
2 Aug 20253. Division - Girone 5	3. Division - Girone 5	Madla3-2Staal Jørpeland
10 May 20253. Division - Girone 5	3. Division - Girone 5	Staal Jørpeland1-4Madla
27 Oct 20243. Division - Girone 2	3. Division - Girone 2	Staal Jørpeland2-1Madla
2 May 20243. Division - Girone 2	3. Division - Girone 2	Madla2-5Staal Jørpeland
31 Aug 20233. Division - Girone 3	3. Division - Girone 3	Madla3-3Staal Jørpeland
9 Jun 20233. Division - Girone 3	3. Division - Girone 3	Staal Jørpeland3-2Madla
25 Aug 20213. Division - Girone 3	3. Division - Girone 3	Madla0-4Staal Jørpeland

3. Division - Girone 4 tableGroup Dupdated 16 Oct 18:11 UTC

In the 3. Division - Girone 4 table, Madla sit 1st with 48 points from 23 games, while Staal Jørpeland are 11th with 26 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Madla	23	14	6	3	60:28	+32	48
2	Mandalskameratene	23	13	4	6	54:34	+20	43
3	Flekkerøy	23	12	3	8	45:37	+8	39
4	Vindbjart	23	12	2	9	51:31	+20	38
5	Varhaug	23	10	6	7	42:37	+5	36
6	Viking II	23	10	5	8	57:34	+23	35
7	Brodd	23	10	3	10	44:42	+2	33
8	Stabæk II	23	10	3	10	48:49	-1	33
9	Våg	23	10	2	11	39:38	+1	32
10	Odd II	23	8	5	10	40:50	-10	29
11	Staal Jørpeland	23	7	5	11	45:58	-13	26
12	Haugesund II	23	7	4	12	42:63	-21	25
13	Hinna	23	6	5	12	42:67	-25	23
14	Åkra	23	4	3	16	27:68	-41	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg174%1.22X15%5.82211%8.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.22 → 1.22 0.0%X5.85 → 5.82 -0.5%27.60 → 8.12 +6.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.20	4.33	6.4%
1xBet	1.15	4.20	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.15	4.20	10.8%
Best of all books	1.20	4.33	6.4%
Average	1.17	4.24	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
William Hill	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.40	2.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.60	9.9%
Best of all books	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Average	1.40	2.67	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Madla 45%Draw 45%Staal Jørpeland 10%

The statistical model rated Madla at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Staal Jørpeland at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.22 | 5.82 | 8.12, which imply roughly 82% for a Madla win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Division - Girone 4 table: Madla are 1st (48 pts, 60-28 goals), Staal Jørpeland 11th (26 pts, 45-58).

Over their last five matches, Madla averaged 2.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Staal Jørpeland averaged 2.2 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Madla or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.22	5.82	8.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.50	1.08

Draw no bet

1	2
1.09	6.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.67

1st half

1	X	2
1.57	3.07	6.62

2nd half

1	X	2
1.44	3.75	6.50

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.62	19.8	48.3
HT X	4.42	11.3	19.7
HT 2	17.1	21.7	15.1

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.31	36.0	3.19

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	41.0
1.5	1.04	9.60
2.5	1.17	4.24
3.5	1.49	2.38
4.5	2.09	1.62
5.5	3.20	1.26
6.5	5.55	1.08

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.01	8.93
2	1.01	8.70
2.25	1.08	5.50
2.75	1.18	3.84
3	1.22	3.50
3.25	1.36	2.76
3.75	1.58	2.15
4	1.72	1.94
4.25	1.91	1.75
4.75	2.35	1.48
5	2.75	1.35
5.25	2.97	1.30
6	5.00	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.33	1.49
-2.25	2.13	1.60
-2	1.92	1.77
-1.75	1.72	1.95
-1.5	1.59	2.15
-1.25	1.44	2.43

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	6.75	1.04
-4	6.15	1.06
-3.75	4.64	1.12
-3.5	3.78	1.19
-3.25	3.50	1.22
-3	3.20	1.26
-2.75	2.64	1.38
-1	1.30	2.97
-0.75	1.25	3.28
-0.25	1.12	4.75
0	1.03	7.30
+0.25	1.06	6.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.83	1.83

Latest 3. Division - Girone 4 results

17 Oct	Haugesund II 3-4 Mandalskameratene
17 Oct	Hinna 4-2 Viking II
12 Oct	Haugesund II 2-0 Åkra
11 Oct	Mandalskameratene 0-1 Stabæk II
9 Oct	Flekkerøy 0-1 Odd II
5 Oct	Odd II 3-1 Viking II