Melhus vs Aalesund II• 3. Division - Girone 2, Norway

#31.8:1.20-1FT12/101.8:3.4#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX6.50BVC25.50BFRMargin at best1.6%Books8Markets65Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.45	5.80	4.60	7.9%
BetVictor	1.22	6.50	8.00	9.9%
Betano	1.47	5.20	4.30	10.5%
1xBet	1.36	5.40	5.31	10.9%
Betfair	1.36	5.00	5.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.35	5.40	5.10	12.2%
William Hill	1.40	5.00	4.60	13.2%
Pinnacle	1.43	6.14	3.66	13.5%
Best of all books	1.47	6.50	5.50	1.6%
Average	1.38	5.55	5.13	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MelhusAalesund II

Last 10#3Table position#131.65Points per game1.046Form pts · last 571.8Goals for · last 51.81.2Goals against · last 53.450Attack rating5074Defence rating2660Form rating4071H2H rating2973Goals model2766Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 12 Oct 14:50 UTC

Melhus

4W 1D 5L · goals 21:15 · per match 2.1 for, 1.5 against

2 Oct	A	Rosenborg II	4-1	W
26 Sep	H	Spjelkavik	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Molde II	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Volda	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Herd	4-1	W
30 Aug	H	Strindheim	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Stjørdals-Blink	0-3	L
15 Aug	A	Nardo	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Orkla	8-3	W
3 Aug	A	Kvik Trondheim	1-1	D

Aalesund II

4W 1D 5L · goals 19:24 · per match 1.9 for, 2.4 against

12 Oct	A	Melhus	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	NTNUI	1-3	L
25 Sep	H	Rosenborg II	1-7	L
20 Sep	A	Orkla	2-2	D
14 Sep	H	Spjelkavik	3-2	W
7 Sep	A	Molde II	2-3	L
17 Aug	A	Kvik Trondheim	2-3	L
10 Aug	H	Herd	3-0	W
3 Aug	A	Strindheim	0-2	L
25 Jul	H	Orkla	4-2	W

Head to head

3Melhus wins

0draws

1Aalesund II wins

4 meetings · goals 13:6 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Melhus

3 May 20263. Division - Girone 2	3. Division - Girone 2	Aalesund II2-3Melhus
30 Aug 20253. Division - Girone 2	3. Division - Girone 2	Aalesund II1-3Melhus
5 Jul 20253. Division - Girone 2	3. Division - Girone 2	Melhus5-0Aalesund II
23 Oct 20213. Division - Girone 5	3. Division - Girone 5	Aalesund II3-2Melhus

3. Division - Girone 2 tableRegular Seasonupdated 18 Oct 18:10 UTC

In the 3. Division - Girone 2 table, Melhus sit 3rd with 38 points from 23 games, while Aalesund II are 13th with 24 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Strindheim	24	16	4	4	70:31	+39	52
2	Volda	24	16	4	4	63:25	+38	52
3	Melhus	23	11	5	7	52:29	+23	38
4	Byåsen	24	11	5	8	53:46	+7	38
5	Molde II	24	10	5	9	64:75	-11	35
6	Nardo	23	10	2	11	61:47	+14	32
7	Herd	24	9	5	10	49:56	-7	32
8	Rosenborg II	23	9	4	10	51:45	+6	31
9	Spjelkavik	24	8	5	11	44:52	-8	29
10	NTNUI	23	7	7	9	35:48	-13	28
11	Ranheim II	23	7	5	11	60:74	-14	26
12	Kvik Trondheim	24	7	5	12	35:56	-21	26
13	Aalesund II	23	7	3	13	42:65	-23	24
14	Orkla	24	5	5	14	40:70	-30	20

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X16%5.56218%5.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.05	6.40	10.9%
Marathonbet	1.05	6.40	10.9%
Best of all books	1.05	6.40	10.9%
Average	1.05	6.40	10.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.20	4.00	8.3%
BetVictor	1.25	3.50	8.6%
1xBet	1.16	4.42	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.16	4.25	9.7%
Best of all books	1.25	4.42	2.6%
Average	1.19	4.04	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Melhus 45%Draw 45%Aalesund II 10%

The statistical model rated Melhus at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Aalesund II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 5.56 | 5.13, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Melhus win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Division - Girone 2 table: Melhus are 3rd (38 pts, 52-29 goals), Aalesund II 13th (24 pts, 42-65).

Over their last five matches, Melhus averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Aalesund II averaged 1.8 scored and 3.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Melhus or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.38	5.56	5.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.61	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.95

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.19	4.04

1st half

1	X	2
1.74	3.18	4.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.24	51.0	3.38

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.02	15.0
2.5	1.05	6.40
3.5	1.32	3.01
4.5	1.68	2.02
5.5	2.42	1.46
6.5	3.69	1.20

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.06	8.05
2.75	1.06	6.05
3	1.08	5.65
3.25	1.16	4.05
3.75	1.39	2.71
4	1.50	2.41
4.25	1.53	2.25
4.75	1.81	1.84
5	2.00	1.68
5.25	2.21	1.56
5.75	2.62	1.38
6	3.14	1.27
6.25	3.42	1.23
7	5.65	1.08

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.18	1.58
-1.75	1.99	1.72
-1.5	1.83	1.85
-1.25	1.72	1.92
-1	1.58	2.13
-0.75	1.46	2.40

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-5.5	6.80	1.06
-5	7.30	1.05
-4.5	7.20	1.04
-4	6.75	1.06
-3.75	4.60	1.13
-3.5	4.80	1.11
-3.25	4.55	1.13
-3	3.64	1.24
-2.75	2.87	1.36
-2.5	2.60	1.41
-2.25	2.45	1.46
-0.5	1.44	2.46
-0.25	1.26	3.20
0	1.15	4.20
+0.25	1.13	4.60

Next 3. Division - Girone 2 matches

19 Oct

Rosenborg II – NTNUI

All 3. Division - Girone 2 fixtures and the table

Latest 3. Division - Girone 2 results

18 Oct	Aalesund II 3-3 Byåsen
17 Oct	Strindheim 7-0 Orkla
12 Oct	Strindheim 5-1 Rosenborg II
12 Oct	Ranheim II 2-3 Molde II
10 Oct	Byåsen 1-3 Nardo
10 Oct	NTNUI 1-0 Volda