Bærum vs Ullern• 3. Division - Girone 1, Norway

#61.2:3.02-1FT17/101.6:2.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78PINX4.62PIN23.40BVCMargin at best7.2%Books6Markets63Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 08:14 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.73	4.50	3.40	9.4%
1xBet	1.70	4.55	3.32	10.9%
Bet365	1.70	4.50	3.25	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.68	4.55	3.26	12.2%
Pinnacle	1.78	4.67	2.88	12.3%
William Hill	1.75	4.00	3.10	14.4%
Best of all books	1.78	4.67	3.40	7.0%
Average	1.72	4.46	3.20	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BærumUllern

Last 10#6Table position#121.58Points per game0.963Form pts · last 561.2Goals for · last 51.63.0Goals against · last 52.243Attack rating5742Defence rating580Form rating10085H2H rating1564Goals model3660Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 23 Oct 17:01 UTC

Bærum

3W 1D 6L · goals 15:22 · per match 1.5 for, 2.2 against

17 Oct	H	Ullern	2-1	W
10 Oct	A	Asker	2-4	L
4 Oct	H	IF Ready	1-2	L
1 Oct	H	Lillestrom	1-5	L
26 Sep	A	Vålerenga II	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Union Carl Berner	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Lokomotiv Oslo	2-5	L
5 Sep	H	Nordstrand	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Konnerud	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Mjondalen	4-0	W

Ullern

4W 0D 6L · goals 20:27 · per match 2.0 for, 2.7 against

17 Oct	A	Bærum	1-2	L
10 Oct	H	SF Grei	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	KFUM II	3-1	W
26 Sep	A	Heming	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Vålerenga II	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	IF Ready	3-4	L
5 Sep	H	Asker	2-6	L
30 Aug	A	Lokomotiv Oslo	3-2	W
15 Aug	H	Union Carl Berner	4-1	W
8 Aug	H	Gamle Oslo	2-5	L

Head to head

5Bærum wins

3draws

2Ullern wins

10 meetings · goals 22:11 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Bærum

6 Apr 20263. Division - Girone 1	3. Division - Girone 1	Ullern0-3Bærum
26 Oct 20253. Division - Girone 1	3. Division - Girone 1	Bærum4-2Ullern
21 Apr 20253. Division - Girone 1	3. Division - Girone 1	Ullern1-2Bærum
7 Sep 20243. Division - Girone 3	3. Division - Girone 3	Ullern1-1Bærum
8 Jun 20243. Division - Girone 3	3. Division - Girone 3	Bærum2-2Ullern
11 Apr 2024NM Cupen	NM Cupen	Ullern0-2Bærum
12 Aug 20232. Division - Group 2	2. Division - Group 2	Bærum6-1Ullern
23 Jul 20232. Division - Group 2	2. Division - Group 2	Ullern2-1Bærum
17 Mar 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Bærum1-1Ullern
12 Mar 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Bærum0-1Ullern

3. Division - Girone 1 tableGroup Aupdated 23 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the 3. Division - Girone 1 table, Bærum sit 6th with 38 points from 24 games, while Ullern are 12th with 23 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Asker	24	21	1	2	84:35	+49	64
2	Heming	24	14	5	5	62:38	+24	47
3	Gamle Oslo	24	14	2	8	71:44	+27	44
4	Vålerenga II	24	13	1	10	54:63	-9	40
5	IF Ready	24	11	6	7	60:46	+14	39
6	Bærum	24	12	2	10	66:46	+20	38
7	Union Carl Berner	24	12	2	10	44:36	+8	38
8	Frigg	24	9	6	9	53:58	-5	33
9	Lokomotiv Oslo	24	9	2	13	46:68	-22	29
10	KFUM II	24	8	4	12	51:64	-13	28
11	SF Grei	24	8	1	15	44:73	-29	25
12	Ullern	24	7	2	15	43:62	-19	23
13	Nordstrand	24	6	2	16	36:54	-18	20
14	Konnerud	24	5	2	17	38:65	-27	17

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.72X20%4.46228%3.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.73 +3.0%X4.43 → 4.42 -0.2%23.39 → 3.21 -5.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.20	4.33	6.4%
1xBet	1.11	4.90	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.11	4.90	10.5%
Best of all books	1.20	4.90	3.7%
Average	1.14	4.71	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.18	4.20	8.6%
1xBet	1.17	4.26	8.9%
William Hill	1.18	4.00	9.7%
Marathonbet	1.17	4.10	9.9%
Best of all books	1.18	4.26	8.2%
Average	1.17	4.14	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bærum 45%Draw 45%Ullern 10%

The statistical model rated Bærum at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ullern at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 4.46 | 3.20, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Bærum win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Division - Girone 1 table: Bærum are 6th (38 pts, 66-46 goals), Ullern 12th (23 pts, 43-62).

Over their last five matches, Bærum averaged 1.2 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Ullern averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Bærum or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	4.46	3.20

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.92	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.40	2.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.17	4.14

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	2.98	3.30

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	3.25	3.24

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.42	14.5	23.0
HT X	5.80	10.3	9.63
HT 2	15.3	14.7	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	40.0	2.23

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	55.0
1.5	1.03	10.7
2.5	1.14	4.71
3.5	1.43	2.59
4.5	1.94	1.73
5.5	3.01	1.31
6.5	5.10	1.10

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.01	9.00
2	1.04	7.75
2.25	1.05	6.55
2.75	1.13	4.50
3	1.16	4.10
3.25	1.29	3.10
3.75	1.49	2.34
4	1.60	2.12
4.25	1.77	1.88
4.75	2.15	1.58
5	2.47	1.44
5.25	2.71	1.36
5.75	3.50	1.22
6	4.50	1.13
7	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.37	1.48
-1	2.14	1.60
-0.75	1.88	1.80
-0.5	1.75	1.96
-0.25	1.56	2.20
0	1.41	2.55

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	7.80	1.05
-4	6.80	1.06
-3.5	8.60	1.01
-3	7.90	1.02
-2.75	5.70	1.08
-2.5	4.55	1.13
-2.25	4.22	1.15
-2	3.90	1.18
-1.75	3.05	1.29
-1.5	2.59	1.39
+0.25	1.34	2.82
+0.75	1.17	3.96
+1	1.09	5.40
+1.5	1.06	6.18

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10.5	1.67	2.10
11	1.92	1.88

Next 3. Division - Girone 1 matches

24 Oct	Ullern – Nordstrand
24 Oct	Gamle Oslo – Bærum

All 3. Division - Girone 1 fixtures and the table

Latest 3. Division - Girone 1 results

18 Oct	Lokomotiv Oslo 3-1 IF Ready
17 Oct	Nordstrand 0-2 Heming
14 Oct	Asker 3-2 Frigg
10 Oct	Vålerenga II 4-1 Frigg
10 Oct	Gamle Oslo 1-0 Nordstrand
10 Oct	Asker 4-2 Bærum