jerv vs Sotra• 2. Division - Group 1, Norway

#12.2:1.24-3FT18/10 · Grimstad2.4:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.73WHX3.75B36524.33BVCMargin at best7.6%Books6Markets73Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	1.70	3.75	4.33	8.6%
1xBet	1.66	3.65	4.30	10.9%
Bet365	1.70	3.75	3.90	11.1%
Pinnacle	1.68	3.65	4.01	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.64	3.65	4.20	12.2%
William Hill	1.73	3.40	4.00	12.2%
Best of all books	1.73	3.75	4.33	7.6%
Average	1.68	3.64	4.12	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

jervSotra

Last 10#1Table position#52.33Points per game1.758Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 51.648Attack rating5257Defence rating4355Form rating4571H2H rating2960Goals model4060Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 18:51 UTC

jerv

6W 3D 1L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Arendal	2-2	D
4 Oct	A	Lysekloster	3-3	D
26 Sep	H	Notodden	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Kvik Halden	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Egersund	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Brattvåg	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Mjondalen	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Pors Grenland	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Fram	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Sandviken	2-2	D

Sotra

7W 1D 2L · goals 27:11 · per match 2.7 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Kvik Halden	3-0	W
4 Oct	A	Brattvåg	2-3	L
26 Sep	H	Pors Grenland	3-2	W
19 Sep	A	Mjondalen	1-3	L
16 Sep	H	Sogndal	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Sandviken	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Vidar	3-0	W
30 Aug	A	Eik-Tønsberg	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Frøya	6-0	W
16 Aug	H	Træff	2-1	W

Head to head

3jerv wins

1draws

1Sotra wins

5 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 5: 3W 1D 1L for jerv

28 Jun 20262. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	Sotra1-3jerv
5 Oct 20252. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	jerv2-0Sotra
8 Jun 20252. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	Sotra2-1jerv
7 Jul 20242. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	jerv1-1Sotra
27 Apr 20242. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	Sotra0-2jerv

2. Division - Group 1 tableGroup Aupdated 23 Oct 17:01 UTC

In the 2. Division - Group 1 table, jerv sit 1st with 56 points from 24 games, while Sotra are 5th with 42 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	jerv	24	17	5	2	53:26	+27	56
2	Bjarg	24	16	2	6	56:31	+25	50
3	Mjondalen	24	16	2	6	47:29	+18	50
4	Brattvåg	24	15	3	6	51:33	+18	48
5	Sotra	24	13	3	8	53:29	+24	42
6	Notodden	24	10	5	9	36:29	+7	35
7	Kvik Halden	24	10	4	10	34:32	+2	34
8	Træff	24	9	7	8	40:47	-7	34
9	Arendal	24	8	6	10	35:40	-5	30
10	Pors Grenland	24	8	5	11	32:35	-3	29
11	Sandviken	24	7	4	13	34:49	-15	25
12	Lysekloster	24	4	7	13	32:52	-20	19
13	Vidar	24	3	4	17	23:63	-40	13
14	Eik-Tønsberg	24	3	1	20	25:56	-31	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.68X25%3.64222%4.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.72 → 1.68 -2.3%X3.71 → 3.64 -1.9%23.82 → 4.12 +7.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.11	8.4%
BetVictor	1.65	2.07	8.9%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.11	6.2%
Average	1.65	2.10	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.09	10.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Average	1.61	2.15	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

jerv 45%Draw 45%Sotra 10%

The statistical model rated jerv at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sotra at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.64 | 4.12, which imply roughly 59.5% for a jerv win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Division - Group 1 table: jerv are 1st (56 pts, 53-26 goals), Sotra 5th (42 pts, 53-29).

Over their last five matches, jerv averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sotra averaged 2.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : jerv or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.64	4.12

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.97	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.15

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.27	4.56

2nd half

1	X	2
2.03	2.62	4.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.50	15.0	36.7
HT X	4.67	6.07	9.53
HT 2	22.3	15.3	6.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	15.8	2.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.7
1.5	1.18	4.13
2.5	1.65	2.10
3.5	2.61	1.41
4.5	4.55	1.15
5.5	8.50	1.02
6.5	12.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.02	8.40
1.25	1.08	5.65
1.75	1.20	3.68
2	1.26	3.22
2.25	1.44	2.48
2.75	1.79	1.88
3	2.03	1.66
3.25	2.25	1.54
3.75	2.91	1.33
4	3.86	1.18
4.25	4.20	1.15
4.75	5.70	1.08
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.75	1.37
-1.25	2.46	1.47
-1	2.19	1.60
-0.75	1.86	1.82
-0.5	1.68	2.08
-0.25	1.48	2.41

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.04
-3	7.20	1.05
-2.75	6.87	1.06
-2.5	5.37	1.11
-2.25	5.05	1.13
-2	4.53	1.15
-1.75	3.38	1.26
0	1.29	3.16
+0.25	1.23	3.57
+0.5	1.24	3.90
+0.75	1.11	5.32
+1	1.04	7.93
+1.25	1.06	7.06
+1.5	1.10	8.47
+1.75	1.02	7.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.22
7.5	1.13	4.30
8.5	1.32	2.90
9.5	1.60	2.17
10.5	1.99	1.74
11.5	2.52	1.44
12.5	3.40	1.23
13.5	4.91	1.09

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.02	6.67
8	1.17	3.89
9	1.41	2.60
10	1.78	1.97
11	2.27	1.55
12	3.10	1.28
13	4.54	1.12
14	7.10	1.01

Next 2. Division - Group 1 matches

24 Oct	Mjondalen – Brattvåg
24 Oct	Eik-Tønsberg – Kvik Halden
24 Oct	Vidar – Lysekloster

All 2. Division - Group 1 fixtures and the table

Latest 2. Division - Group 1 results

18 Oct	Brattvåg 1-4 Bjarg
18 Oct	Lysekloster 3-3 Træff
17 Oct	Kvik Halden 0-2 Vidar
17 Oct	Arendal 3-0 Eik-Tønsberg
17 Oct	Notodden 3-4 Pors Grenland
11 Oct	Eik-Tønsberg 1-3 Lysekloster