jerv vs Arendal• 2. Division - Group 1, Norway

#12.4:0.82-2FTToday · Grimstad1.0:2.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.33B365X5.60DAF28.00BVCMargin at best5.5%Books9Markets59Rating66 · 34Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.32	5.60	7.60	6.8%
Pinnacle	1.31	5.13	7.71	8.8%
Betano	1.33	5.10	7.00	9.1%
BetVictor	1.30	5.00	8.00	9.4%
Betfair	1.29	5.00	7.50	10.9%
1xBet	1.29	4.90	7.70	10.9%
Bet365	1.33	4.75	6.50	11.6%
William Hill	1.30	4.60	7.50	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.28	4.90	7.30	12.2%
Best of all books	1.33	5.60	8.00	5.5%
Average	1.31	5.00	7.42	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

jervArendal

Last 10#1Table position#92.30Points per game1.1710Form pts · last 532.4Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 52.471Attack rating2975Defence rating2581Form rating1938H2H rating6284Goals model1666Overall rating34

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 17:41 UTC

jerv

7W 2D 1L · goals 22:9 · per match 2.2 for, 0.9 against

4 Oct	A	Lysekloster	3-3	D
26 Sep	H	Notodden	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Kvik Halden	2-0	W
16 Sep	H	Egersund	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Brattvåg	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Mjondalen	3-0	W
30 Aug	H	Pors Grenland	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Fram	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Sandviken	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Vidar	4-0	W

Arendal

5W 0D 5L · goals 18:18 · per match 1.8 for, 1.8 against

4 Oct	A	Sandviken	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Brattvåg	2-3	L
20 Sep	A	Notodden	1-4	L
16 Sep	H	Sandnes ULF	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Kvik Halden	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Bjarg	0-4	L
30 Aug	H	Lysekloster	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Froland	5-1	W
15 Aug	A	Vidar	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Pors Grenland	2-1	W

Head to head

4jerv wins

5draws

5Arendal wins

14 meetings · goals 25:27 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for jerv

16 May 20262. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	Arendal1-2jerv
28 Mar 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Arendal3-3jerv
25 Oct 20252. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	Arendal3-1jerv
13 Aug 2025NM Cupen	NM Cupen	Arendal3-2jerv
16 May 20252. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	jerv1-1Arendal
22 Mar 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Arendal0-1jerv
7 Feb 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	jerv2-2Arendal
14 Sep 20242. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	jerv3-0Arendal
16 May 20242. Division - Group 1	2. Division - Group 1	Arendal3-3jerv
1 Jun 2023NM Cupen	NM Cupen	Arendal0-1jerv

2. Division - Group 1 tableGroup Aupdated 10 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the 2. Division - Group 1 table, jerv sit 1st with 53 points from 23 games, while Arendal are 9th with 27 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	jerv	23	16	5	2	49:23	+26	53
2	Mjondalen	23	15	2	6	44:28	+16	47
3	Brattvåg	22	14	3	5	47:28	+19	45
4	Bjarg	22	14	2	6	47:28	+19	44
5	Sotra	23	13	3	7	50:25	+25	42
6	Notodden	22	10	5	7	31:20	+11	35
7	Kvik Halden	23	10	4	9	34:30	+4	34
8	Træff	22	8	6	8	36:44	-8	30
9	Arendal	23	7	6	10	32:40	-8	27
10	Pors Grenland	23	7	5	11	28:32	-4	26
11	Sandviken	22	7	4	11	33:45	-12	25
12	Lysekloster	22	3	6	13	26:48	-22	15
13	Eik-Tønsberg	22	3	1	18	24:50	-26	10
14	Vidar	22	2	4	16	20:60	-40	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.31X18%5.00212%7.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.33 → 1.31 -1.5%X5.04 → 5.00 -0.8%26.95 → 7.42 +6.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.45	2.61	7.3%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
BetVictor	1.40	2.70	8.5%
Betano	1.44	2.55	8.7%
1xBet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.41	2.52	10.6%
Best of all books	1.45	2.70	6.0%
Average	1.42	2.59	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Betano	1.70	1.98	9.3%
William Hill	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.00	9.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Average	1.68	2.02	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

jerv 45%Draw 45%Arendal 10%

The statistical model rated jerv at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Arendal at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 5.00 | 7.42, which imply roughly 76.3% for a jerv win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 2. Division - Group 1 table: jerv are 1st (53 pts, 49-23 goals), Arendal 9th (27 pts, 32-40).

Over their last five matches, jerv averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Arendal averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : jerv.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.31	5.00	7.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	3.13	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	5.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
1.71	2.68	6.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.35	22.8	3.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	18.8
1.5	1.12	5.14
2.5	1.43	2.59
3.5	2.08	1.66
4.5	3.37	1.26
5.5	5.70	1.09
6.5	8.50	1.05
7.5	12.0	1.02
8.5	19.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.75	1.12	4.75
2	1.14	4.33
2.25	1.28	3.08
2.75	1.51	2.30
3	1.66	2.05
3.25	1.87	1.81
3.75	2.34	1.50
4	2.80	1.36
4.25	2.90	1.33
4.75	4.00	1.17
5	5.25	1.09
5.25	5.50	1.08
6	8.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.66	1.41
-2	2.40	1.49
-1.75	2.06	1.68
-1.5	1.86	1.85
-1.25	1.65	2.11
-1	1.50	2.43

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	5.20	1.12
-3.25	4.83	1.13
-3	4.55	1.15
-2.75	3.48	1.25
-2.5	2.86	1.35
-0.75	1.35	2.89
-0.5	1.30	3.45
-0.25	1.19	4.00
0	1.09	5.97
+0.25	1.07	6.43
+0.5	1.13	5.90
+0.75	1.06	6.35