Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF• 1. Division, Norway

#41.2:2.04-1FTToday · Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua1.4:2.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.45B365X5.24PIN26.061XBMargin at best4.6%Books10Markets85Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 12:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.45	5.24	5.74	5.5%
Dafabet	1.45	4.90	5.60	7.2%
Bet365	1.45	4.75	5.75	7.4%
1xBet	1.40	5.00	6.06	7.9%
BetVictor	1.40	5.00	6.00	8.1%
Betano	1.42	4.85	5.80	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.39	5.00	6.00	8.6%
Betfair	1.36	4.75	6.00	11.2%
SBO	1.38	4.51	5.51	12.8%
William Hill	1.40	4.60	5.00	13.2%
Best of all books	1.45	5.24	6.06	4.6%
Average	1.41	4.86	5.75	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

StabaekSandnes ULF

Last 10#4Table position#131.84Points per game1.044Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 52.246Attack rating5452Defence rating4857Form rating4371H2H rating2972Goals model2861Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 16:00 UTC

Stabaek

4W 1D 5L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

11 Oct	H	Strommen	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Haugesund	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Sogndal	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Pors Grenland	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Bryne	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Moss	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	hodd	1-2	L
26 Aug	H	Ranheim	4-2	W
22 Aug	A	Heming	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	Egersund	4-0	W

Sandnes ULF

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	H	Haugesund	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Strommen	3-3	D
20 Sep	H	Moss	1-2	L
16 Sep	A	Arendal	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Stromsgodset	1-4	L
5 Sep	H	Ranheim	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Raufoss	3-0	W
26 Aug	A	Varhaug	3-2	W
22 Aug	H	Bryne	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Sogndal	0-2	L

Head to head

3Stabaek wins

1draws

1Sandnes ULF wins

5 meetings · goals 9:4 · last 5: 3W 1D 1L for Stabaek

10 May 20261. Division	1. Division	Sandnes ULF0-1Stabaek
19 Aug 20241. Division	1. Division	Sandnes ULF1-3Stabaek
31 Jul 20241. Division	1. Division	Stabaek3-0Sandnes ULF
22 Oct 20221. Division	1. Division	Sandnes ULF2-2Stabaek
25 Apr 20221. Division	1. Division	Stabaek0-1Sandnes ULF

1. Division table1. Divisionupdated 14 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Stabaek sit 4th with 46 points from 25 games, while Sandnes ULF are 13th with 26 points from 25.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kongsvinger	25	17	5	3	76:37	+39	56
2	Haugesund	25	18	2	5	75:40	+35	56
3	Stromsgodset	25	16	6	3	66:32	+34	54
4	Stabaek	25	14	4	7	59:33	+26	46
5	ODD Ballklubb	25	12	6	7	52:39	+13	42
6	Bryne	25	12	2	11	34:33	+1	38
7	hodd	25	10	4	11	41:51	-10	34
8	Egersund	25	9	5	11	39:50	-11	32
9	Ranheim	25	9	4	12	63:64	-1	31
10	Strommen	26	8	6	12	46:58	-12	30
11	Lyn	25	8	4	13	40:54	-14	28
12	Moss	25	8	4	13	40:55	-15	28
13	Sandnes ULF	25	7	5	13	36:46	-10	26
14	Sogndal	24	6	5	13	39:55	-16	23
15	Asane	26	6	5	15	37:60	-23	23
16	Raufoss	24	6	1	17	27:63	-36	19

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.41X19%4.88216%5.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.40 → 1.41 +0.7%X5.01 → 4.86 -3.0%25.71 → 5.75 +0.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.35	3.24	4.9%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
BetVictor	1.33	3.10	7.4%
Betfair	1.29	3.30	7.8%
Betano	1.34	3.00	8.0%
1xBet	1.29	3.04	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.29	3.04	10.4%
Best of all books	1.36	3.30	3.8%
Average	1.32	3.12	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
William Hill	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Betano	1.50	2.42	8.0%
1xBet	1.46	2.53	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.49	8.7%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.45	2.55	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stabaek 45%Draw 45%Sandnes ULF 10%

The statistical model rated Stabaek at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sandnes ULF at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.41 | 4.88 | 5.76, which imply roughly 70.9% for a Stabaek win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Stabaek are 4th (46 pts, 59-33 goals), Sandnes ULF 13th (26 pts, 36-46).

Over their last five matches, Stabaek averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Sandnes ULF averaged 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Stabaek or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.41	4.86	5.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.11	2.72	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.55

1st half

1	X	2
1.81	2.79	5.28

2nd half

1	X	2
1.68	3.23	4.97

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.97	15.4	38.1
HT X	4.60	8.56	13.4
HT 2	16.4	16.4	9.91

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.40	29.5	2.77

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	21.5
1.5	1.08	6.85
2.5	1.32	3.12
3.5	1.87	1.88
4.5	2.88	1.37
5.5	5.09	1.14
6.5	8.97	1.06
7.5	15.9	1.02
8.5	41.0	–
9.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	14.0
1.75	1.06	6.10
2	1.08	5.65
2.25	1.18	3.86
2.75	1.35	2.74
3	1.48	2.47
3.25	1.67	2.10
3.75	2.08	1.68
4	2.35	1.52
4.25	2.47	1.47
4.75	3.28	1.25
5	4.20	1.15
5.25	4.50	1.13
6	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.35	1.54
-1.5	2.07	1.72
-1.25	1.86	1.89
-1	1.62	2.17
-0.75	1.49	2.44
-0.5	1.44	2.75

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	9.65	1.01
-3.5	5.95	1.07
-3.25	5.85	1.09
-3	5.50	1.10
-2.75	4.07	1.18
-2.5	3.34	1.27
-2.25	3.15	1.31
-2	2.82	1.38
-0.25	1.29	3.33
0	1.15	4.57
+0.25	1.12	5.12
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+1	1.02	9.10
+1.5	1.01	9.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.02	6.70
8.5	1.15	4.16
9.5	1.33	2.88
10.5	1.59	2.20
11.5	1.97	1.75
12.5	2.48	1.47
13.5	3.21	1.26
14.5	4.53	1.12
15.5	6.72	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.04	6.20
9	1.18	3.78
10	1.41	2.59
10.25	1.51	2.37
10.75	1.67	2.07
11	1.75	2.00
11.25	1.85	1.85
11.75	2.09	1.66
12	2.20	1.60
12.25	2.35	1.50
13	2.94	1.32
14	4.18	1.14
15	6.32	1.03