Stabaek vs Strommen• 1. Division, Norway

#41.0:2.02-2FT11/10 · Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua2.0:1.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.43DAFX5.42PIN26.361XBMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets95Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.40	5.46	6.37	5.4%
Dafabet	1.43	5.20	5.60	7.0%
Bet365	1.40	5.25	5.75	7.9%
1xBet	1.37	5.20	6.36	7.9%
BetVictor	1.40	5.00	6.00	8.1%
Betano	1.40	4.90	6.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.36	5.20	6.30	8.6%
William Hill	1.36	4.80	6.00	11.0%
Betfair	1.33	5.00	6.00	11.9%
SBO	1.36	4.68	5.51	13.0%
Best of all books	1.43	5.46	6.37	3.9%
Average	1.38	5.07	6.00	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

StabaekStrommen

Last 10#4Table position#101.84Points per game1.154Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.833Attack rating6747Defence rating5327Form rating730H2H rating10072Goals model2845Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 16:00 UTC

Stabaek

4W 1D 5L · goals 18:16 · per match 1.8 for, 1.6 against

11 Oct	H	Strommen	2-2	D
3 Oct	A	Haugesund	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Sogndal	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Pors Grenland	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Bryne	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	Moss	2-3	L
30 Aug	A	hodd	1-2	L
26 Aug	H	Ranheim	4-2	W
22 Aug	A	Heming	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	Egersund	4-0	W

Strommen

4W 3D 3L · goals 23:27 · per match 2.3 for, 2.7 against

11 Oct	A	Stabaek	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Sandnes ULF	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Haugesund	2-4	L
13 Sep	A	Sogndal	1-1	D
8 Sep	A	Tromsdalen Uil	1-9	L
5 Sep	H	Bryne	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Moss	2-1	W
26 Aug	H	Raufoss	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Lillehammer	4-2	W
16 Aug	A	hodd	3-4	L

Head to head

0Stabaek wins

0draws

1Strommen wins

1 meeting · goals 0:1 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Stabaek

21 Jun 20261. Division

1. Division

Strommen1-0Stabaek

1. Division table1. Divisionupdated 14 Oct 17:10 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Stabaek sit 4th with 46 points from 25 games, while Strommen are 10th with 30 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kongsvinger	25	17	5	3	76:37	+39	56
2	Haugesund	25	18	2	5	75:40	+35	56
3	Stromsgodset	25	16	6	3	66:32	+34	54
4	Stabaek	25	14	4	7	59:33	+26	46
5	ODD Ballklubb	25	12	6	7	52:39	+13	42
6	Bryne	25	12	2	11	34:33	+1	38
7	hodd	25	10	4	11	41:51	-10	34
8	Egersund	25	9	5	11	39:50	-11	32
9	Ranheim	25	9	4	12	63:64	-1	31
10	Strommen	26	8	6	12	46:58	-12	30
11	Lyn	25	8	4	13	40:54	-14	28
12	Moss	25	8	4	13	40:55	-15	28
13	Sandnes ULF	25	7	5	13	36:46	-10	26
14	Sogndal	24	6	5	13	39:55	-16	23
15	Asane	26	6	5	15	37:60	-23	23
16	Raufoss	24	6	1	17	27:63	-36	19

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.38X18%5.07215%6.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.36 → 1.38 +1.5%X5.06 → 5.07 +0.2%26.11 → 5.99 -2.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.30	3.50	5.5%
Pinnacle	1.30	3.50	5.5%
BetVictor	1.29	3.40	6.9%
Betfair	1.29	3.30	7.8%
Betano	1.31	3.15	8.1%
1xBet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.25	3.28	10.5%
Best of all books	1.31	3.50	4.9%
Average	1.28	3.34	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.47	2.52	7.7%
1xBet	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
William Hill	1.44	2.60	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.44	2.55	8.7%
BetVictor	1.40	2.63	9.5%
Best of all books	1.50	2.63	4.7%
Average	1.45	2.57	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stabaek 10%Draw 45%Strommen 45%

The statistical model rated Stabaek at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Strommen at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 5.07 | 6.00, which imply roughly 19.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Stabaek are 4th (46 pts, 59-33 goals), Strommen 10th (30 pts, 46-58).

Over their last five matches, Stabaek averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Strommen averaged 2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Strommen and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.38	5.07	6.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.83	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.16	4.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.45	2.57

1st half

1	X	2
1.78	2.84	5.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.39	31.5	2.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	22.8
1.5	1.06	7.47
2.5	1.28	3.34
3.5	1.78	1.98
4.5	2.70	1.40
5.5	4.64	1.16
6.5	8.20	1.07
7.5	15.8	1.02
8.5	29.0	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	14.5
1.75	1.04	6.90
2	1.05	6.40
2.25	1.15	4.20
2.75	1.31	2.93
3	1.40	2.60
3.25	1.59	2.23
3.75	1.95	1.78
4	2.19	1.60
4.25	2.43	1.48
4.75	3.08	1.28
5	3.95	1.17
5.25	4.30	1.15
6	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.68	1.42
-1.75	2.26	1.58
-1.5	2.01	1.76
-1.25	1.79	1.97
-1	1.57	2.27
-0.75	1.45	2.55

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	10.0	1.01
-4	9.15	1.02
-3.5	5.80	1.07
-3.25	5.60	1.10
-3	5.32	1.11
-2.75	3.91	1.20
-2.5	3.20	1.29
-2.25	2.98	1.35
-0.5	1.40	2.89
-0.25	1.26	3.51
0	1.13	4.80
+0.25	1.11	5.23
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.10	6.80
+1	1.01	9.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.02	6.70
8.5	1.15	4.16
9.5	1.37	2.78
10.5	1.66	2.10
11.5	2.03	1.71
12.5	2.47	1.46
13.5	3.21	1.26
14.5	4.53	1.12
15.5	6.72	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.04	6.16
8	1.04	6.20
8.25	1.10	4.72
8.75	1.18	3.82
9	1.18	3.78
9.25	1.28	3.13
9.75	1.39	2.66
10	1.43	2.60
10.25	1.51	2.37
10.75	1.67	2.07
11	1.85	1.91
11.25	1.85	1.85
11.75	2.09	1.66
12	2.25	1.57
12.25	2.35	1.50
12.75	2.73	1.37
13	2.94	1.32
13.25	3.20	1.26
13.75	3.76	1.18
14	4.18	1.14
14.25	4.54	1.12
14.75	5.48	1.06
15	6.32	1.03
15.25	6.87	1.02