Ilves9th25 pts
HJK Helsinki4th34 pts
Ilves9th25 pts
HJK Helsinki4th34 ptsIn the Veikkausliiga table, Ilves sit 9th with 25 points from 21 games, while HJK Helsinki are 4th with 34 points from 21 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Ilves at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and HJK Helsinki at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.59 | 3.82 | 1.86, which imply roughly 26.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Veikkausliiga table: Ilves are 9th (25 pts, 33-35 goals), HJK Helsinki 4th (34 pts, 34-26).
Over their last five matches, Ilves averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; HJK Helsinki averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or HJK Helsinki.
Ilves vs HJK Helsinki — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KuPS | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 43 |
| 2 |  Inter Turku | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 39 |
| 3 |  Gnistan | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 |
| 4 |  HJK Helsinki | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 34 |
| 5 |  VPS | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 |  AC Oulu | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 |  Turku PS | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 30 |
| 8 |  Lahti | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 29 |
| 9 |  Ilves | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 |
| 10 |  SJK | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 |
| 11 |  FF Jaro | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 |
| 12 |  Mariehamn | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 11 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.59
X
3.82
2
1.86
Double chance
1X
1.86
X2
1.26
12
1.23
Both teams to score
Yes
1.50
No
2.42
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.15
Under 1.5
4.83
Over 2.5
1.52
Under 2.5
2.38
Over 3.5
2.33
Under 3.5
1.56
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
13.20
Over 4.5
3.95
Under 4.5
1.21
Over 7.5
29.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
7.27
Under 5.5
1.06
Over 6.5
14.50
Under 6.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.14
Under 1.75
4.33
Over 2
1.18
Under 2
3.88
Over 2.25
1.33
Under 2.25
2.84
Over 2.75
1.64
Under 2.75
2.13
Over 3
1.83
Under 3
1.89
Over 3.25
2.07
Under 3.25
1.70
Over 3.75
2.62
Under 3.75
1.41
Over 4
3.30
Under 4
1.27
Over 4.25
3.57
Under 4.25
1.22
Over 4.75
4.75
Under 4.75
1.12
Over 5
6.45
Under 5
1.05
Over 5.25
6.80
Under 5.25
1.04
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
10.00
Draw no bet
1
2.64
2
1.43
Asian handicap
Away -3
10.00
1st half
1
3.81
X
2.40
2
2.37
First team to score
Home
2.30
No Goal
18.00
Away
1.61
Corners 2-Way
Over 12.25
2.74
Under 12.25
1.35