Viking vs Fredrikstad• Eliteserien, Norway

#23.2:0.63-2FTToday · SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger1.6:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.381XBX6.00B36528.00B365Margin at best1.6%Books6Markets89Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.36	5.90	7.48	3.8%
1xBet	1.38	5.51	6.95	5.0%
Marathonbet	1.35	5.35	6.75	7.6%
Bet365	1.27	6.00	8.00	7.9%
BetVictor	1.30	5.25	7.50	9.3%
William Hill	1.35	5.00	6.50	9.5%
Best of all books	1.38	6.00	8.00	1.6%
Average	1.33	5.50	7.20	7.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VikingFredrikstad

Last 10#2Table position#82.43Points per game1.2613Form pts · last 563.2Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 51.267Attack rating3367Defence rating3368Form rating3280H2H rating2083Goals model1773Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:40 UTC

Viking

7W 2D 1L · goals 29:11 · per match 2.9 for, 1.1 against

13 Oct	H	Bayern München	3-3	D
9 Oct	A	Brann	2-0	W
1 Oct	A	Madla	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Lillestrom	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	Kristiansund BK	8-1	W
9 Sep	A	VfB Stuttgart	1-3	L
4 Sep	A	Sandefjord	1-1	D
2 Sep	A	Brodd	3-1	W
30 Aug	H	Aalesund	2-1	W
26 Aug	H	Dinamo Zagreb	3-1	W

Fredrikstad

6W 3D 1L · goals 19:7 · per match 1.9 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	H	Tromso	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Valerenga	1-1	D
16 Sep	A	Stjørdals-Blink	1-0	W
13 Sep	H	Sarpsborg 08 FF	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Bodo/Glimt	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Lillestrom	4-1	W
22 Aug	A	Eidsvold IF	7-1	W
16 Aug	H	Kristiansund BK	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	Start	1-0	W
1 Aug	H	Sandefjord	1-0	W

Head to head

5Viking wins

2draws

1Fredrikstad wins

8 meetings · goals 14:7 · last 8: 5W 2D 1L for Viking

25 Apr 2026Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad1-2Viking
23 Nov 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad0-1Viking
22 Jun 2025Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Viking3-0Fredrikstad
1 Mar 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Viking2-0Fredrikstad
22 Sep 2024Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Fredrikstad3-2Viking
21 Apr 2024Eliteserien	Eliteserien	Viking1-1Fredrikstad
3 Mar 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Viking1-1Fredrikstad
7 Jun 2023NM Cupen	NM Cupen	Fredrikstad1-2Viking

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Viking sit 2nd with 56 points from 23 games, while Fredrikstad are 8th with 29 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Bodo/Glimt	23	18	2	3	58:20	+38	56
2	Viking	23	18	2	3	59:22	+37	56
3	Tromso	22	11	6	5	41:30	+11	39
4	Molde	22	11	4	7	46:34	+12	37
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	+9	34
6	Lillestrom	22	10	3	9	30:31	-1	33
7	Brann	22	9	2	11	39:34	+5	29
8	Fredrikstad	23	8	5	10	28:36	-8	29
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	22	7	7	8	28:31	-3	28
10	KFUM Oslo	22	8	4	10	27:36	-9	28
11	Ham-Kam	23	7	5	11	33:48	-15	26
12	Sandefjord	22	6	6	10	22:28	-6	24
13	Aalesund	23	5	9	9	39:51	-12	24
14	Valerenga	22	6	5	11	35:45	-10	23
15	Kristiansund BK	23	5	4	14	23:47	-24	19
16	Start	22	4	4	14	24:48	-24	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.34X17%5.46213%7.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.27 → 1.34 +5.5%X5.80 → 5.46 -5.9%28.32 → 7.11 -14.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.40	3.07	4.0%
Bet365	1.36	3.10	5.8%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.34	2.78	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.34	2.78	10.6%
Best of all books	1.40	3.10	3.7%
Average	1.36	2.92	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.20	8.7%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.58	2.23	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Viking 50%Draw 50%Fredrikstad 0%

The statistical model rated Viking at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Fredrikstad at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 5.46 | 7.11, which imply roughly 74.6% for a Viking win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Viking are 2nd (56 pts, 59-22 goals), Fredrikstad 8th (29 pts, 28-36).

Over their last five matches, Viking averaged 3.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Fredrikstad averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Viking and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Viking

4-3-3

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Goalkeeper

1A. Østbø

Defence

5H. Heggheim
6G. Stensness
25H. Falchener
24Vetle Auklend

Midfield

29T. Moi
8J. Bell
26S. Kvia-Egeskog

Attack

20P. Christiansen
22E. Botheim
23N. Fuglestad

Substitutes (9)

17E. Bassey
30Ľ. Belko
16H. Bjørdal
19A. Cosic
27J. Daland
33J. Hansen
2H. Haugen
11R. Postema
10Z. Tripić

Fredrikstad

3-4-3

Coach: Casper Röjkjaer

Goalkeeper

77M. Børsheim

Defence

38I. Amundsen
4F. Holmé
28S. Owusu

Midfield

16D. Eid
6S. Leach Holm
21J. Jezierski
13S. Sørløkk

Attack

29G. Wesseh
11L. West
18B. Fiabema

Substitutes (9)

30J. Torkildsen
23H. Skogvold
5S. Rafn
24L. Owusu
10J. Hummelvoll-Nuñez
9S. Laghzaoui
19F. Ghebreyohannes
12U. Fredriksen
7B. Thoresen

Match Statistics

VikingFredrikstad

1.79Expected Goals0.48

345Passes accurate512

10Shots insidebox2

2Shots outsidebox6

2Blocked Shots2

9Free Kicks13

4Shots on Goal2

6Shots off Goal4

1Offsides2

431Total passes596

12Total Shots8

3Yellow Cards2

6Corner Kicks0

0Goalkeeper Saves1

15Fouls11

0Red Cards0

43%Ball Possession57%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.34	5.50	7.20

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	3.04	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.12	5.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
1.74	2.83	6.20

2nd half

1	X	2
1.62	3.19	5.68

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	1.78	18.4	44.3
HT X	4.41	9.53	18.0
HT 2	18.1	19.7	13.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	27.0	3.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	20.3
1.5	1.09	6.28
2.5	1.36	2.92
3.5	1.97	1.80
4.5	3.19	1.31
5.5	5.65	1.11
6.5	11.0	1.05
7.5	21.0	1.01
8.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	12.5
1.75	1.09	5.35
2	1.11	4.95
2.25	1.23	3.42
2.75	1.44	2.58
3	1.55	2.29
3.25	1.78	1.99
3.75	2.19	1.61
4	2.58	1.44
4.25	2.74	1.35
4.75	3.58	1.21
5	4.70	1.12
5.25	4.95	1.11
6	8.60	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.55	1.45
-1.75	2.19	1.65
-1.5	1.90	1.89
-1.25	1.71	2.03
-1	1.50	2.43
-0.75	1.40	2.74

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	9.20	1.01
-3.75	5.63	1.09
-3.5	5.63	1.09
-3.25	5.35	1.11
-3	4.98	1.13
-2.75	3.61	1.25
-2.5	3.19	1.31
-2.25	2.78	1.39
-0.5	1.37	3.17
-0.25	1.23	3.62
0	1.12	5.27
+0.25	1.10	5.67
+0.5	1.12	6.25
+0.75	1.01	8.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.07	4.87
8.5	1.15	3.95
9.5	1.30	2.85
10.5	1.54	2.24
11.5	1.91	1.82
12.5	2.35	1.50
13.5	2.95	1.28
14.5	3.93	1.15
15.5	4.57	1.09

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.08	4.67
9	1.19	3.40
9.75	1.32	2.81
10	1.38	2.58
10.25	1.44	2.39
10.75	1.61	2.12
11	1.69	2.05
11.25	1.83	1.91
11.75	2.04	1.72
12	2.13	1.64
12.25	2.24	1.50
12.75	2.55	1.39
13	2.70	1.35
14	3.40	1.19
15	4.40	1.10