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Lillestrom vs Molde• Eliteserien, Norway

#61.2:1.82-2FT11/10 · Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrom3.0:1.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.631XBX4.09PIN22.54PINMargin at best1.8%Books10Markets79Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L53.8

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:13 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.534.092.543.3%
1xBet2.633.962.414.8%
Dafabet2.553.902.504.9%
Bet3652.503.752.506.7%
Betano2.573.802.377.4%
Marathonbet2.563.862.357.5%
Betfair2.403.902.458.1%
BetVictor2.453.802.389.1%
William Hill2.453.702.409.5%
SBO2.523.692.2710.8%
Best of all books2.634.092.541.8%
Average2.523.842.427.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LillestromMolde
Last 10#6Table position#41.50Points per game1.685Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 53.01.8Goals against · last 51.629Attack rating7147Defence rating5337Form rating6320H2H rating8044Goals model5633Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:10 UTC

Lillestrom

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:15 · per match 1.9 for, 1.5 against

15 OctASparta Praha1-1D
11 OctHMolde2-2D
1 OctABærum5-1W
20 SepAViking0-3L
17 SepHTorreense1-2L
12 SepHValerenga2-0W
5 SepABrann2-1W
2 SepAAurskog Finstadbru3-0W
30 AugHFredrikstad1-4L
27 AugHEgnatia Rrogozhinë2-1W

Molde

7W 1D 2L · goals 37:12 · per match 3.7 for, 1.2 against

11 OctALillestrom2-2D
4 OctHKristiansund BK3-0W
19 SepHAalesund1-2L
16 SepATrygg/Lade5-0W
13 SepAHam-Kam5-1W
6 SepHKFUM Oslo2-0W
30 AugAValerenga4-3W
22 AugAMidsund11-0W
16 AugHTromso3-2W
9 AugAKristiansund BK1-2L

Head to head

4Lillestrom wins
3draws
12Molde wins

19 meetings · goals 19:35 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Lillestrom

6 Apr 2026EliteserienEliteserienMolde0-1Lillestrom
6 Oct 2024NM CupenNM CupenLillestrom1-2Molde
11 Aug 2024EliteserienEliteserienLillestrom1-2Molde
7 Jul 2024EliteserienEliteserienMolde3-0Lillestrom
12 Nov 2023EliteserienEliteserienMolde4-0Lillestrom
23 Apr 2023EliteserienEliteserienLillestrom2-1Molde
16 Oct 2022EliteserienEliteserienLillestrom0-1Molde
18 Apr 2022EliteserienEliteserienMolde1-2Lillestrom
5 Dec 2021EliteserienEliteserienMolde3-3Lillestrom
18 Jul 2021EliteserienEliteserienLillestrom1-1Molde

Eliteserien tableEliteserienupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Eliteserien table, Lillestrom sit 6th with 33 points from 22 games, while Molde are 4th with 37 points from 22.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt23182358:20+3856
2Viking23182359:22+3756
3Tromso22116541:30+1139
4Molde22114746:34+1237
5Rosenborg22104840:31+934
6Lillestrom22103930:31-133
7Brann22921139:34+529
8Fredrikstad23851028:36-829
9Sarpsborg 08 FF2277828:31-328
10KFUM Oslo22841027:36-928
11Ham-Kam23751133:48-1526
12Sandefjord22661022:28-624
13Aalesund2359939:51-1224
14Valerenga22651135:45-1023
15Kristiansund BK23541423:47-2419
16Start22441424:48-2416

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.41X24%3.84237%2.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 14:201 2.52X 3.852 2.42
12.91 → 2.52 -13.4%X3.83 → 3.85 +0.5%22.09 → 2.42 +15.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.403.074.0%
Bet3651.363.105.8%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
Betano1.372.956.9%
BetVictor1.333.008.5%
1xBet1.322.8810.5%
Marathonbet1.322.8810.5%
Best of all books1.403.103.7%
Average1.353.007.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.333.256.0%
Betfair1.333.256.0%
William Hill1.363.006.9%
Betano1.333.058.0%
1xBet1.323.108.0%
BetVictor1.303.208.2%
Marathonbet1.323.048.7%
Best of all books1.363.254.3%
Average1.333.137.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lillestrom 10%Draw 45%Molde 45%

The statistical model rated Lillestrom at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Molde at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.41 | 3.84 | 2.53, which imply roughly 26% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Eliteserien table: Lillestrom are 6th (33 pts, 30-31 goals), Molde 4th (37 pts, 46-34).

Over their last five matches, Lillestrom averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Molde averaged 3 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Molde and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Lillestrom

4-1-4-1

Coach: H. Ødegaard

Goalkeeper

  • 12P. Dahlberg

Defence

  • 2L. Ranger
  • 28R. Gabrielsen
  • 5S. Foss
  • 11F. Elkær

Midfield

  • 21F. Ottosson
  • 22D. Bassi
  • 14G. Nyheim
  • 17E. Kitolano
  • 20Vá

Attack

  • 10T. Lehne Olsen
Substitutes (9)
  • 8F. Gulbrandsen
  • 1S. Hagerup
  • 29Y. Ibrahimaj
  • 47S. Kristiansen
  • 18K. Krygård
  • 16H. Melland
  • 15G. Nordh
  • 3S. Ottesen
  • 26Y. Paintsil

Molde

4-1-4-1

Coach: S. Tjelmeland

Goalkeeper

  • 22A. Posiadała

Defence

  • 25M. Linnes
  • 19E. Haugan
  • 27F. Dahl
  • 8M. Løvik

Midfield

  • 30D. Daga
  • 16S. Kilen
  • 10E. Breivik
  • 23S. Granaas
  • 11C. Zady Sery

Attack

  • 20K. Lonebu
Substitutes (9)
  • 28V. Bender
  • 17M. Møller Dæhli
  • 26S. Kabini
  • 24Trent Toure Kone Doherty
  • 12P. Lervik
  • 6N. Ødegård
  • 33B. Risa
  • 21O. Spiten-Nysæter
  • 43Jonathan Fugelsnes

Match Statistics

LillestromMolde
1.61Expected Goals2.68
368Passes accurate552
10Shots insidebox18
3Shots outsidebox8
3Blocked Shots9
10Free Kicks9
5Shots on Goal12
9Goalkeeper Saves3
5Shots off Goal6
1Offsides0
458Total passes628
13Total Shots27
7Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards4
8Fouls9
0Red Cards0
43%Ball Possession57%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.523.852.42

Double chance

1XX212
1.551.471.24

Draw no bet

12
1.911.82

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.333.13

1st half

1X2
2.922.532.77

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9224.51.82

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0119.5
1.51.096.61
2.51.353.00
3.51.921.85
4.53.001.35
5.55.341.13
6.59.901.06
7.517.61.02
8.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0213.0
1.751.075.95
21.085.45
2.251.203.70
2.751.382.63
31.522.38
3.251.742.06
3.752.131.65
42.461.49
4.252.691.36
4.753.501.22
54.601.13
5.254.901.11
69.10–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.531.50
-0.252.251.62
01.961.82
+0.251.712.07
+0.51.602.32
+0.751.422.69
17 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.58.201.05
-28.801.01
-1.756.101.09
-1.54.701.15
-1.254.331.16
-13.961.21
-0.753.041.34
+11.273.45
+1.251.243.70
+1.51.184.15
+1.751.125.16
+21.057.33
+2.251.126.25
+2.51.028.70
+31.0512.0
+3.51.0212.8

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.056.80
7.51.144.50
8.51.293.16
9.51.532.35
10.51.871.86
11.52.371.52
12.53.081.31
13.54.281.15
14.55.601.09
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.074.97
81.173.57
8.751.312.92
91.362.67
9.251.442.53
9.751.582.17
101.692.06
10.251.801.92
10.752.011.70
112.141.63
11.252.291.54
11.752.591.39
122.751.34
12.252.911.34
133.491.18
144.551.09